MLB PrizePicks Predictions Today: Top Plays for Thursday, August 29th
Traditional MLB DFS formats aren’t the only way to profit from daily fantasy baseball. MLB PrizePicks is a great fantasy pick’em site where we can take today’s projections versus theirs and combine two or more baseball predictions for sizeable payouts.
In this space, we’ll explore a few PrizePicks plays for the upcoming MLB slate. This article isn’t the be-all, end-all of great plays or a recommendation for a full ticket; it’s simply a starting place for you to explore thinking about the game within the game. Maybe you want to scatter these plays across entries. Maybe there are only two or three you think are worth playing. Daily fantasy pick’em gives us the flexibility to make only the plays in which we think there is value rather than being forced to create a full lineup while competing against the best DFS players in the industry.
PrizePicks is daily fantasy baseball made simple, and our MLB PrizePicks picks tool makes the process even simpler.
If you haven’t signed up for a PrizePicks account, make sure to use the PrizePicks promo code ROTOBONUS and get a $100 deposit match. Also, check out more apps like PrizePicks.
All stats cited are since the start of the 2024 season unless otherwise noted.
Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our Underdog promo code and Sleeper promo code, two of the best DFS apps available today.
MLB PrizePicks Predictions for Thursday, August 29th
- Corey Seager MORE Than 2.5 Total Bases (DEMON)
- Nathan Eovaldi MORE Than 18.5 Outs (DEMON)
- Will Smith MORE Than 1.5 Total Bases (DEMON)
- Bowden Francis MORE Than 15.5 Outs (DEMON)
- Hunter Brown MORE Than 5.5 Hits Allowed (DEMON)
Corey Seager MORE Than 2.5 Total Bases (DEMON)
Corey Seager gets to face Nick Nastrini and the terrible White Sox bullpen, so this play is pretty elementary. Nastrini has allowed a 13% barrel rate through 122 batters faced after allowing 1.82 HR/9 to minor league players in 79.0 Triple-A IP. Seager has a .268 ISO on a 15.2% barrel rate against righties, so we have him projected for 2.7 total bases. Again, pretty elementary play with the DEMON boost.
Nathan Eovaldi MORE Than 18.5 Outs (DEMON)
The White Sox are so bad. Their projected lineup has a .279 wOBA and .126 ISO against righties, while Nathan Eovaldi is allowing just a .292 wOBA and .150 ISO, due to his 18.2% K-BB rate and 50.1% ground-ball rate. He should roll today, and he can get near 100 pitches when he’s rolling. We have Eovaldi projected to narrowly get into the 7th inning for 18.3 outs. He hasn’t pitched a clean game in a while, but he has a long leash.
Will Smith MORE Than 1.5 Total Bases (DEMON)
Will Smith against lefties has been a great bet this season. He has a .260 ISO on a 15.1% barrel rate against southpaws and should hit in the heart of the order against a really bad Cade Povich, who’s surrendered a 12.6% barrel rate against righties through 157 batters faced. Dodger Stadium is the 2nd-best home run park in baseball, according to Statcast, so we have Smith projected (somewhat conservatively) for 1.9 total bases. Povich is so bad that neither Smith, Teoscar Hernandez, Shohei Ohtani, nor Mookie Betts should have PrizePicks projections under 2.0 total bases as a standard projection. Give us the DEMON boost, and this is the best hitting play in the night games.
Bowden Francis MORE Than 15.5 Outs (DEMON)
I don’t like this play at all because Bowden Francis has a home run problem, and Fenway is a good hitting park, but I should note that our projections have him for 17.1 outs, which is a huge bump over the PrizePicks projection. This is likely because he’s been great as of late, going 8, 7, and 7 IP in each of his last 3 starts, allowing just 2 total ERs over this little stretch. If you believe that getting sent down and doing a bullpen stint has made something click in this guy, by all means, get aggressive with this play. I will probably have a low exposure to this play though.
Hunter Brown MORE Than 5.5 Hits Allowed (DEMON)
I don’t love this play either, but we should like Hunter Brown for volume, and these Royals have a low K rate. They possess power with pesky hitting, so his projection of 6.2 hits allowed is totally reasonable. Just putting a lot of balls in play should get them hits over 6-7 innings of facing Brown, as their projected lineup only has a 6.4% BB rate.
All projections referenced are accurate at the time of writing but subject to change.
This isn’t a great PrizePicks slate unless you get in before the early games. Playing the early and night games, normal volume is fully justified because of the diversity of projections to attack. But if we’re running late and isolating the later games, we should be playing a lower volume that is more focused on hitting.
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