NFL DFS Expert Survey: Week 3
Our panel of experts is here to give you their NFL DFS advice for this week’s main slate by answering a handful of questions to help you make crucial lineup-building decisions. Want to know Noto’s three favorite players for cash games? Or SquirrelPatrol’s favorite correlation? Find out below!
NFL DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel Expert Survey for Week 3
Which player will you be most overweight on compared to the field?
Notorious: Chris Olave
SquirrelPatrol: Derek Carr
Stevietpfl: Zay Flowers
Krayton: Jordan Mason
ebeimfohr: Jaxon Smith-Njigba
ncorfield8k: Sam LaPorta
Davis Mattek: Kyler Murray
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What is your favorite correlation and why?
Notorious: Jalen Hurts + DeVonta Smith – The Eagles are playing at a faster pace this season under Kellen Moore, and their defense looks like it could be one of the worst in the NFL. With Hurts healthier than he was last season, he’s going to be asked to do a ton in this offense. On the season, he already has 26 rush attempts, over 100 yards, and a touchdown. With A.J. Brown out, Smith should see a higher target share. I will note that his slot rate went down to 39% with Brown out in Week 2, but that could lead to deeper targets downfield.
SquirrelPatrol: Derek Carr + Rashid Shaheed + DeVonta Smith – Saints players should definitely see some ownership after their outstanding first 2 games, but they may not see enough ownership. Carr and the Saints are in another good spot playing at home indoors against an Eagles defense that allowed the 2nd-most passing yards per game last season and has allowed the 3rd-most total yards per game this season. Shaheed is an explosive, underpriced player who isn’t seeing enough pOWN%, and Smith isn’t priced up enough with A.J. Brown out again.
Stevietpfl: Jordan Mason + 49ers D/ST – We’re currently projecting Mason to be one of the highest-owned players, but the 49ers D/ST isn’t getting any love. The Rams will be without their two best offensive weapons, and their offensive line ranks dead last in pass blocking. They’re also bottom 5 in run blocking. The Cardinals defense just sacked Matthew Stafford 5 times in Week 2 and scored double-digit fantasy points. I’ll have some exposure to the cheap Rams WRs, but I like the idea of being contrarian with the 49ers D/ST. The Rams defense has allowed 394 rushing yards in the first two weeks. Mason has played 81% of the snaps and attempted 76.2% of the team’s rushing attempts this season. I’m just going to keep playing him with Christian McCaffrey out.
Krayton: C.J. Stroud + Nico Collins – I debated on going Stroud or Kyler Murray, and I ultimately sided with Stroud, who I think is in a great position to have a ceiling game against my Minnesota Vikings. With Joe Mixon not practicing so far this week with an ankle injury and with backup Dameon Pierce hurt as well, I think we will see the passing game on full display. Collins is a guy that I will have a lot of exposure to, but I also think it’s a great spot to buy low on Tank Dell. He is too talented, and although he is off to a slow start, I love his price point on both sites. He could easily be one of the top-scoring WRs on the slate.
ebeimfohr: Geno Smith + Jaxon Smith-Njigba – Based on projections I’m seeing around the industry, the market has not quite gotten on board with the JSN 2nd-year breakout. But we saw in Week 2 the gigantic shift in the Seahawks offense in 2024, with JSN playing nearly every snap and leading the team in targets, with a whopping 16. Seattle went very pass-heavy in Week 2 without Kenneth Walker, and I expect them to continue to lean into that strength given how bad Zach Charbonnet was on the ground in Week 2 and heading back home for a huge game that could send them to 3-0 on the season.
ncorfield8k: Jared Goff + Sam LaPorta – While Jahmyr Gibbs and Amon-Ra St. Brown soak up all the ownership on the Lions, Goff is projected for fairly low ownership. LaPorta has done nothing this season, but he had one of the best seasons for a rookie tight end just last year. I’ll make the bet that Detroit isn’t going to ignore LaPorta all season, and against a weak Cardinals defense, he could be due for a bounce-back at minimal ownership. LaPorta is a nice leverage play off of his teammates.
Davis Mattek: Kyler Murray + Trey McBride – Even as “chalk,” they will not be owned enough. McBride is 3 points clear of every TE in LineupHQ but should only be 15% owned in the highest total game of the slate. Kyler is also underpriced relative to the statue QBs in lower total games.
Who’s your favorite contrarian play (below 10% pOWN%) and why?
