NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for Saturday (1/27)
What kind of performances can we expect on Saturday from Luka Doncic, Jayson Tatum, and James Harden? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for today — Saturday, January 27, 2024. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA player props, at ScoresandOdds.
Saturday’s NBA slate began earlier this afternoon with a pair of afternoon contests, but there are still 8 games left to tip off as of this writing, leaving plenty of time for bettors to get involved in the action! The night’s action will feature plenty of star talent, including Luka Doncic fresh off of his historic 73-point performance on Friday evening against the Hawks.
If looking to target the player prop market today, we have three player prop leans worth considering for Saturday, January 27th!
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NBA Player Props Today – Saturday, January 27, 2024
- Luka Doncic Over/Under 40.5 Points
- Jayson Tatum Over/Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made
- James Harden Over/Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made
Luka Doncic Over/Under 40.5 Points
Even after scoring a career-high 73 points on Friday evening, Luka Doncic is averaging only 37.3 points per game during the month of January and 34.6 points per game for the season. According to RotoGrinders CourtIQ, Doncic is still averaging only 34.2 points per 36 minutes of action this season with Kyrie Irving off of the floor. In 16 games with Irving inactive, Doncic has scored 40 points or more only 3 times and only twice has he scored more than 40 points. Opposing guards have posted strong performances against the Kings in recent weeks, but this is simply a bet on principle alone – no NBA player should have his pre-game over/under set this high in any matchup.
- PICK: Doncic UNDER 40.5 Points (-120), BetMGM
Jayson Tatum Over/Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made
In 20 home games this season, Jayson Tatum has made at least 3 shots from beyond the arc 13 times, including 6 of his last 10 home contests and 4 of his last 5 games at TD Garden. Only once this season has Tatum made fewer than 2 three-pointers in a home game, indicating that he is consistently competitive at this market number. The Clippers have been average defensively on the perimeter during the last month, ranking 12th in opponent 3-point attempts per game and 16th in opponent 3-point percentage. The juice is likely to be worth the squeeze here.
- PICK: Tatum OVER 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (-170), Bet365
James Harden Over/Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made
Entering play on Saturday, James Harden has only hit 3 three-pointers in 7 of his 18 road games this season. Tonight, he gets a tough matchup against a Celtics defense that leads the NBA in opponent 3-point percentage across the last 30 days of action. In the last three weeks, the only point guards who have managed to hit more than 2 three-pointers against the Celtics are Damian Lillard, Jamal Murray, and Kyrie Irving – and only Murray went over his pre-game market number for three-pointers made. This is great value on Harden at plus money against a good perimeter defense.
- PICK: Harden UNDER 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (+120), BetMGM
Check out more DFS sites with Fantasy basketball pick’em like Betr Picks.
NBA 2023-2024 Results – Wager Type
Points: 59-46-2
Rebounds: 26-25-1
Assists: 18-17-1
Points + Rebounds + Assists: 8-15
Points + Rebounds: 7-1
Points + Assists: 3-0
Rebounds + Assists: 3-3
Three-Pointers Made: 15-9
Field Goals Attempted: 1-0
3-Point Field Goals Attempted: 0-0-1
Turnovers: 1-0
Steals: 0-1
Blocks + Steals: 0-1
Combined Record: 141-119-6 (54.7%)
Image Credit: Getty Images