MLB Player Props Today: Cole, Nola, Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (September 15)
What kind of performances can we expect on Friday from Aaron Nola, Gerrit Cole, and Jose Ramirez? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Friday, September 15, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Friday! Our MLB content has been rolled-back slightly since the beginning of the NFL regular season, but that has only made us more excited to write this article on Tuesday and Friday! We are 14-3 since the beginning of last week and back again for more today as we navigate a full 15-game slate!
Across the last two months, we are 93-54-4 (63.3%) in this article. Since May 1, we are 188-135-10 on non-Home Run props and 2-6 on Home Run recommendations. We are now 113-56-5 (66.9%) on pitcher prop recommendations for the season. There is plenty of opportunity once again on the player prop market today – below are three prop leans for September 15!
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MLB Player Props Today
- Gerrit Cole o17.5 Outs Recorded
- Aaron Nola o17.5 Outs Recorded
- Jose Ramirez Less Than 0.5 Strikeouts
Gerrit Cole o17.5 Outs Recorded (-193), Caesars
Since May 28, Gerrit Cole owns a 2.94 ERA, 3.22 FIP, and a 0.96 WHIP. During that stretch, he has recorded at least 18 outs in 17 of his 19 turns through the rotation. Tonight, he gets to face the Pittsburgh Pirates, which rank 16th in OPS and 20th in ISO against right-handed pitching since August 15. Pittsburgh also ranks 19th in hard-hit percentage and 21st in line-drive rate during that time period, meaning that they are not frequently barreling up the baseball. Cole enters play tonight as the American League Cy Young favorite and has a great opportunity to add to his candidacy in this matchup.
Aaron Nola o17.5 Outs Recorded (-120), BetMGM
During the month of September, Aaron Nola owns a ghastly 11.00 ERA, but a 4.70 FIP suggests that he has been nowhere near as bad as the surface-level numbers indicate. Nola’s .464 BABIP in those two starts is particularly unlucky, given that he has not been toasted with hard-contact or barreled balls. This evening, Nola gets a favorable matchup against the St. Louis Cardinals, which rank 18th in OPS and 21st in ISO against right-handed pitching since August 15. The Cardinals are also outside of the top-10 in line-drive percentage and Hard-Hit% in that span. This is a good bounce-back spot for Nola, who is still pounding the strike zone and has maintained strong peripherals despite his recent struggles.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Jose Ramirez Less Than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts, PrizePicks
Jose Ramirez struck out on Wednesday but had yesterday off to rest his body and reset himself mentally. On Friday night, he has a favorable matchup against Jon Gray, who has struck out only 20.4% of the left-handed hitters he has faced in 2023. Ramirez ranks in the 98th percentile in strikeout rate and 94th percentile in whiff percentage among qualified hitters this season. He is a trustworthy option to avoid a strikeout in this contest.
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MLB Props Results – Wager Type
HITTER PROPS
Dinger Tuesday: 4-11-1
Hitter: 120-111-6
Stolen Base: 1-2
PITCHER PROPS
Hits Allowed: 3-2
Outs Recorded: 35-20
Strikeout: 74-34-3
Walk: 1-0
Earned Runs Allowed: 0-0-1
MISCELLANEOUS PROPS
1st Inning: 0-4