NBA First Look: Thursday, October 27th

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2016-10-28 02:30:04

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The NBA First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, useful stats, and projected starters to help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.

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NBA Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team		Home Team	Vegas Line	Over/Under	Tip-off
Washington Wizards	at	Atlanta Hawks	ATL-3.5	204.5	7:30 PM
Boston Celtics	at	Chicago Bulls	BOS-1.5	210.5	8:00 PM
San Antonio Spurs	at	Sacramento Kings	SA -8.5	206.0	10:30 PM
Los Angeles Clippers	at	Portland Trail Blazers	LAC-2.0	209.0	10:30 PM

Implied Team Totals & Pace of Play

Offense	Opponent	Spread	Team Total	Team Pace	Opp. Pace	Proj. Pace	Pace +/-
San Antonio Spurs	Sacramento	-8.5	107.3	95.7	102.2	99.8	4.1
Boston Celtics	Chicago	-1.5	106.0	101.1	98.2	101.2	0.1
Los Angeles Clippers	Portland	-2.0	105.5	98.0	98.3	98.2	0.2
Chicago Bulls	Boston	+ 1.5	104.5	98.2	101.1	101.2	3.0
Atlanta Hawks	Washington	-3.5	104.0	99.4	100.6	101.9	2.5
Portland Trail Blazers	L.A. Clippers	+ 2.0	103.5	98.3	98.0	98.2	-0.1
Washington Wizards	Atlanta	+ 3.5	100.5	100.6	99.4	101.9	1.3
Sacramento Kings	San Antonio	+ 8.5	98.8	102.2	95.7	99.8	-2.4

Point Guard

Projected Starter	Team	Team Total	FD Salary	DK Salary	Minutes	FP/Game	True Usage	Opponent
Tony Parker	SA	107.3	$4,700	$4,400	27.5	23.0	39.6%	SAC
Isaiah Thomas	BOS	106.0	$8,000	$7,200	32.2	34.8	47.5%	CHI
Chris Paul	LAC	105.5	$9,500	$8,800	32.7	41.6	53.8%	POR
Rajon Rondo	CHI	104.5	$7,500	$6,200	35.2	37.0	46.8%	BOS
Dennis Schroder	ATL	104.0	$6,500	$6,500	20.3	20.4	50.3%	WAS
Damian Lillard	POR	103.5	$9,100	$9,200	35.7	39.4	48.2%	LAC
John Wall	WAS	100.5	$9,400	$8,200	36.2	42.3	53.8%	ATL
Ty Lawson	SAC	98.8	$5,100	$5,600	21.4	13.6	31.5%	SA

Shooting Guard

Projected Starter	Team	Team Total	FD Salary	DK Salary	Minutes	FP/Game	True Usage	Opponent
Kyle Anderson	SA	107.3	$3,500	$3,700	16.0	12.3	23.8%	SAC
Avery Bradley	BOS	106.0	$5,600	$4,900	33.4	24.0	25.4%	CHI
J.J. Redick	LAC	105.5	$4,600	$4,600	28.0	21.1	27.4%	POR
Jimmy Butler	CHI	104.5	$8,200	$7,400	36.9	36.9	36.8%	BOS
Kyle Korver	ATL	104.0	$3,800	$3,300	30.0	17.7	19.4%	WAS
C.J. McCollum	POR	103.5	$6,900	$6,800	34.7	31.6	39.4%	LAC
Bradley Beal	WAS	100.5	$6,200	$5,700	31.1	26.2	33.9%	ATL
Arron Afflalo	SAC	98.8	$3,900	$3,800	33.4	20.0	25.0%	SA

Small Forward

Projected Starter	Team	Team Total	FD Salary	DK Salary	Minutes	FP/Game	True Usage	Opponent
Kawhi Leonard	SA	107.3	$8,200	$8,400	33.1	37.5	33.0%	SAC
Jae Crowder	BOS	106.0	$5,500	$5,200	31.6	26.3	24.3%	CHI
Luc Richard Mbah a Moute	LAC	105.5	$3,900	$3,000	17.0	7.9	12.2%	POR
Dwyane Wade	CHI	104.5	$7,000	$6,300	30.5	31.6	45.5%	BOS
Kent Bazemore	ATL	104.0	$5,100	$5,100	27.8	23.1	27.1%	WAS
Maurice Harkless	POR	103.5	$5,200	$3,600	18.7	13.3	19.8%	LAC
Otto Porter	WAS	100.5	$4,900	$4,500	30.3	22.9	20.7%	ATL
Rudy Gay	SAC	98.8	$6,900	$5,900	34.0	29.9	27.9%	SA

Power Forward

Projected Starter	Team	Team Total	FD Salary	DK Salary	Minutes	FP/Game	True Usage	Opponent
LaMarcus Aldridge	SA	107.3	$7,800	$7,300	30.6	32.3	30.7%	SAC
Al Horford	BOS	106.0	$7,000	$7,000	32.1	32.3	30.9%	CHI
Blake Griffin	LAC	105.5	$8,600	$8,600	33.4	39.0	42.1%	POR
Taj Gibson	CHI	104.5	$5,300	$4,100	26.5	21.4	19.8%	BOS
Paul Millsap	ATL	104.0	$8,000	$7,900	32.7	37.5	33.4%	WAS
Al-Farouq Aminu	POR	103.5	$4,600	$4,500	28.5	21.5	22.0%	LAC
Markieff Morris	WAS	100.5	$5,600	$5,400	25.5	22.2	31.4%	ATL
DeMarcus Cousins	SAC	98.8	$9,800	$10,300	34.6	47.8	43.4%	SA

Center

Projected Starter	Team	Team Total	FD Salary	DK Salary	Minutes	FP/Game	True Usage	Opponent
Pau Gasol	SA	107.3	$7,100	$6,600	31.8	38.8	35.8%	SAC
Amir Johnson	BOS	106.0	$5,000	$3,500	22.8	20.0	20.5%	CHI
DeAndre Jordan	LAC	105.5	$8,000	$7,700	33.7	35.7	17.4%	POR
Robin Lopez	CHI	104.5	$5,700	$5,000	27.1	23.3	23.3%	BOS
Dwight Howard	ATL	104.0	$7,500	$7,500	32.1	32.9	22.1%	WAS
Mason Plumlee	POR	103.5	$5,100	$4,300	25.4	24.3	27.4%	LAC
Marcin Gortat	WAS	100.5	$6,500	$5,300	30.1	29.7	23.0%	ATL
Kosta Koufos	SAC	98.8	$3,600	$3,000	19.0	16.0	18.8%	SA

Legend

Term	Description
Team Total	The implied projected points of a team based on the Vegas line and total.
Pace	The number of possessions a team uses per game.
Projected Pace	League Average Pace + (Team 1 Pace – League Average Pace) + (Team 2 Pace – League Average Pace)
Pace +/-	The difference between a team’s pace and the projected pace of that game.
True Usage	The percentage of possessions a player uses while on the floor, adjusted for turnovers.
L5 + / –	The average MPG and FPPG over the last five games, compared to season averages.