MLB Player Props for Thursday, 4/24: Best Bets & Predictions Today
What kind of performances can we expect on Thursday from Tyler Anderson, Corbin Burnes, and Jacob deGrom? Follow along as our MLB betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets for Thursday, April 24th. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more MLB plays, by subscribing to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package.
Thursday’s 9-game MLB slate began earlier this afternoon with a quartet of day games, but there are still 5 games left to get underway as of this writing, which means plenty of remaining betting options to consider.
As always, be sure to monitor our MLB starting lineups page throughout the day, as unexpected changes in the batting order can result in value opportunities in the betting and DFS markets.
Another reminder – it’s not a bad beat or unlucky if you bet a player to hit a home run and his fly ball dies on the warning track because it’s 40 degrees with the wind blowing in! Before locking in any bets, use our MLB weather page, curated by Chief Meteorologist, Kevin Roth. There are countless edges to be found if we make the right reads on possible rain delays and great hitting weather, just to name a few. Taking a look at the weather report can save us from a bad bet that otherwise looks good on the surface.
Below, you can find my 3 picks for Thursday, April 24th!
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Best MLB Player Props for Thursday, April 24th
Here are my top player prop bets, with the first pitch tonight scheduled for 9:29 PM ET on Thursday, April 24th:
- Tyler Anderson Over/Under 17.5 Outs Recorded
- Corbin Burnes Over/Under 17.5 Outs Recorded
- Jacob deGrom Over/Under 17.5 Outs Recorded
Tyler Anderson UNDER 17.5 Outs Recorded (-128, FanDuel)
Anderson has great numbers to begin 2025, but it’s highly unlikely that he’s able to continue this charade for much longer. He enters play on Thursday with a .157 BABIP and 96% LOB% despite not inducing many ground balls or having overpowering stuff. Pittsburgh is a poor offense against southpaws, but they are a patient lineup that should work deep counts at a minimum. There is value on the under.
Corbin Burnes UNDER 17.5 Outs Recorded (+140, DraftKings)
Is it a stretch to say that Burnes has been bad so far this season? In 4 starts, he has struggled to a 4.99 xERA, 5.42 FIP, and 1.41 WHIP. He’s allowing a career-worst rate of contact on swings at pitches in the zone and has a swinging-strike percentage in single digits for the first time as a big-league player. Tampa Bay’s offense ranks 5th in wRC+ against RHP across the last 14 days. They could have a good chance to force Burnes from this game early.
Jacob deGrom UNDER 17.5 Outs Recorded (+135, bet365)
deGrom has performed well so far in 2025, entering play this evening with a 3.32 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. That being said, he’s benefited from an unsustainably low .204 BABIP and 94.1% LOB% through his first 4 turns in the rotation. This is even more noteworthy given that he’s allowed a significant number of fly balls and a higher barrel% than the league-average pitcher. On Thursday, deGrom will have to pitch in one of the most hitter-friendly venues with the wind blowing out toward center field around first pitch. It wouldn’t be surprising to see him need a quicker-than-normal hook, especially with a rested arm barn behind him.
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