NBA Grind Down: Wednesday, February 4th - Page Three
Dallas at Golden State – 10:30 PM EST
- Vegas Line – Golden State -9.5, 216 Over/Under
- Dallas Proj. Starters – Barea-Ellis-Parsons-Nowitzki-Chandler
- Golden State Proj. Starters – Curry-Thompson-Barnes-Green-Bogut
| Dallas | Golden State | |||||||||||
 | Vegas Total | 216 |  | Vegas Total | 216 | |||||||
| Vegas Sprd | 9.5 | Vegas Sprd | -9.5 | |||||||||
| Team Proj. | 103.25 | Team Proj. | 112.75 | |||||||||
| Team Pace | 96.52 | Team Pace | 101.32 | |||||||||
| Matchup – Opponent DvP Ranks and Projected Starters | Matchup – Opponent DvP Ranks and Projected Starters | |||||||||||
| DvP Rks | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | DvP Rks | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Proj Starter | J.J. Barea | Monta Ellis | Chandler Parsons | Dirk Nowitzki | Tyson Chandler | Proj Starter | Stephen Curry | Klay Thompson | Harrison Barnes | Draymond Green | Andrew Bogut | |
| Opp. Season | 10 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 19 | Opp. Season | 23 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 13 | |
| Opp. Last 7 | 8 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 13 | Opp. Last 7 | 9 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 25 | |
Dallas
The Mavericks will be without Rajon Rondo again tonight. Devin Harris was originally listed as questionable, but is now expected to play against the Warriors. The Mavericks will employ the three-headed point guard monster of J.J. Barea, Devin Harris, and Raymond Felton. Of the three, Barea and Harris stand to benefit the most in Rondo’s absence, but deciding between the two will be tough. Many will look to Monta Ellis tonight at shooting guard, but I’m not sold. Even though he has the revenge factor in his corner, Klay Thompson is an outstanding defender.
Opponent Breakdown (Golden State)
Record: 38-8
Points Allowed Per Game: 99.5 (Rank: 15)
Defensive Efficiency Rank: 1
Rebounding Differential Rank: 18
Elite Plays
Chandler Parsons (FD: $6100, DK: $5700 / MPG: 33 / Usage Rate: 20.4)
Parsons has finally started to become the high-floor type of fantasy option that he was during his time in Houston. He has now scored at least 23 fantasy points in seven of his last eight games. His price is currently depressed, giving us an opportunity to buy low on Parsons against the fastest-paced team in the NBA in the Warriors.
Secondary Plays
Dirk Nowitzki (FD: $6500, DK: $6200 / MPG: 30 / Usage Rate: 26.2)
Nowitzki is cheap and reliable. Two characteristics that fit the mold of a good cash game play. He has scored at least 25 fantasy points in eight of his last ten games and is affordable on both FanDuel and DraftKings.
Golden State
The Warriors picked up an easy win in Sacramento last night. They would be one of the top teams to target every single night if it wasn’t for the fact that they blow too many teams out. The Warriors are 9.5-point favorites tonight against the Mavericks. While this is a favorable matchup, we can expect the starters to see minutes in the low 30’s once again, unless Dallas finds a way to keep this game close.
Opponent Breakdown (Dallas)
Record: 33-17
Points Allowed Per Game: 101 (Rank: 21)
Defensive Efficiency Rank: 14
Rebounding Differential Rank: 29
Elite Plays
None
Secondary Plays
Stephen Curry (FD: $10000, DK: $10300 / MPG: 33 / Usage Rate: 27.8)
Curry put up 46.5 fantasy points in only 29 minutes of action against the Kings last night. He has now scored at least 42 fantasy points in each of his last five games. He has incredible upside, but doesn’t see as many minutes as some of the other top point guard options. While I like Curry in this matchup, I would much rather spend a little more and take Russell Westbrook.
Draymond Green (FD: $7100, DK: $7500 / MPG: 32 / Usage Rate: 16.7)
Green’s price has finally come down to a more playable level, after he was in the $8,000 range for a few weeks. He has scored at least 30 fantasy points in four of his last five games and has a good chance to reach that mark again tonight against the Mavericks. He’s one of the few players that can reach value without doing much offensively.