NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for Warriors vs. Nuggets (12/25)
What kind of performances can we expect on Christmas from Nikola Jokic, Stephen Curry, and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for today — Monday, December 25, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA player props, at ScoresandOdds.
Merry Christmas! The second of five NBA Christmas Day games this afternoon will feature Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors against Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets. Ahead of tip-off, the Nuggets are favored by 7-points on the spread.
If looking to target the player prop market instead of a side or total in this contest, we have three player prop leans worth considering for today’s Christmas Day matchup between the Warriors and Nuggets!
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NBA Player Props Today – Monday, December 25, 2023
- Nikola Jokic Over/Under 24.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
- Stephen Curry Over/Under 28.5 Points
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over/Under 8.5 Points
Nikola Jokic Over/Under 49.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
In recent seasons, Nikola Jokic has performed much better at home than on the road, and this year has been no exception. Jokic is averaging 28.5 points, 12.5 rebounds, and 9.5 assists in 13 home contests this season, compared to 24.7 points, 12.1 rebounds, and 9.0 assists in 17 games on the road.
This afternoon, Jokic gets an extremely favorable matchup against an undersized Warriors team that is playing without Draymond Green. Since Green last played on December 12, Golden State ranks 29th in opponent field goal attempts per game allowed in the paint and 30th in opponent field goal percentage on such shots. Jokic should be able to score at will on Christmas Day, and he can usually be counted on to fill up the stat sheet with rebounds and assists when playing in front of his home fans – making this a worthwhile risk on Monday.
- PICK: Jokic OVER 49.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-120), FanDuel
Stephen Curry Over/Under 28.5 Points
In 14 road games this season, Stephen Curry is only averaging 26.5 points per game and has only eclipsed this market number six times. This afternoon, he has a difficult task ahead of him, facing a Nuggets defense that ranks 5th in efficiency since Jamal Murray returned to the floor earlier this month. Since December 6, the Nuggets have allowed the 8th-fewest opponent 3-point attempts per game and the 7th-lowest success rate on such shots. Curry is likely to have a difficult time approaching 30 points on Christmas.
- PICK: Curry UNDER 28.5 Points (-105), DraftKings
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over/Under 8.5 Points
This season, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been a completely different player at home than on the road. In 11 home games, he is averaging 11.7 points on 59.0% shooting from the floor, including 51.3% shooting from beyond the arc. In 18 road contests, he is averaging only 8.9 points on 38.2% shooting from the floor, including 35.6% shooting from beyond the arc.
According to props.cash, Caldwell-Pope has scored at least 8 points in each of his games at home this year, and has scored at least 9 points in nine of those contests. The Warriors have allowed the 4th-most opponent 3-point field goals since Draymond Green last played on December 12, meaning that Caldwell-Pope should have more than enough volume to get the job done here.
- PICK: Caldwell-Pope OVER 8.5 Points (-105), BetMGM
Check out more DFS sites with Fantasy basketball pick’em like Betr Picks.
NBA 2023-2024 Results – Wager Type
Points: 40-25-2
Rebounds: 14-19-1
Assists: 10-11-1
Points + Rebounds + Assists: 7-12
Points + Rebounds: 4-0
Rebounds + Assists: 3-2
Three-Pointers Made: 11-4
Field Goals Attempted: 1-0
3-Point Field Goals Attempted: 0-0-1
Turnovers: 1-0
Steals: 0-1
Blocks + Steals: 0-1
Combined Record: 91-73-6 (55.6%)
Image Credit: Getty Images