MLB Player Props Today: Quintana, Abrams, Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (September 5)
What kind of performances can we expect on Tuesday from Jose Quintana, CJ Abrams, and Corbin Carroll? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Tuesday, September 5, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Tuesday! We swept our picks again in this article yesterday and find ourselves back for more again today, with 15 MLB games on tap. The action begins in Cleveland at 6:10 p.m. EST, with four contests scheduled for first pitch at 9:38 p.m. EST or later.
Across the last month and change, we are 82-51-3 (61.7%) in this article. Since May 1, we are 177-132-10 on non-Home Run props and 2-6 on Home Run recommendations. We are now 107-55-5 (66.0%) on pitcher prop recommendations for the season. There is plenty of opportunity once again on the player prop market today – below are three prop leans for September 5!
Don’t live in a state with sports betting this baseball season? Use the PrizePicks promo code GRINDERS for $100 sign-up bonus for MLB Fantasy Pick’em.
MLB Player Props Today
- Jose Quintana u4.5 Strikeouts
- CJ Abrams u0.5 Strikeouts
- Corbin Carroll Less Than 0.5 Strikeouts
Jose Quintana u4.5 Strikeouts (-165), BetMGM
In his last four turns through the rotation, Jose Quintana is yet to record more than five strikeouts, despite a couple of favorable matchups. Tonight, Quintana has, arguably, his toughest matchup to date – at least from a contact perspective. During the last 30 days, no team in baseball has a lower strikeout rate against left-handed pitching than the Washington Nationals. Quintana has struggled to a 52.1% first-pitch strike rate across his last four starts, meaning that he is frequently falling behind and being forced to come closer to the middle-third of the plate deeper in counts. The data strongly supports the under in this spot.
CJ Abrams u0.5 Strikeouts (+205), DraftKings
Entering play on Tuesday, Jose Quintana has struck out only 17.6% of the left-handed hitters he has faced in 2023. CJ Abrams has experienced struggles making contact on a regular basis against southpaws, but has been much improved in recent weeks. Since July 1, Abrams has struck out in only 17.6% of his plate appearances against left-handed pitching. At significant plus money, this is unquestionably a worthwhile risk.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Corbin Carroll Less Than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts, PrizePicks
Corbin Carroll has struck out in only 11.0% of his plate appearances against left-handed pitching in 2023. Tonight, he gets to face southpaw Kyle Freeland, who ranks in the 3rd percentile in strikeout percentage and 2nd percentile in whiff rate this season. Freeland has allowed contact on at least 90% of the pitches he has thrown in the zone in each of his last six outings. Carroll should be able to avoid a punch-out on Tuesday.
Check out more DFS sites with Fantasy baseball pick’em and use our Boom Fantasy promo code.
MLB Props Results – Wager Type
HITTER PROPS
Dinger Tuesday: 4-11-1
Hitter: 116-109-5
Stolen Base: 0-2
PITCHER PROPS
Hits Allowed: 3-2
Outs Recorded: 35-20
Strikeout: 68-33-3
Walk: 1-0
Earned Runs Allowed: 0-0-1
MISCELLANEOUS PROPS
1st Inning: 0-4