NFL DFS First Look on DraftKings and FanDuel: Conference Championships

Nacua of the Rams

The NFL DFS First Look, complete with sortable odds, matchup previews, projected starters, pace of play, and much more, will help you get an early start on the upcoming DraftKings and FanDuel slates that are loaded into our NFL DFS optimizer, LineupHQ.

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NFL Odds & Schedule

Road Team R-Total Home Team H-Total Favorite Spread Total Date Time (ET) Slate
New England Patriots 24.0 Denver Broncos 18.5 NEP -5.5 42.5 Sunday 1:00 pm Main
Los Angeles Rams 22.0 Seattle Seahawks 24.5 SEA -2.5 46.5 Sunday 4:30 pm Main

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Implied Team Totals & Matchup Chart

Offense Spread Total Matchup t EPA t PFF p EPA p PFF r EPA r PFF QB DvP RB DvP WR DvP TE DvP TIME (ET) SLATE
Denver Broncos 5.5 18.5 vs NEP 11 13 10 8 16 18 11 5 13 20 1:00 pm Main
New England Patriots -5.5 24.0 at DEN 8 6 9 12 8 5 6 1 9 17 1:00 pm Main
Seattle Seahawks -2.5 24.5 vs LAR 7 1 6 1 12 2 14 12 23 15 4:30 pm Main
Los Angeles Rams 2.5 22.0 at SEA 1 5 5 7 1 3 9 4 4 22 4:30 pm Main

Note: T EPA = total defensive EPA. T PFF = total defense on PFF. P EPA = EPA against the pass. P PFF = PFF grade against the pass. R EPA = EPA against the run. R PFF = PFF grade against the run. DVP = defense vs. position. Blue and green cells mark favorable matchups for the offense in the first column.


Playbook

D-Line vs. O-Line – Pressure Rate & Sack Potential

Defense Spread DraftKings FanDuel Press PrROE PFF Matchup Opp Total O Press O PrROE O PFF Defense C Press Sack Pot Time (ET) Slate
Broncos 5.5 $2,500 $4,400 43.1% 13.1 12 vs NEP 24.0 43.9% 12.2 6 Broncos 43.5% 1 1:00 pm Main
Patriots -5.5 $3,500 $5,000 39.6% 7.0 19 at DEN 18.5 36.8% 2.9 1 Patriots 38.2% 2 1:00 pm Main
Seahawks -2.5 $3,300 $4,100 38.3% 9.5 10 vs LAR 22.0 29.8% -2.7 25 Seahawks 34.1% 3 4:30 pm Main
Rams 2.5 $2,800 $3,800 38.2% 7.8 5 at SEA 24.5 31.6% 0.7 19 Rams 34.9% 4 4:30 pm Main

Note: PRESS = pressure rate on the opposing quarterback. PROE = pressure rate over expectation. PFF = PFF’s pass rush grades. The stats with O in front are for the opposing offensive line. C PRESS = the combined pressure rate of the defensive line and opposing offensive line. SACK POT = sack potential

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Offense vs. Defense – Rushing & Passing Potential

Offense Spread Total p PFF p EPA r PFF r EPA Matchup p PFF p EPA r PFF r EPA Offense P-POT R-POT Time (ET) Slate
Broncos 5.5 18.5 13 13 20 16 vs NEP 8 10 18 16 Broncos 4 3 1:00 pm Main
Patriots -5.5 24.0 3 1 28 25 at DEN 12 9 5 8 Patriots 1 4 1:00 pm Main
Seahawks -2.5 24.5 8 8 1 21 vs LAR 1 6 2 12 Seahawks 3 2 4:30 pm Main
Rams 2.5 22.0 1 3 5 4 at SEA 7 5 3 1 Rams 2 1 4:30 pm Main

Note: P PFF = PFF grade against the pass, P EPA = EPA against the pass, P PFF = PFF grade against the run, R EPA = EPA against the run, P-POT = offensive passing potential, R-POT = offensive rushing potential.

