NBA Grind Down: Wednesday: May 10th
Welcome to the RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down. In this all-encompassing preview of today’s NBA action, every game will be broken down statistically, with several key elements highlighted in our charts.
Vegas lines are broken down to show projected team totals, to give you an idea of who is favored to win, and often more importantly, how many points they’re expected to score. We also provide pace numbers, so you can spot a game that might have a few extra possessions and more opportunities for fantasy points.
We also provide position-by-position matchup rankings for every team, to give you an idea of the players who will be in better situations to succeed. Using Defense versus Position data, every projected starter is listed along with his opponent’s rank in points allowed to players of his position. These color-coded charts will help you spot the best matchups of the night at a glance.
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Washington Wizards at Boston Celtics – Wednesday, 8:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards | Boston Celtics | |||||||||||
![]() | Vegas Total | 216.0 | ![]() | Vegas Total | 216.0 | |||||||
Vegas Spread | 4.5 | Vegas Spread | -4.5 | |||||||||
Team Total | 105.8 | Team Total | 110.3 | |||||||||
Pace +/- | 0.6 | Pace +/- | 1.0 | |||||||||
Proj. Starter | John Wall | Bradley Beal | Otto Porter | Markieff Morris | Marcin Gortat | Proj. Starter | Isaiah Thomas | Avery Bradley | Jae Crowder | Amir Johnson | Al Horford | |
Opponent Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | Opponent Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adj. DvP | 18 | 11 | 13 | 24 | 21 | Adj. DvP | 9 | 16 | 17 | 22 | 20 | |
DRPM | -4.21 | -1.13 | 1.37 | 3.79 | 1.59 | DRPM | -0.83 | -0.94 | 0.03 | 1.54 | 1.33 |
Washington Wizards
- Notable Injuries: None
- Washington Wizards Offense
Points Per Game: 109.2 (5 of 30)
Implied Team Total: 105.8 (3 of 4)
Projected Point Differential: -3.5 (3 of 4)
Pace of Play: 99.7 (11 of 30)
Projected Pace Differential: 0.6 (3 of 4)
- Boston Celtics Defense
Points Allowed Per Game: 105.4 (15 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 105.5 (12 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: -2.5 (27 of 30)
Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game: 204.4 (15 of 30)
The Wizards will get Kelly Oubre back tonight from a one-game suspension; assuming he plays nice with Kelly Olynyk, Washington’s rotations may be a bit tricky. Oubre played 26+ minutes in the first two games of the series – he was aided by Markieff Morris’ injury in the first one and overtime in the second – while Bojan Bogdanovic earned 19 and eight. Coach Scott Brooks made a point to get Bogdanovic more time following the second meeting and he followed through providing him 29 and 22 minutes in Games 3 and 4. Of course, Oubre was unavailable for nearly seven quarters in that stretch. At the same time, Otto Porter, who’s been excellent in this series, has seen his workload decline a little bit each game from 41 in the first to 34 in the fourth. Now we have a situation where Porter has been an essential part of the Wizards’ success, Oubre appears to be ahead of Bogdanovic in the rotation, but Brooks ostensibly wants to keep getting Bojan on the court. All three guys will essentially form a four-man rotation with Morris as Oubre and Bogdanovic can replace either starter. It appears that Bogdanovic will likely be the fourth option among this group unless he comes in hot. He wasn’t all that active in Game 4 until the game was out of hand, even though he was supposed to be a major piece. Game flow could potentially help him; given his ability to score, he could come in if the Wizards get down and need to generate some offense quickly. If Porter and Morris play like they did last game, it could limit Oubre to the 18-22 minute range while allowing Porter to receive 30-34 and Morris to push towards 36.
