NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for Saturday (3/2)
What kind of performances can we expect on Saturday from Anthony Davis, Michael Porter, and Austin Reaves? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for today — Saturday, March 2, 2024. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA player props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Saturday! The NBA’s 5-game slate began earlier today in Brooklyn, but there are still 4 games left to tip off as of this writing, including 3 games with an 8:00 p.m. ET scheduled tip off or later. This evening’s action is highlighted by a prime time affair featuring Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets against Anthony Davis and the Lakers on ABC – a game that has plenty of betting value.
If looking to target the player prop market today, we have three player prop leans worth considering for Saturday, March 2!
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NBA Player Props Today – Saturday, March 2, 2024
- Anthony Davis Over/Under 24.5 Points
- Michael Porter Over/Under 17.5 Points
- Austin Reaves Over/Under 5.5 Assists
Anthony Davis Over/Under 24.5 Points
When the Nuggets and Lakers met on February 8, Anthony Davis had 32 points and led all players on his team in field goal attempts. Tonight, Davis gets a favorable matchup against the Nuggets once again. In 57 games overall this year, Davis has scored 25+ points 35 times (61% hit-rate). At home, Davis has scored at least 25 points in 20 of 30 games. Denver has done a poor job defending around the rim of late, ranking 26th in opponent field goal attempts per game in the paint during the last month. Davis should have enough volume to get the job done here.
- PICK: Davis OVER 24.5 Points (-105), BetMGM
Michael Porter Over/Under 17.5 Points
Michael Porter is averaging 16.4 points per game this season, but he has some of the most stark home/away splits of any player in the NBA. He’s averaging 18.0 points on 49.4% shooting in 29 games at home compared to 15.0 points on 45.4% shooting in 30 road games this season. According to props.cash, Porter has scored fewer than 18 points in 18 of those 30 road games this season, and 42 of 70 road games dating back to the beginning of last season. The Lakers struggle to defend opposing forwards, but this is still a tall number for Porter when he’s not playing in front of his home fans.
- PICK: Porter UNDER 17.5 Points (-115), FanDuel
Austin Reaves Over/Under 4.5 Assists
Entering play on Saturday, Austin Reaves has eclipsed this market number in 30 of 50 games this season in which both LeBron James and Anthony Davis are active. Reaves has been even more active as a facilitator at home, posting at least 5 assists in 19 of 29 home games alongside the Lakers’ superstar duo. Tonight, Reaves gets a favorable matchup against a Nuggets defense that ranks near the league average in opponent assists per game during the last month. Five assists is a very achievable number for him in this spot.
- PICK: Reaves OVER 4.5 Assists (-135), Bet365
Check out more DFS sites with Fantasy basketball pick’em like Betr Picks.
NBA 2023-2024 Results – Wager Type
Points: 77-61-3
Rebounds: 32-30-2
Assists: 19-20-3
Points + Rebounds + Assists: 10-15
Points + Rebounds: 10-1
Points + Assists: 4-0
Rebounds + Assists: 3-4
Three-Pointers Made: 18-17
Field Goals Attempted: 1-0
3-Point Field Goals Attempted: 0-0-1
Turnovers: 1-0
Steals: 0-1
Blocks + Steals: 0-1
Combined Record: 175-150-9 (53.8%)
Image Credit: Getty Images