NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for Pelicans vs. Lakers (12/7)

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What kind of performances can we expect on Thursday from LeBron James, Anthony Davis, and Brandon Ingram? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for today — Thursday, December 7, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA player props, at ScoresandOdds.

This evening’s NBA slate features only two games, but fans should be plenty entertained by the first ever In-Season Tournament semifinals. Stars such as Tyrese Haliburton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Damian Lillard, Brandon Ingram, LeBron James, and Anthony Davis will all be in action tonight, giving bettors plenty of opportunities to consider on the player prop market.

Below, we take a look at three player prop leans worth considering for December 7, 2023!

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NBA Player Props Today – Thursday, December 7, 2023

LeBron James Over/Under 43.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

In five In-Season Tournament games, LeBron James is averaging 26.2 points, 8.0 rebounds, and 8.2 assists – totaling 42.2 points + rebounds + assists (PRA). However, those numbers are negatively skewed due to a group stage game against the Grizzlies in which James had only 31 PRA in 23 minutes of action in a blowout win. Against Phoenix on Tuesday night, James totaled 31 points, 8 rebounds, and 11 assists, putting him comfortably north of this market number in a win-or-go-home game. James has spoken publicly about his determination for winning this tournament, and we all know how much James loves the city of Las Vegas. This market number is still too low, even with James being 38 years old.

Anthony Davis Over/Under 26.5 Points

Anthony Davis is averaging 16.2 field goal attempts per game this season, 8.1 of which are coming in the restricted area and 5.5 of which are coming in the paint. In the last month, the Pelicans have allowed the 4th-fewest opponent field goal attempts in the restricted area and the 7th-fewest opponent field goal attempts in the paint. Davis is averaging only 21.2 points in five In-Season Tournament games this year, and that includes a 27-point effort from Tuesday against the Suns – a team that allows a tremendous amount of shots around the rim. Davis is unlikely to have anywhere near as many opportunities tonight, making the under a strong value play at plus money.

Brandon Ingram Over/Under 23.5 Points

Narrative plays are unlikely to be profitable long-term in their own right, but when a narrative play aligns with good data, we have good reason to fire. Brandon Ingram is averaging 27.4 points per game during the NBA In-Season Tournament this year on 20.8 field goal attempts per contest. Ingram has clearly held a grudge against his former team as well, averaging 25.5 points per game against the Lakers during his career, which is more than he has averaged against any other team. On Thursday, Ingram is likely to shine under the bright lights against the franchise that traded him.

Check out more DFS sites with Fantasy basketball pick’em like Betr Picks.

NBA 2023-2024 Results – Wager Type

Points: 27-15-2
Rebounds: 7-18
Assists: 6-10-1
Points + Rebounds + Assists: 4-8
Points + Rebounds: 4-0
Rebounds + Assists: 3-2
Three-Pointers Made: 6-2
Field Goals Attempted: 1-0
3-Point Field Goals Attempted: 0-0-1
Turnovers: 1-0
Steals: 0-1
Blocks + Steals: 0-1

Combined Record: 59-55-5 (51.4%)

Image Credit: Getty Images

About the Author

nickgalaida
Nick Galaida (nickgalaida)

A failed high school pitcher, Nick Galaida discovered that he has a higher aptitude for analyzing and writing about sports than he does playing them. To his friends, he is better known as “The Commish.” When he’s not organizing a fantasy league, placing a bet, or writing an article, he’s probably nose-deep in a book—further illustrating the point that his niche in this world is as a nerd rather than an athlete. Follow Nick on Twitter – @CommishFilmRoom