Oubre has shown an ability to score as he dropped 12 in the first two second-round games, however, he’s very dependent on his teammate’s getting him the ball; 90.1% of his field goals this postseason have been assisted. In other words, he’s not handling the ball a whole lot, which means he’s not helping create opportunities for teammates – he has four total assists through nine playoff games – and he hasn’t been able to make his own shots. Porter is a little similar, 71.7% of his shots have been assisted in the playoffs, but he’s averaging 2.3 assists per game (8.3% assist rate), and he’s been excellent on the glass. Porter, taking full advantage of Boston’s poor rebounding, has grabbed at least eight boards in each of the four games. Overall, he’s producing 0.95 FD ppm with a 17.2% usage rate. He’s made 61.4% of his attempts from the field, mainly due to his habit of getting inside for high percentage shots – he’s now 15-of-17 from within eight feet of the hoop.
Due to foul trouble and an injury, Markieff Morris has had a wildly inconsistent postseason. Despite Brooks’ desire to get Morris heavy minutes, Game 4 marked just the third outing the power forward crossed the 30-minute mark. He ended up double-doubling with 16 points and ten rebounds. As with Porter, his rebounding rate has increased in the series – it’s up 4.2% to 15.9%. He has a favorable matchup and even with Oubre and Bojan getting time, he should receive a solid workload. He’s clearly the second-best power forward on FanDuel with Ryan Anderson a distant third option. On DK he has more competition, but it’s worth keeping in mind he has the second-highest usage rate on this team in the second round (24.6%) and he’s turning in 1.14 DK ppm.
One other rotational change to note is at the center position. With Ian Mahinmi returning, Gortat’s minutes have dropped, as expected. The backup center has been limited in each game, but he picked up 13 last game and he’ll be on a 15-minute limit tonight. When Mahinmi was earning his normal 18 minutes a night during the regular season, Gortat’s workload dropped into the mid-20s. The starting center doesn’t make much sense on DK where Clint Capela, Al Horford, and LaMarcus Aldridge are in a similar price range. He’s potentially cheap enough on FanDuel to keep him in tournament consideration as he’s averaging 0.94 FD ppm in this series, but Capela and Horford seem worth the extra cap space given everyone’s situation. At the same time, Mahinmi is $2,300 on FD, which makes him a potential GPP play as well. The minutes restriction may simply be too limiting, but he averaged 12.6 FD points per 15 minutes this season.
Of course, the main guy to target on this team is John Wall. He’s pushed his usage up to 37.1% in this series, 4.4% above his average, and he’s producing an extra 0.12 FD ppm, bringing his pace to 1.38. He’s separated himself from Bradley Beal as the clear number one offensive option thus far as he’s averaging 24.0 FGAs and 27.8 points per game while Beal is taking 15.5 shots and averaging 20.3 points. Beal’s usage is down 4.0% to 24.3% and he’s turning in 0.75 FD ppm, a decrease of 0.19. While Beal is a guy who can catch fire at any point, if Wall keeps operating in takeover mode, he’s going to have a capped ceiling. If we look at last game, Beal was hot, going 11-for-16 (68.8%) while Wall was cold, making just 32.0% of his attempts. Still, Beal finished with 29 and Wall was only two points behind with 27. Beal has to start taking more shots to have a major return on his salary, but he remains a step ahead of Avery Bradley and the other shooting guards not named James Harden. In addition to some major scoring, Wall has turned in 12 or more assists in three of the four games against Boston. He has an assist rater of 49.1% and he shows little signs of slowing down.