Projected Starters — Quarterback

Note: All statistics are from the 2024 season and will be updated for this season after Week 1.
Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel PaY/G PaT/G RuY/G RuT/G Int/G CPOE aDOT FPPG Matchup p PFF P EPA DvP Time (ET) Slate
Jarrett Stidham DEN 5.5 18.5 $4,500 $6,900 vs NEP 8 10 11 1:00 pm Main
Drake Maye NEP -5.5 24.0 $6,000 $8,100 259 1.8 25 0.2 0.5 9.8 9.3 21.4 at DEN 12 9 6 1:00 pm Main
Sam Darnold SEA -2.5 24.5 $5,500 $7,400 238 1.5 5 0.0 0.8 6.3 8.4 15.0 vs LAR 1 6 14 4:30 pm Main
Matthew Stafford LAR 2.5 22.0 $6,300 $8,300 277 2.7 1 0.0 0.5 3.4 9.4 21.3 at SEA 7 5 9 4:30 pm Main

Note: PaY/G = passing yards per game, PaT/G = passing touchdowns per game, RuY/G = rushing yards per game, RuT/G = rushing touchdowns per game, Int/G = interceptions per game, CPOE = completion percentage over expectation, aDOT = average depth of target, FPPG = fantasy points per game, PFF = PFF’s grades against the pass, pEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Running Back

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Snap% Att/G RuY/G Tar/G ReY/G Opps/G Tar % Rte % FPPG xFPPG Diff Matchup PFF EPA DVP Time (ET) Slate
RJ Harvey DEN 5.5 18.5 $5,900 $6,700 42% 8.6 31.8 3.4 20.9 12.0 10% 32% 12.2 11.1 -1.1 vs NEP 18 16 5 1:00 pm Main
J.K. Dobbins DEN 5.5 18.5 $4,000 $4,000 51% 15.3 77.2 1.4 3.7 16.7 4% 19% 11.6 11.0 -0.6 vs NEP 18 16 5 1:00 pm Main
Rhamondre Stevenson NEP -5.5 24.0 $6,000 $7,000 59% 9.3 43.1 2.6 24.6 11.9 9% 49% 13.0 10.4 -2.6 at DEN 5 8 1 1:00 pm Main
TreVeyon Henderson NEP -5.5 24.0 $5,500 $6,400 46% 10.6 53.6 2.4 13.0 13.0 8% 37% 12.2 10.3 -1.9 at DEN 5 8 1 1:00 pm Main
Kenneth Walker SEA -2.5 24.5 $6,200 $8,000 46% 13.0 60.4 2.0 16.6 15.0 7% 32% 11.3 10.8 -0.5 vs LAR 2 12 12 4:30 pm Main
Cam Akers SEA -2.5 24.5 $4,000 $4,000 4% 1.3 4.8 0.3 0.0 1.5 1% 2% 1.8 1.0 -0.8 vs LAR 2 12 12 4:30 pm Main
Kyren Williams LAR 2.5 22.0 $6,500 $8,600 68% 15.2 73.6 2.8 16.5 18.0 8% 47% 15.6 14.3 -1.3 at SEA 3 1 4 4:30 pm Main
Blake Corum LAR 2.5 22.0 $5,000 $5,900 29% 8.5 43.9 0.8 2.1 9.4 2% 15% 7.2 7.1 -0.1 at SEA 3 1 4 4:30 pm Main

Note: Snap% = percentage of snaps palyed, Att/G = rushing attempts per game, RuY/G = rushing yards per game, Tar/G = targets per game, ReY/G = receiving yards per game, Opps/G = opportunities per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, FPPG = fantasy points per game, xFPPG = expected fantasy points per game, rusEPA = opponent’s ERA against the run, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Wide Receiver

