NFL Player Props for Jaguars vs. Ravens TNF (11/5)
What kind of performances can we expect on Thursday Night Football from Trevor Lawrence, Derrick Henry, and Josh Cuevas? Follow along as our NFL betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NFL prop bets for Jaguars vs. Ravens on November 5, 2026. Get all of Nick’s props, including picks from other experts as well as access to PickLabs, by subscribing to the RG Props package.
Week 9 of Thursday Night Football will feature the Jacksonville Jaguars and Baltimore Ravens.
Kickoff from Lumen Field is set for 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.
The NFL odds for this matchup have the Jaguars favored by 10 points ahead of kickoff – a dramatic market adjustment after Baltimore opened as 4.5-point favorites for this game back in August.
The obvious reason for the line movement is the quarterback situation for the Ravens, who lost Lamar Jackson and Tyler Huntley to injury in the first-half of last weekend’s game against the Bills. Still, such a significant move could be a market overcorrection.
The total for this game has also plummeted, dropping to over/under 39.5 points after opening at 49.5.
Below, you can find three of my favorite player props for Jaguars vs. Ravens!
Best NFL Player Props for Jaguars vs. Ravens
Here are my top player prop bets, with kickoff scheduled for 8:15 PM ET on Thursday, November 5th:
- Trevor Lawrence Over/Under 19.5 Completions
- Derrick Henry Over/Under 67.5 Rushing Yards
- Josh Cuevas Over/Under 1.5 Receptions
Trevor Lawrence UNDER 19.5 Completions (-125, bet365)
BET365This season, 17 different teams have held a double-digit lead at some point in the second half of 3 or more games – Jacksonville has the 4th-lowest dropback% (34.9%) of any team in that split. The Jaguars dropback% drops to 26.4% when they have a 14+ point lead.
In games that Jacksonville has won by double digits in 2026, Lawrence has tallied 18, 19, and 10 completions this season. The coaching staff isn’t afraid to pull him early from lopsided game scripts, either, as we saw this past weekend against the Colts.
The under has some value here.
Derrick Henry OVER 67.5 Rushing Yards (-115, Hard Rock)
HARDROCKThis past weekend, the Jaguars lost star DT DaVon Hamilton to a season-ending injury, which completely changes the calculus for their defense going forward.
Through 8 weeks, Jacksonville’s run defense led the league in DVOA and EPA/attempt. However, much of that success can be attributed to the dominance of Hamilton.
Henry hasn’t been dominant in 2026, but he hasn’t been terrible either. Poor offensive line play has led to Henry getting stuffed at the line of scrimmage at a high rate, but he’s still 5th in the NFL in expected rushing yards and 13th in rushing yards over expected.
The Ravens thought so little of Joe Fagnano after what they saw in Week 8 that they immediately traded for Jacoby Brissett, who just lost his starting job to…Gardner Minshew. Expect Baltimore to run the ball a lot on Thursday. Jacksonville’s elite run defense might look a little bit less formidable without Hamilton on the field, which could allow Henry to clear this number.
Josh Cuevas OVER 1.5 Receptions (+155, bet365)
BET365Cuevas only had 1 reception last weekend against the Bills, but he can be forgiven for that performance, considering Baltimore lost starting quarterback Lamar Jackson and backup quarterback Tyler Huntley to injury in the first half of that contest.
Prior to Week 8, Cuevas had carved out a decent role for himself in Baltimore’s passing attack. He had multiple receptions in each game from Week 5 to Week 7. He had 6 first-read targets in that span and 10 targets overall – trailing only Mark Andrews among Baltimore tight ends.
If Baltimore finds themselves in a trailing game script this evening, they are going to have to throw the football a lot in the second half. This is tremendous value on a player who has been a regular part of the team’s passing attack for the better part of a month.
Image Credit: Imagn