Notable Fantasy Players
Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | FP/Min | Minutes | L5 +/- | FP/Game | L5 +/- | True Usage | L5 +/- | DvP | DRPM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Wall | $10,600 | $10,800 | 1.24 | 36.4 | 4.2 | 45.3 | 8.0 | 34.8% | 1.4% | 18 | -4.21 |
Bradley Beal | $7,900 | $7,200 | 0.94 | 34.9 | 2.8 | 32.9 | 0.7 | 26.4% | -1.1% | 11 | -1.13 |
Otto Porter | $5,400 | $6,400 | 0.82 | 32.6 | 2.5 | 26.7 | 5.0 | 14.8% | -1.1% | 13 | 1.37 |
Markieff Morris | $5,500 | $5,800 | 0.83 | 31.2 | -7.8 | 26.1 | -3.7 | 19.8% | 1.1% | 24 | 3.79 |
Marcin Gortat | $5,300 | $6,300 | 0.85 | 31.2 | 2.7 | 26.4 | 2.9 | 14.7% | -0.1% | 21 | 1.59 |
Kelly Oubre | $3,000 | $3,900 | 0.61 | 20.3 | -1.7 | 12.4 | 1.1 | 13.9% | 0.4% | 13 | N/A |
Bojan Bogdanovic | $4,000 | $4,200 | 0.75 | 25.7 | -4.5 | 19.3 | -0.6 | 22.0% | -5.8% | 13 | N/A |
Ian Mahinmi | $2,300 | $2,800 | 0.84 | 17.9 | -8.3 | 15.0 | -5.3 | 13.7% | -3.7% | 21 | N/A |
Elite Plays – John Wall, Bradley Beal, Markieff Morris, Otto Porter
Secondary Plays – Marcin Gortat, Kelly Oubre, Bojan Bogdanovic, Ian Mahinmi
Boston Celtics
- Notable Injuries: None
- Boston Celtics Offense
Points Per Game: 108.0 (7 of 30)
Implied Team Total: 110.3 (2 of 4)
Projected Point Differential: 2.3 (1 of 4)
Pace of Play: 99.3 (12 of 30)
Projected Pace Differential: 1.0 (2 of 4)
- Washington Wizards Defense
Points Allowed Per Game: 107.4 (21 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 106.9 (20 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: -0.1 (16 of 30)
Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game: 203.0 (14 of 30)
That was an ugly road trip for Boston, they got blown out twice and lost the momentum they gained from the first two meetings. Isaiah Thomas was shooting well in Game 4, he was 5-for-6 from three, but it wasn’t enough to overcome a 26-0 run by the Wizards in the third. Overall, he’s shooting 50% from the field on Washington and 48.4% from three. He should continue to be efficient as Washington has allowed a high field goal percentages from all over the floor. Game 5 feels like a great bounce back opportunity in a must-win game at home. Thomas averaged 28.0 FGAs per game in the first two outings and we should expect him to get a high volume of shots once again. Game flow can become a concern as nearly every game has been a blowout so far, but the spread is just 4.5-points; hopefully, we’ll get another classic like Game 2.
Al Horford was quiet in D.C.; his peripherals dropped to 3.5 rebounds and 4.0 assists, and he only scored 11 points in 32 minutes on Sunday. However, his assist rate still remains high at 25.9% in this series and his rebounding rate is still on par with his average production (12.7%). Boston has been bullied on the glass, but he’s still the team leader (7.0 rpg). As with Thomas, this seems like a nice bounce back spot, and we have to appreciate a center who can contribute across the board as Horford has been doing for most of the postseason.
Unlike those two, Avery Bradley seems to carry more risk. He got another hip pointer in Game 4 and he only scored five points after scoring seven in the third meeting. Although he claims he’s fine, it’s something to consider as it’s clearly inhibited his performance the past two games. Jae Crowder had trouble scoring as well, going 2-for-9 from the field, but remained consistent on the glass, hauling in seven boards for the third consecutive game. He also added four assists and four steals. He’s now exceeded 26 FD points in four of the past five games and 30 in three of the past four. Porter has been better, but as mentioned, he could potentially lose a few minutes with Oubre back.
Marcus Smart scored nine for the third straight game. Although he hasn’t been very active on the offensive end this postseason, he’s turned it up a bit over the past three games. He’s taken at least seven field goal attempts overall, exactly four three points, and he’s gotten to the line five or more times in each one. Since he can contribute plenty of peripherals, he’s been able to score 20+ FD points in all but one game this postseason and he’s topped 25 four times. With his price dropping to $5,300 on FD, he’s an interesting tournament option. If he puts together a complete game, he could provide a solid return. Bradley’s injury could work in his favor in that regard, and he seems to have a pretty secure workload in competitive games.
Boston will roll with the same starting five as Sunday. Amir Johnson started but only played 12.4 minutes, he’s not really a viable fantasy option. Gerald Green came off the bench but didn’t get in until the Wizards went on the 26-0 tear in the third. He could simply be out of the rotation in a close game. The two bench guys to look at outside of Smart are Kelly Olynyk and Terry Rozier. Olynyk is very active for Boston, but he’s inconsistent. He scored 14 points on Sunday after averaging 4.5 in the two games prior. With the centers available on FD, there isn’t much of a reason to think about him. On DK, he makes a little more sense as he’s under $4k and roster construction is more flexible. Even so, he probably won’t receive enough time to be a huge fantasy asset at his price. Rozier has the trust of his coach and he’ll earn some minutes regardless of game flow. However, in Game 4, he picked up 12 of his 22.5 minutes in the fourth when the game was pretty much out of hand, and he scored 18.5 of his 23.9 FD points in the final frame. He’s capable of producing a nice stat line if given the time, so he’s in play as a high-risk GPP option, but he may need some garbage time.
Notable Fantasy Players
Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | FP/Min | Minutes | L5 +/- | FP/Game | L5 +/- | True Usage | L5 +/- | DvP | DRPM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Isaiah Thomas | $9,000 | $9,000 | 1.19 | 33.8 | 0.9 | 40.4 | -0.6 | 34.9% | -2.6% | 9 | -0.83 |
Avery Bradley | $6,000 | $5,600 | 0.84 | 33.4 | 1.1 | 28.1 | 1.0 | 21.5% | -0.9% | 16 | -0.94 |
Jae Crowder | $6,200 | $6,000 | 0.79 | 32.4 | 0.5 | 25.7 | 2.7 | 16.9% | 0.0% | 17 | 0.03 |
Amir Johnson | $2,500 | $2,600 | 0.82 | 20.1 | -12.4 | 16.5 | -12.4 | 14.3% | -1.4% | 22 | 1.54 |
Al Horford | $8,100 | $7,100 | 1.00 | 32.3 | 1.0 | 32.2 | 4.1 | 21.6% | -3.5% | 20 | 1.33 |
Marcus Smart | $5,300 | $5,400 | 0.80 | 30.4 | 0.4 | 24.2 | -2.0 | 20.7% | -2.5% | 16 | N/A |
Kelly Olynyk | $4,700 | $3,900 | 0.90 | 20.5 | -2.5 | 18.5 | -4.5 | 19.5% | 1.2% | 20 | N/A |
Terry Rozier | $2,500 | $3,600 | 0.74 | 17.1 | 0.9 | 12.7 | 3.6 | 18.2% | -2.9% | 9 | N/A |
Elite Plays – Isaiah Thomas, Al Horford
Secondary Plays – Avery Bradley, Jae Crowder, Marcus Smart, Kelly Olynyk, Terry Rozier
San Antonio Spurs at Houston Rockets – Thursday, 8:00 PM ET
San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | |||||||||||
![]() | Vegas Total | 214.0 | ![]() | Vegas Total | 214.0 | |||||||
Vegas Spread | 7.0 | Vegas Spread | -7.0 | |||||||||
Team Total | 103.5 | Team Total | 110.5 | |||||||||
Pace +/- | 3.8 | Pace +/- | -2.3 | |||||||||
Proj. Starter | Patty Mills | Danny Green | Kawhi Leonard | LaMarcus Aldridge | Pau Gasol | Proj. Starter | Patrick Beverley | Eric Gordon | James Harden | Trevor Ariza | Clint Capela | |
Opponent Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | Opponent Rank | PG | SG | SF | PF | C | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adj. DvP | 25 | 26 | 23 | 27 | 26 | Adj. DvP | 8 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
DRPM | 1.89 | -0.13 | -1.81 | 1.54 | 1.25 | DRPM | -1.07 | 2.10 | 0.85 | 1.25 | 1.43 |
San Antonio Spurs
- Notable Injuries: Tony Parker (quad, out)
- San Antonio Spurs Offense
Points Per Game: 105.3 (14 of 30)
Implied Team Total: 103.5 (4 of 4)
Projected Point Differential: -1.8 (2 of 4)
Pace of Play: 96.4 (27 of 30)
Projected Pace Differential: 3.8 (1 of 4)
- Houston Rockets Defense
Points Allowed Per Game: 109.6 (26 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 106.4 (17 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: + 0.3 (14 of 30)
Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game: 210.0 (26 of 30)
The Spurs drafter Manu Ginobili when James Harden was ten years old. Nearly 18 years later, the old man blocked the latter at the overtime buzzer in a pivotal Game 5 matchup to seal a victory. With Kawhi Leonard on the bench dealing with ankle and knee issues, played the entire extra period and added two rebounds and assist to the block. All in all, the veteran had his best game of the postseason, finishing with 12 points, seven rebounds, and five assists in 32 minutes of action.
With Nene out for the Rockets, they went with smaller lineups with Ryan Anderson at center at several points during the game. San Antonio countered by limiting their starting center Pau Gasol to 20 minutes and moving LaMarcus Aldridge to the five at times. Jonathon Simmons came in for Gasol in the first quarter and dropped six points in the period. He finished with 12 points in 32 minutes after playing the entire overtime ahead of Gasol. Coach Gregg Popovich decided to bench Dejounte Murray in favor of Patty Mills heading into the game; the former didn’t end up entering the game once. Instead, Mills got a 38-minute run through four quarters and another five in OT. It appears this will be San Antonio’s strategy in Game 6 – Patty Mills should be up there with Leonard (if he plays) and Aldridge in terms of minutes while Simmons could end up in the mid-20s. Ginobili may cross 20 minutes, although he could receive more depending on Leonard’s status. It’s also worth noting that Danny Green picked up 35 minutes prior to OT; he seems locked into a sizable workload as well. Green hasn’t had the best postseason, but he scored seven of San Antonio’s nine points in overtime and finished 4-for-8 from three.
In terms of the value guys – Green, Ginobili, Simmons – Simmons may be the most interesting option on FanDuel. Unlike previous slates he was on with two elite small forwards, there’s Kawhi and three choices between $5,400-$6,200 (Ariza, Porter, and Crowder) while Simmons is just $2,500. With his expanded role, he may offer enough upside to be worth a roster spot. He’s now scored 11+ points in four of the last five games and he’s topped 23.4 FD points in two straight. He’s also boasting a 28.2% usage rate since Parker went down, which is second on the team. On DraftKings, he’s $3,800, which makes it tougher. Even so, he looks like he’s one of the best options under $4k. Should Leonard end up sitting out Game 6, or is expected to be limited, Ginobili would become a top value. If Leonard is in, he’s still in play as he should pick up some extra minutes with Dejounte Murray out of the rotation entirely. After a shaky start to the playoffs, Ginobili is averaging 0.84 FD ppm with a 20.4% usage rate, right in line with his normal numbers. At that pace, he would need 24 minutes to surpass 20 FD points. As for Green, he ended up having a solid performance on Tuesday, but as mentioned, he was aided by overtime. With Ginobili $1,000 less on FanDuel, it may be worth the risk of going down to him as Green generally carries limited upside; he’s set a per-minute pace of 0.58 FD ppm in this series.
Leonard said he’ll play tomorrow after suffering an ankle injury in Game 5. He was also on the sidelines getting treatment on his knee throughout the night. Even with the knee issue, he was having a huge game prior to his injury, he finished with 22 points and 15 rebounds. Following the ankle injury, he looked hurt though and he was unable to score in the fourth quarter. Unfortunately, he’ll only get one day off, but for what it’s worth, he said he was just a “little sore.” As of now, we should expect him to play a full game to close out the series and he’s one of the top targets on the slate, although he’ll certainly carry more risk than normal.
Aldridge was also a beast on the glass, hauling in 14 boards. It was only his first game with double-digit rebounds in this series, but with Gasol playing limited minutes and the Rockets going small, he should have an advantageous spot. Although he wasn’t efficient as a scorer, dropping 18 on 21 shots, it’s great to see him take 21 attempts. In the three games without Parker, he’s averaged 18.0 FGAs per game, which makes him a terrific option. He’ll look even better if Leonard ends up missing the game. Across 314.5 minutes with Leonard off the court this season, Aldridge’s usage increased 6.1% to 32.3% and his per-minute production jumped 0.24 FD ppm to 1.18. He’ll continue playing a ton of minutes either way, as will Patty Mills. The latter dropped 20 points on Tuesday and he’s now averaging 0.73 FD ppm in the three games without Parker. His price remains reasonable and he’s looking like a better value with Murray out of the rotation.
Over at center, Gasol is looking risky. He may continue to see limited minutes due to both teams going small. Backup David Lee only played 11 minutes in Game 5. While he was able to turn them into 11.6 FD points, that’s not enough to be a great value and he might continue in a similar role for the same reasons as Gasol.
Notable Fantasy Players
Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | FP/Min | Minutes | L5 +/- | FP/Game | L5 +/- | True Usage | L5 +/- | DvP | DRPM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patty Mills | $4,600 | $5,300 | 0.79 | 21.9 | 0.2 | 17.2 | -1.1 | 21.8% | 1.1% | 25 | 1.89 |
Danny Green | $3,800 | $4,300 | 0.62 | 26.6 | 0.8 | 16.5 | -1.5 | 13.8% | 0.4% | 26 | -0.13 |
Kawhi Leonard | $10,600 | $10,700 | 1.22 | 33.4 | 4.6 | 40.6 | 7.6 | 30.9% | -4.3% | 23 | -1.81 |
LaMarcus Aldridge | $7,000 | $6,900 | 0.96 | 32.4 | 2.3 | 31.1 | -2.3 | 24.0% | -2.6% | 27 | 1.54 |
Pau Gasol | $5,800 | $5,900 | 1.06 | 25.4 | -1.7 | 26.9 | -6.7 | 21.5% | -4.0% | 26 | 1.25 |
Manu Ginobili | $2,800 | $3,300 | 0.84 | 18.7 | -2.6 | 15.7 | -2.4 | 22.0% | -1.2% | 26 | N/A |
Jonathon Simmons | $2,500 | $3,800 | 0.67 | 17.9 | -3.4 | 11.9 | -2.2 | 18.9% | 4.9% | 23 | N/A |
Elite Plays – Kawhi Leonard, LaMarcus Aldridge
Secondary Plays – Patty Mills, Jonathon Simmons, Danny Green, Pau Gasol
Houston Rockets
- Notable Injuries: Nene (groin, out)
- Houston Rockets Offense
Points Per Game: 115.3 (2 of 30)
Implied Team Total: 110.5 (1 of 4)
Projected Point Differential: -4.8 (4 of 4)
Pace of Play: 102.5 (3 of 30)
Projected Pace Differential: -2.3 (4 of 4)
- San Antonio Spurs Defense
Points Allowed Per Game: 98.1 (2 of 30)
Defensive Efficiency: 100.9 (1 of 30)
Rebounding Differential: + 2.4 (6 of 30)
Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game: 188.8 (2 of 30)
The Rockets went with a seven-man rotation in Game 5 and figure to use the same strategy on Thursday. Ryan Anderson came off the bench and picked up 36 minutes (33 in regulation), two more than starter Clint Capela. Although they were on the court together for several periods of time, Anderson had a few runs at center. Most notably, in the third quarter, he scored seven points and grabbed three rebounds while Capela was on the bench for the Rockets and Pau Gasol was on the sidelines for the Spurs. He ended up scoring 19 points in total and pulled down seven boards. Even though he’s going to be the sixth-man, he’ll earn a sizable, secure workload. The concern remains his inconsistent scoring and he’s only averaged 0.65 FD ppm in this series, but he’s a viable tournament pick.
Capela received 30 minutes in regulation (34 with OT), which is a nice bump above the 23-25 he had been playing when Nene was healthy. He had three blocks and ended up one point shy of a double-double (nine points, 11 rebounds). He’s had some huge games in this series, including a pair of double-doubles. Considering he’s getting extra minutes and he’s averaging 1.2 FD ppm in the second round, he’s looking like a very intriguing target, especially with Gasol and Marcin Gortat seeing reduced workloads.
