NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for Saturday (11/11)
What kind of performances can we expect on Saturday from Stephen Curry, Clint Capela, and Donovan Mitchell? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for today — Saturday, November 11, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA player props, at ScoresandOdds.
Saturday’s NBA slate features only four games, but there is no shortage of star talent on display! The action will begin in Orlando at 6:00 PM ET with Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard traveling to take on the Magic. Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Jimmy Butler, Donovan Mitchell, and Stephen Curry are among the other star players in action later today, giving bettors plenty of high-quality options on the player prop market.
Below, we take a look at three player prop leans worth considering for November 11, 2023!
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NBA Player Props Today – Saturday, November 11
- Stephen Curry Over/Under 5.5 3-Pointers Made
- Clint Capela Over/Under 18.5 Points + Rebounds
- Donovan Mitchell More/Less Than 4.5 Rebounds
Stephen Curry Over/Under 5.5 3-Pointers Made
Curry is having a sensational start to the new campaign from beyond the arc, even by his own lofty standards. Entering play on Saturday, Curry is averaging 5.9 3-pointers made per game, which would be a career best by a significant margin if sustained over the course of the entire season. His 47.3% shooting from downtown this season is 4.5% higher than his career average. To further illustrate how ridiculous Curry has been this season, he is the only player in the NBA averaging more than 4.1 3-pointers made per game, and Curry is doing so on only 32.1 minutes per game. On Saturday, Curry has a tough matchup against a Cleveland defense that is allowing the 5th-fewest 3-point attempts per game this season. Curry could have a strong shooting night and still end up under this market number.
- PICK: Curry UNDER 5.5 3-Pointers Made (-139), Caesars
Clint Capela Over/Under 18.5 Points + Rebounds
Through 8 games this season, Capela is averaging 10.1 points and 10.5 rebounds. On Saturday, he gets a favorable matchup against the Miami Heat, who have struggled against opposing centers so far this season. Capela is averaging 7.4 field-goal attempts per game this season, 6.1 of which are coming in the restricted area. Miami ranks 17th in opponent field-goal attempts per game in the restricted area and 27th in opponent field-goal percentage in the restricted area. The Heat have also struggled on the glass, ranking 21st in rebound percentage and 14th in opponent rebounds per game. According to props.cash, 8 of 9 centers to face Miami this season (excluding Anthony Davis leaving early due to injury) have eclipsed their market number for rebounds. Capela should contend for a double-double in this matchup.
- PICK: Capela OVER 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-123), Caesars
Donovan Mitchell More/Less Than 4.5 Rebounds
Mitchell is averaging a career-best 4.9 rebounds per game through his first 7 contests this season, but that number is likely to come down now that Darius Garland is back in the lineup. Mitchell averaged 5.7 rebounds on 10.3 rebound chances in 3 games with Garland sidelined from October 27th to November 1st, but he is averaging only 4 rebounds on 7.7 rebound chances across his last 3 games since Garland returned. Golden State has only allowed one opposing guard to record 5 rebounds against them since November 5th, a sample that includes 11 guards with a rebound market number made available. Mitchell is likely to record fewer than 5 rebounds on Saturday.
- PICK: Mitchell LESS THAN 4.5 Rebounds
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NBA 2023-2024 Results – Wager Type
Points: 15-9-1
Rebounds: 2-4
Assists: 1-7
Points + Rebounds + Assists: 1-3
Rebounds + Assists: 2-2
Three-Pointers Made: 1-1
Field Goals Attempted: 1-0
3-Point Field Goals Attempted: 0-0-1
Combined Record: 23-24-3 (48.9%)