MLB Player Props Today: Sanchez, Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (October 20)

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What kind of performances can we expect on Friday from Cristopher Sanchez and Jordan Montgomery? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Friday, October 20, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.

Happy Friday! Today is possibly the last time this season that multiple MLB games will be played on the same day. The action will begin in Texas at 5:07 p.m. ET with Game 5 of the ALCS, followed by Game 4 of the NLCS at 8:07 p.m. ET from Arizona.

We had another 2-1 day in this article yesterday and are 17-4 (81.0%) across our last 21 postseason player prop recommendations! During the regular season, we went 103-63-6 (62.6%) across our last 172 recommendations in this article. We were 120-59 (67.2%) on pitcher prop recommendations.

Below are three prop leans for October 20!

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MLB Player Props Today

Cristopher Sanchez u4.5 Hits Allowed (-170), DraftKings

Cristopher Sanchez has thrown nine pitches across the last 25 days. Simply, it is nearly impossible to imagine a situation in which Sanchez somehow is left in this game long enough to allow five hits, especially after Jon Morosi’s report that Taijuan Walker is available as a bulk reliever behind Sanchez. Matt Strahm was not used yesterday, who is also available to cover multiple innings for Philadelphia out of the bullpen. Nothing is ever a lock, but this is perhaps the most mispriced prop of the postseason to date.

Cristopher Sanchez u1.5 Walks Allowed (-165), BetMGM

In his last 41.0 innings of work, spanning 165 batters faced, Cristopher Sanchez has allowed four walks total. During the regular season, Sanchez ranked in the 98th percentile in walk rate among qualified starters. Rust is obviously a major concern for someone who has not pitched in a live baseball game since September, but this is at least worth a small stab against an Arizona offense that ranked 21st in walk rate against left-handed pitching during the regular season. This market number would be more appropriate if listed at over/under 0.5 walks.

MLB DFS Pick’em

Jordan Montgomery Less Than 4.0 Strikeouts, PrizePicks

During the regular season, no team stuck out less often against left-handed pitching than the Houston Astros. In Game 1, Jordan Montgomery had Houston’s number, but the hyper-proximity matchup is a much tougher spot for the starting pitcher than the offense. Montgomery could also be on a shorter leash tonight, with a scheduled off-day tomorrow before the team heads back to Houston for Game 6. This is not a spot in which Montgomery projects well.

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MLB Props Results – Wager Type

HITTER PROPS

Dinger Tuesday: 4-11-1
Hitter: 119-110-6
Stolen Base: 1-2

PITCHER PROPS

Hits Allowed: 3-2
Outs Recorded: 35-20
Strikeout: 73-34-3
Walk: 1-0
Earned Runs Allowed: 0-0-1

MISCELLANEOUS PROPS

1st Inning: 0-4

Image Credit: Getty Images

About the Author

nickgalaida
Nick Galaida (nickgalaida)

A failed high school pitcher, Nick Galaida discovered that he has a higher aptitude for analyzing and writing about sports than he does playing them. To his friends, he is better known as “The Commish.” When he’s not organizing a fantasy league, placing a bet, or writing an article, he’s probably nose-deep in a book—further illustrating the point that his niche in this world is as a nerd rather than an athlete. Follow Nick on Twitter – @CommishFilmRoom