MLB Player Props Today: Happ, Suwinski, Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (June 13)
What kind of performances can we expect on Dinger Tuesday from Ian Happ, Jack Suwinski, and Bryson Stott? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Tuesday, June 13, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Dinger Tuesday! The forecast looks hitter-friendly around the league this evening and there are a number of exploitable starting pitchers who are exploitable, which makes today’s FanDuel Sportsbook promotion targetable for bettors looking for some fun.
Below, we have our two favorite leans for Dinger Tuesday for those who are participating in the FanDuel sportsbook promotion. For bettors unfamiliar with the promotion, “upon placing an eligible wager, you will get a $5 bonus in bonus bets for each home run both teams hit in the game, up to a max bonus of $25 per game. For full details on the promotion, you can read the description of the offer in your FanDuel account.
Yesterday, we went 1-1-1, but we remain a strong 51-37-4 across our last 30 posts. Since May 1, we are 74-53-5 on non-Home Run props. We are now 69-32-1 on pitcher prop recommendations for the season. There is plenty of opportunity once again on the player prop market today – below are three prop leans for June 12!
MLB Props Results – Wager Type
HITTER PROPS
Dinger Tuesday: 2-7-1
Hitter: 46-50-4
Stolen Base: 0-2
PITCHER PROPS
Hits Allowed: 2-1
Outs Recorded: 26-9
Strikeout: 42-21-1
MISCELLANEOUS PROPS
1st Inning: 0-4
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MLB Player Props Today
- Ian Happ to Hit a Home Run
- Jack Suwinski to Hit a Home Run
- Bryson Stott less than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts
Ian Happ to Hit a Home Run (+500), FanDuel
Luis Ortiz has allowed five home runs this season, three of which have come via left-handed batters, despite the fact that right-handed hitters have more plate appearances against him. Ortiz owns an extremely low 8.2% strikeout rate against left-handed batters, meaning that Ian Happ will have a good chance to put the ball in play in this matchup. Ortiz also has a fly ball rate that is nearly five percent higher for left-handed batters than it is for right-handed batters. All of Happ’s home runs this season have come against right-handed pitching, making him a worthwhile consideration if participating in Dinger Tuesday at FanDuel Sportsbook today.
Jack Suwinski to Hit a Home Run (+350), FanDuel
We have used Jack Suwinski twice this season for the Dinger Tuesday and he has delivered once, giving us the confidence to run it back with him again today. Ahead of first pitch, the forecast is calling for winds blowing out to right field at Wrigley Field for tonight’s contest – creating an environment that will boost fly balls from left-handed batters. Suwinski also gets to face Jameson Taillon, who owns an extremely high 50.8% fly ball right against left-handed batters in 2023. The conditions are there for a Suwinski long ball if he can simply get the ball in the air during the early portion of this contest.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Bryson Stott less than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts, PrizePicks
We tried running this play yesterday, but Bryson Stott ultimately ended up out of the lineup. Today, we are going to run it back, with Stott having another favorable matchup. Zach Davies owns a pedestrian 16.7% strikeout rate against left-handed batters this season, with opposing left-handed hitters posting a .309 batting average against him. Simply, Davies does not create much deception across the platoon split. Stott owns a sub-20.0% strikeout rate against right-handed hurlers in 2023, making him a good bet to put the ball in play each time he steps in the box this evening.
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