Houston’s tight rotation paired with overtime allowed four guys to surpass 40 minutes: Eric Gordon (44), James Harden (43), Patrick Beverley (42), and Trevor Ariza (40). It’s not surprising to see Harden and Ariza reach those numbers as they’ve been playing the most minutes on the team this postseason. Gordon was forced into the starting lineup in this game and it seems like we can expect him to push towards 36 minutes in regulation tomorrow. He struggled to get things going on offense as he only scored 11 points, but he did take 13 shots overall and six threes. He’s struggled all season when on the floor with this first unit, so it’s a positive sign to see him get so many opportunities to score. He also pulled down six rebounds and added three assists. The final fantasy result may not have been great, but he still looks like a solid target at his price. Beverley was much more effective, scoring 20 points on ten shots as he was hot from three, going 5-of-7. He’s getting a lot of minutes in this series as Lou Williams has seen his workload decline. That’s great to see, but he doesn’t offer much more than Patty Mills, so it makes sense to take the savings on the latter on FanDuel if interested in paying down at the position. Williams was cold, going 3-for-10 overall and 0-for-5 from three. He’s been struggling this series, he’s now 3-for-16 from deep in the second. He’ll still get time on the floor and he could potentially push towards 30 minutes if he’s shooting well. His ownership will remain low, but he can score in bunches, so he remains an interesting high-risk, high-reward tournament option. In that case, he could potentially steal a few minutes from Beverley or Gordon.
Ariza only scored nine on 3-of-10 shooting, bringing his series average to 13.4 points. He added eight rebounds, matching a personal high for this postseason. With the way Otto Porter and Jae Crowder have been playing, they seem like stronger targets. That said, Ariza will likely come with lower ownership in tournaments. Plus, he’s averaging 11.3 FGAs and 7.7 3PAs over the past three contests, so he brings plenty of upside to the table if he can get those shots to drop.
As expected, Harden is leading the team with a 34.1% usage rate in the playoffs. He posted in first triple-double on Tuesday after exploding in the first half for 23 points, eight rebounds, and five assists. He slowed down after the break, tallying ten points, two rebounds, and five assists. Although it will be difficult for him to repeat that type of performance against the Spurs, there’s little question he’s going to enter full takeover mode in an elimination game at home. His price on DraftKings is favorable at $10,900, especially considering he’s just $100 more than Wall and $200 more than Leonard, who’s dealing with an injury. He’s proven his ability to generate assists against San Antonio as he’s averaging 10 per game and he may benefit on the glass from the smaller lineups as he did in Game 5. His points are down a pit (27.4 vs 29.1) and that can be attributed to him taking 3.7 fewer FTAs than average (7.2 vs. 10.9). He’s still managed to score 33+ in two games in the second round though and he launched 15 threes in Game 5. Expect his volume to be sky high tomorrow night.
Notable Fantasy Players
Player | FD Salary | DK Salary | FP/Min | Minutes | L5 +/- | FP/Game | L5 +/- | True Usage | L5 +/- | DvP | DRPM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patrick Beverley | $5,500 | $5,100 | 0.82 | 30.7 | -2.5 | 25.2 | -1.7 | 16.3% | 5.3% | 8 | -1.07 |
Eric Gordon | $5,200 | $5,300 | 0.77 | 31.0 | 0.3 | 23.8 | -0.6 | 22.0% | -4.5% | 12 | 2.10 |
James Harden | $12,400 | $10,900 | 1.48 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 53.9 | -9.2 | 38.6% | -0.8% | 2 | 0.85 |
Trevor Ariza | $5,900 | $5,600 | 0.72 | 34.7 | 2.9 | 25.1 | -2.4 | 14.4% | -1.5% | 2 | 1.25 |
Clint Capela | $6,500 | $6,100 | 1.08 | 23.9 | 0.4 | 25.9 | 3.8 | 19.1% | -3.6% | 2 | 1.43 |
Ryan Anderson | $4,200 | $5,200 | 0.71 | 29.4 | -0.8 | 20.9 | -4.8 | 17.2% | -4.5% | 2 | N/A |
Lou Williams | $4,600 | $4,700 | 1.03 | 24.6 | -1.3 | 25.4 | -8.7 | 28.9% | -5.6% | 12 | N/A |