NFL DFS Expert Survey: Week 9

by Justin Bailey (Jbails26) Last Updated 2024-11-02 13:03:23 Premium Content Part of the product NFL DFS

Our panel of experts is here to give you their NFL DFS advice for this week’s main slate by answering a handful of questions to help you make crucial lineup-building decisions. Want to know Noto’s three favorite players for cash games? Or SquirrelPatrol’s favorite correlation? Find out below!

NFL DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel Expert Survey for Week 9

Rank your three favorite players for cash games, in order:

What is your favorite correlation and why?

Notorious: I plan to roll out a game stack between the Panthers and Saints. We have a serious lack of value (especially on DraftKings), and Bryce Young looked, dare I say, competent against the Broncos. He completed 24 of 37 passes and threw 2 touchdowns. He has a much softer matchup at home against the Saints, who are 27th in pressure rate. The Panthers are likely to be trailing, and they have no reason not to see what they have in Young at this point. If Adam Thielen is out again, we should see most of the targets go to Xavier Legette and Jalen Coker. The matchup might get a lot better if Marshon Lattimore ends up being out (DNP on Thursday). On the opposite side, Derek Carr is expected back for New Orleans. He should provide a major boost for the Saints offense as a whole. With Rashid Shaheed out, I love the spot for both Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave. This season, the Panthers are 32nd in fantasy points allowed to running backs and 23rd in fantasy points allowed to wide receivers.

Stevietpfl: Bo Nix + Courtland Sutton – Baltimore has the biggest pass-funnel defense in the NFL. They have allowed the least number of rushing yards per game. They’ve allowed 311.6 passing yards per game, which is the most in the NFL. They’ve allowed at least 230 passing yards in all but 1 game this season. Nix is coming off his best game, and I like his chances to build off that start. Denver has thrown 61.4% of the time, which is the 11th most in the NFL, and 66.7% of the time in the 1st half, which is the 3rd most. Sutton has run a route on 79.1% of the team’s dropbacks and leads the team with a 21.7% target share. He’s also accounted for 38.6% of the team’s air yards. With a 29.9% first-read rate, he’s the main target in this offense and should be able to take advantage of this matchup. Baltimore has allowed 190.1 yards per game to wide receivers, which is the 3rd most in the NFL.

Krayton: Dak Prescott + CeeDee Lamb – Dak finally gets a matchup where he should excel, and since the Cowboys have struggled to run the ball all season, Lamb should have an opportunity to put up the kind of numbers we saw last week. The Cowboys have a nice implied team total of around 25 points, and I like getting exposure to Bijan Robinson on the other side. This is an elite game environment, and it’s a game I like stacking on both sides.

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ebeimfohr: A.J. Brown + Parker Washington – If you’d like, you can include one of the QBs in this game, but both are viable, so I wanted to highlight the key pass catchers. With Christian Kirk out, Washington steps in as the new WR3. He was a hype machine all summer in Jags camp and was set to replace Kirk in 2025 in the slot. He’s dynamic with the ball in his hands (he already has a punt return TD this season), and he can rack up catches out of the slot, while Brown hits a couple of home runs for the Eagles. The Jags employ a heavy man defense, which is a recipe for disaster against Brown, but this season, any defense has been no match for Brown. He leads the NFL (by a wide margin) in yards per route run (3.81), and he’s 2nd in target share (35%) and 1st in air-yards share.

ncorfield8k: Jalen Hurts + A.J. Brown – This seems almost too obvious. Jalen Hurts averages the 3rd-most fantasy points per game among quarterbacks this season. A.J. Brown averages the 2nd-most fantasy points per game among wide receivers. They’re facing a Jaguars defense that has given up the most schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game to quarterbacks and the 3rd-most to wide receivers. Yet, Hurts is currently coming in at sub-5% pOWN% due to the tight pricing on this slate. There are ways to make it work, and I will force it.

Davis Mattek: Jameis Winston + Elijah Moore + Cedric Tillman – For as long as Winston has been on a team that is not coached by Dennis Allen, he has been everything we have ever wanted in a fantasy quarterback. He aggressively pushes the ball down the field, even when the game does not call for it (Hello, Kyle Hamilton). All of Jameis’ weapons are cheap, and the Chargers have played no serious teams after their bye week while also being 2nd in the NFL in Pass Rate Over Expectation after their bye. This game is set up to be a sneaky shootout.

Who’s your favorite contrarian play (below 10% pOWN%) and why?

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