MLB Player Props Today: Javier, Arenado, Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (August 21)
What kind of performances can we expect on Monday from Cristian Javier, Nolan Arenado, and Masataka Yoshida? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Monday, August 21, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Monday! After an exciting weekend of MLB action, baseball fans will have another 10 games available for their entertainment on Monday evening. The action will begin on the east coast at 6:40 p.m. EST, but four games have a scheduled first pitch of 9:38 p.m. EST or later – offering the betting community plenty of time to get their research done and lock in a few plays.
Across the last few weeks, we are 57-34-2 (63.6%) in this article. Since May 1, we are 154-116-9 on non-Home Run props and 2-4 on Home Run recommendations. We are now 93-46-5 (67.4%) on pitcher prop recommendations for the season. There is plenty of opportunity once again on the player prop market today – below are three prop leans for August 21!
MLB Props Results – Wager Type
HITTER PROPS
Dinger Tuesday: 4-9-1
Hitter: 106-100-5
Stolen Base: 0-2
PITCHER PROPS
Hits Allowed: 3-2
Outs Recorded: 32-16
Strikeout: 57-28-3
Walk: 1-0
Earned Runs Allowed: 0-0-1
MISCELLANEOUS PROPS
1st Inning: 0-4
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MLB Player Props Today
- Cristian Javier o15.5 Outs Recorded
- Nolan Arenado u0.5 Strikeouts
- Masataka Yoshida Less Than 0.5 Strikeouts
Cristian Javier o15.5 Outs Recorded (+120), FanDuel
Since June 21, Cristian Javier has only eclipsed this market number two times in nine turns through the rotation. In that span, he has an unsightly 7.56 ERA and a 6.67 FIP. Nevertheless, the Houston Astros are going to get as much length as they possibly can out of Javier in this spot, after heavily tapping into their bullpen each of the last two days. During the month of August, the Boston Red Sox rank 20th in walk rate and have the 4th-lowest strikeout percentage among all teams against right-handed pitching. This is a recipe for quick plate appearances, which could help Javier get into the sixth inning on Monday night.
Nolan Arenado u0.5 Strikeouts (-110), DraftKings
Though not officially confirmed as of this writing, it appears probable that Bailey Falter will get the nod for the Pittsburgh Pirates this evening against the St. Louis Cardinals. On the season, Nolan Arenado ranks in the 80th percentile in strikeout rate and the 72nd percentile in whiff percentage among qualified hitters. He has been even better in those departments against southpaws, striking out in only 13.3% of his total plate appearances. This is a worthwhile risk for bettors to begin the new week.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Masataka Yoshida Less Than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts, PrizePicks
Masataka Yoshida failed us yesterday, but at least he struck out in the first inning, so that we could quickly move on emotionally to our other action. Entering play on Monday, Yoshida has struck out in four consecutive contests for the first time since joining the big leagues. Yoshida will get another good opportunity tonight to snap this unfortunate streak, facing Cristian Javier, who owns a pedestrian 16.0% strikeout rate against left-handed hitters this year.
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