NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for Thursday (3/14)
What kind of performances can we expect on Thursday from Kevin Durant, Chet Holmgren, and Jalen Green? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for today — Thursday, March 14, 2024. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA player props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Thursday! Tonight’s 6-game NBA slate begins at 7:30 p.m. ET with a matchup between the Phoenix Suns and Boston Celtics on TNT. The rest of the action is spread throughout the rest of the evening, concluding with a battle between the Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder at 10:00 p.m. ET, also on TNT.
If looking to target the player prop market today, we have three player prop leans worth considering for Thursday, March 14!
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NBA Player Props Today – Thursday, March 14, 2024
- Kevin Durant Over/Under 39.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
- Chet Holmgren Over/Under 14.5 Points
- Jalen Green Over/Under 22.5 Points
Kevin Durant Over/Under 39.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Kevin Durant has been on a tear of late, scoring at least 35 points in 4 consecutive contests. However, it’s highly unlikely that he continues to average 26.3 field goal attempts per game going forward. In 58 games this season, Durant is averaging only 19.6 field goal attempts. His recent rebound numbers are also unlikely to be sustainable, given that he’s only averaging 11.3 rebound chances in his last 4 games. The same can be said for his facilitation numbers, considering he’s averaging only 8.0 potential assists in his last 4 games. Simply, Durant is due for some negative regression and it could happen as soon as tonight in an extremely tough matchup against the Celtics.
- PICK: Durant UNDER 39.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-106), FanDuel
Chet Holmgren Over/Under 14.5 Points
Chet Holmgren is averaging only 13.3 points per game to begin March, but his shot volume has remained consistent with the month of February, in which he averaged 19.3 points per game. The only difference has been a downturn in efficiency. Tonight, Holmgren could begin to experience some positive regression in that department, playing in front of his home fans.
In 33 home games this season, Holmgren is averaging 17.0 points on 54.2% shooting from the floor – 1.4% more efficient than his season-long numbers on the road. According to props.cash, Holmgren has scored at least 15 points in 25 of 33 home games this season, including 9 of his last 15 and 7 of his last 10 overall. He should be able to get the job done for us here.
- PICK: Holmgren OVER 14.5 Points (-135), FanDuel
Jalen Green Over/Under 22.5 Points
Jalen Green fell flat on his face on Tuesday against the Spurs, but he has an opportunity for a nice bounce-back performance on Thursday against the Wizards. Washington has been getting torched by opposing guards since the All-Star Break, allowing 25 points to Klay Thompson, 28 points to James Harden, and 38 points to Jordan Clarkson, as three notable examples. According to props.cash, 6 of the last 8 shooting guards to face the Wizards have gone over their pre-game market number for points. Green has never been afraid of shooting, even on his worst night. In a favorable matchup this evening, we could see him put together a strong showing.
- PICK: Green OVER 22.5 Points (-120), BetMGM
Check out more DFS sites with Fantasy basketball pick’em like Betr Picks.
NBA 2023-2024 Results – Wager Type
Points: 91-79-3
Rebounds: 32-30-2
Assists: 21-20-3
Points + Rebounds + Assists: 11-15
Points + Rebounds: 10-1
Points + Assists: 4-0
Rebounds + Assists: 3-4
Three-Pointers Made: 18-18
Field Goals Attempted: 1-0
3-Point Field Goals Attempted: 0-0-1
Turnovers: 1-0
Steals: 0-1
Blocks + Steals: 0-1
Combined Record: 192-169-9 (54.0%)
Image Credit: Getty Images