MLB PrizePicks Predictions Today: Top Plays for Thursday, August 15th
Traditional MLB DFS formats aren’t the only way to profit from daily fantasy baseball. MLB PrizePicks is a great fantasy pick’em site where we can take today’s projections versus theirs and combine two or more baseball predictions for sizeable payouts.
In this space, we’ll explore a few PrizePicks plays for the upcoming MLB slate. This article isn’t the be-all, end-all of great plays or a recommendation for a full ticket; it’s simply a starting place for you to explore thinking about the game within the game. Maybe you want to scatter these plays across entries. Maybe there are only two or three you think are worth playing. Daily fantasy pick’em gives us the flexibility to make only the plays in which we think there is value rather than being forced to create a full lineup while competing against the best DFS players in the industry.
PrizePicks is daily fantasy baseball made simple, and our MLB PrizePicks picks tool makes the process even simpler.
If you haven’t signed up for a PrizePicks account, make sure to use the PrizePicks promo code ROTOBONUS and get a $100 deposit match. Also, check out more apps like PrizePicks.
All stats cited are since the start of the 2024 season unless otherwise noted.
Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our Underdog promo code and Sleeper promo code, two of the best DFS apps available today.
MLB PrizePicks Predictions for Thursday, August 15th
- Zack Wheeler LESS Than 6.5 Strikeouts
- Logan Webb LESS Than 20.5 Outs and LESS Than 35.0 Fantasy Points
- Bryce Miller MORE Than 29.5 Fantasy Points
Zack Wheeler LESS Than 6.5 Strikeouts
Nothing against Wheeler, but the Nationals are one of the toughest strikeout matchups in baseball. Their projected lineup has just a 15.7% K rate against RHP, and that’s with James Wood carrying a 35.8% K rate. Wheeler has surpassed 6 Ks in 5 of his last 6 starts. There are a lot baked in, but he might need to get into the 8th inning to get 6 Ks with this matchup, and that is difficult to rely upon with any pitcher in 2024. We have Wheeler projected for 6.2 Ks, so this is a super tight squeeze, but his ceiling is low enough to play this on a pretty difficult PrizePicks slate.
Logan Webb LESS Than 20.5 Outs and LESS Than 35.0 Fantasy Points
This projected lineup for the Braves has a 25% K rate against RHP, but Webb has been too inconsistent to trust that he gets the volume necessary to rack up 6 Ks. He only has a 20.5% K rate, so he’d really need 7 innings for him to compile enough fantasy points. We have Webb projected for 5.5 Ks but in only 18 outs, and 5.5 seems really aggressive. Therefore, it’s really difficult to see him compiling the volume to get the Ks necessary to get to 35 fantasy points, as we have him projected for just 31 in a game where he could get smashed if Bad Webb shows up against a tough Braves lineup — even in Oracle Park.
Bryce Miller MORE Than 29.5 Fantasy Points
Our projections like Miller to get at least deep into the 6th inning for 32 fantasy points — 8.5% more than his PrizePicks projection. He isn’t a big strikeout pitcher, and the Tigers have boom potential, but they bust hard when they bust, and that happens more often than not. I don’t particularly like Miller because of the huge power he surrenders to lefties, but we have him projected to only give up 2.1 ERs on 4.9 hits and 1.1 walks; the hits and walks projections are well below the PrizePicks projections. So, there are a lot of ways to attack the Tigers with Miller according to our projections.
All projections referenced are accurate at the time of writing but subject to change.
This is a pretty terrible slate on all angles. I recommend a low-volume day for a fun sweat, but there aren’t really any high-confidence DEMON plays this early. If the Orioles come in with lower total bases DEMONs against Nick Pivetta, I would like almost every power bat to beat 1.5 total bases.
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