MLB Player Props Today: Raleigh, Smith Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (June 20)
What kind of performances can we expect on Dinger Tuesday from Cal Raleigh, Will Smith, and Luis Matos? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Tuesday, June 20, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Dinger Tuesday! Last week, we cashed both of our home run recommendations, and we cashed a +2453 Same Game Parlay for those who paired both selections together!
Today’s 15-game MLB slate looks hitter-friendly once again, leaving a few exploitable starting spots to take advantage of today’s FanDuel Sportsbook promotion if choosing to participate. Below, we have our two favorite leans for Dinger Tuesday for those who are participating in the FanDuel sportsbook promotion. For bettors unfamiliar with the promotion, “upon placing an eligible wager, you will get a $5 bonus in bonus bets for each home run both teams hit in the game, up to a max bonus of $25 per game. For full details on the promotion, you can read the description of the offer in your FanDuel account.r
On Sunday, we went 2-1 to improve to 59-41-4 across our last 34 posts. Since May 1, we are 80-57-5 on non-Home Run props and 2-2 on Home Run recommendations. We are now 71-34-1 on pitcher prop recommendations for the season. There is plenty of opportunity once again on the player prop market today – below are three prop leans for June 20!
MLB Props Results – Wager Type
HITTER PROPS
Dinger Tuesday: 4-7-1
Hitter: 51-52-4
Stolen Base: 0-2
PITCHER PROPS
Hits Allowed: 2-1
Outs Recorded: 27-9
Strikeout: 45-23-1
MISCELLANEOUS PROPS
1st Inning: 0-4
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MLB Player Props Today
- Cal Raleigh to Hit a Home Run
- Will Smith to Hit a Home Run
- Luis Matos less than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts
Cal Raleigh to Hit a Home Run (+480), FanDuel
Early this season, Gerrit Cole had seemingly figured out a solution to his home run woes from 2022. However, after allowing zero home runs in his first seven turns through the rotation, Cole has allowed nine home runs across his last eight starts. This year, Cole is allowing a 44.6% fly ball rate to left-handed hitters, which makes him vulnerable to the long ball tonight, even without hitter-friendly wind conditions. Eight of “(player-popup #cal-raleigh)Cal Raleigh”:/players/cal-raleigh-2039122’s nine home runs this year have come against right-handed pitching, and his 45.5% fly ball rate against right-handed hurlers makes him particularly well-equipped to take advantage of a short porch in right field at Yankee Stadium tonight. Raleigh is the best player to target in this matchup against the New York Yankees.
Will Smith to Hit a Home Run (+360), FanDuel
Will Smith has hit four home runs in only 55 plate appearances against left-handed pitching in 2023 – translating to a home run every 13.8 times to the plate. For context, Aaron Judge averaged a home run every 11.2 plate appearances last season en route to setting a new American League record for home runs in a single season. Simply, Will Smith has seen southpaws extremely well this year. Reid Detmers has not been the most homer-prone pitcher in the big leagues this season, but the wind is blowing out to center field tonight in Anaheim. This is a worthwhile wager for bettors in this spot.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Luis Matos less than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts, PrizePicks
Since making his MLB debut, Luis Matos has yet to strike out in 21 plate appearances. During his minor league tenure, Matos exhibited extremely high contact rates at every stop along the way, including a 6.9% strikeout rate at Triple-A in 2023 earlier this year. Tonight, he will face Seth Lugo, who will be making his first big league start in over a month due to injury. Expect Matos to keep his impressive contact streak alive in this matchup!
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