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Wide % Slot % Tar/G Rec/G Yar/G Tar % AY % Rte % aDOT 1READ FPPG xFPPG Diff Matchup EPA DVP TIME (ET) SLATE
Courtland Sutton DEN 5.5 18.5 $5,700 $7,300 81% 19% 7.1 4.4 59.8 20% 34% 82% 12.9 22% 12.9 13.7 0.8 vs NEP 10 13 1:00 pm Main
Marvin Mims DEN 5.5 18.5 $4,200 $5,900 65% 31% 3.4 2.5 21.5 9% 12% 42% 9.4 13% 5.9 6.4 0.5 vs NEP 10 13 1:00 pm Main
Lil’Jordan Humphrey DEN 5.5 18.5 $3,400 $5,200 64% 35% 2.3 1.3 15.6 7% 11% 38% 11.6 4% 3.5 4.9 1.4 vs NEP 10 13 1:00 pm Main
Stefon Diggs NEP -5.5 24.0 $5,800 $6,700 46% 54% 5.9 5.0 59.6 20% 20% 65% 8.7 12% 12.4 10.5 -1.9 at DEN 9 9 1:00 pm Main
Kayshon Boutte NEP -5.5 24.0 $4,500 $6,000 90% 10% 3.2 2.4 39.4 11% 23% 69% 17.5 13% 8.9 6.8 -2.2 at DEN 9 9 1:00 pm Main
Demario Douglas NEP -5.5 24.0 $3,600 $5,300 18% 81% 2.6 1.8 26.3 9% 10% 35% 9.7 8% 5.6 5.3 -0.3 at DEN 9 9 1:00 pm Main
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA -2.5 24.5 $8,000 $9,400 76% 23% 9.2 7.0 105.5 33% 49% 92% 11.4 25% 21.2 17.7 -3.5 vs LAR 6 23 4:30 pm Main
Cooper Kupp SEA -2.5 24.5 $3,800 $5,800 50% 49% 4.3 2.9 37.1 15% 16% 78% 8.1 4% 7.4 7.8 0.4 vs LAR 6 23 4:30 pm Main
Rashid Shaheed SEA -2.5 24.5 $4,100 $5,500 66% 34% 4.9 3.3 38.2 16% 24% 72% 11.4 16% 8.1 9.0 0.9 vs LAR 6 23 4:30 pm Main
Puka Nacua LAR 2.5 22.0 $9,000 $9,800 63% 35% 10.2 8.1 107.2 29% 30% 75% 9.2 19% 23.5 18.1 -5.4 at SEA 5 4 4:30 pm Main
Davante Adams LAR 2.5 22.0 $6,000 $8,000 86% 14% 7.9 4.3 56.4 24% 36% 77% 13.3 21% 15.9 17.7 1.8 at SEA 5 4 4:30 pm Main
Jordan Whittington LAR 2.5 22.0 $3,100 $4,600 42% 57% 1.4 1.1 10.1 4% 3% 31% 6.5 2% 2.1 2.4 0.3 at SEA 5 4 4:30 pm Main

Note: Wide% = how often a wideout lines up on the outside, Slot% = how often a wideout lines up in the slot, Tar/G = targets per game, Rec/G = receptions per game, Yar/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Air % = percentage of team air yards, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, aDOT = average depth of target, 1READ = 1st read %, FPPG = fantasy points per game, xFPPG = expected fantasy points per game, pasEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Projected Starters — Tight End

Player Team Spread Total DraftKings FanDuel Tar/G Rec/G Yar/G Tar % Air % Rte % aDOT 1READ FPPG xFPPG Diff Matchup EPA DVP TIME (ET) SLATE
Evan Engram DEN 5.5 18.5 $3,300 $5,000 4.6 3.1 28.8 13% 8% 53% 4.5 4% 6.4 7.5 1.1 vs NEP 10 20 1:00 pm Main
Hunter Henry NEP -5.5 24.0 $4,800 $5,700 4.9 3.5 45.2 17% 15% 72% 8.1 6% 10.5 10.1 -0.4 at DEN 9 17 1:00 pm Main
AJ Barner SEA -2.5 24.5 $4,000 $5,200 3.8 3.1 30.5 13% 9% 66% 5.2 3% 8.7 7.3 -1.4 vs LAR 6 15 4:30 pm Main
Colby Parkinson LAR 2.5 22.0 $3,500 $6,000 3.7 2.9 27.2 10% 6% 41% 4.8 4% 8.7 6.9 -1.8 at SEA 5 22 4:30 pm Main

Note: Wide% = how often a wideout lines up on the outside, Slot% = how often a wideout lines up in the slot, Tar/G = targets per game, Rec/G = receptions per game, Yar/G = receiving yards per game, Tar % = percentage of team targets, Air % = percentage of team air yards, Rte % = percentage of routes on total drop-backs, aDOT = average depth of target, 1READ = 1st read %, FPPG = fantasy points per game, xFPPG = expected fantasy points per game, pasEPA = opponent EPA against the pass, DvP = Defense vs. Position.

Stats Credit: ProFootballFocus (PFF) and Fantasy Points Data (FPD)

Image Credit: Imagn

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious