NFL PrizePicks for Monday Night Football: Calvin Ridley, Tony Pollard, & Kenneth Walker
Today, we look at the PrizePicks board for Week 4 Monday Night Football, which presents us with a unique two-game slate. Let’s dive into what’s available on PrizePicks as we make some predictions based on projections, trends, and the market.
PrizePicks, one of the best DFS sites for NFL fantasy pick’em, lays out player projections for us, which we stack to create entries that pay real money. They prompt us with a statistical projection for a player, and we get to pick whether or not the player will get More or Less than the number offered. There are hundreds of players from whom to choose, and we only have to make at least two picks to create an entry. Use the PrizePicks promo code “GRINDERS” to get $50 on a $5 entry if you haven’t signed up already!
You can also subscribe to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package to get access to our fantasy pick’em tool for more PrizePicks picks today.
This is a tough couple of games to gauge. The Dolphins are without a QB, the Titans are pretty terrible, the Lions have the luxury of spreading the ball around, and the Seahawks are underdogs who wanna run the ball. But there are some tight spots through which we can squeeze for +EV plays.
PrizePicks Predictions for Monday Night Football
- Calvin Ridley MORE/LESS 49.5 Receiving Yards (DEMON)
- Tony Pollard MORE/LESS 69.5 Rush Yards (DEMON)
- Kenneth Walker MORE/LESS 69.5 Rush Yards (DEMON)
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Calvin Ridley MORE/LESS 49.5 Receiving Yards (DEMON)
Calvin Ridley isn’t producing much with Will Levis throwing him footballs, but 49.5 receiving yards is just too low. Week 3 was a disaster for the Titans, but Ridley saw 13 targets over the first 2 weeks and has a whopping 23.3 aDOT on the season, so it won’t require Levis and Ridley to connect very often for Ridley to get to 50+ receiving yards. RotoGrinders has Ridley projected for just 46.4 receiving yards, but that’s close enough to take a shot on the DEMON juice.
- PLAY: Ridley MORE Than 49.5 Receiving Yards (DEMON)
Tony Pollard MORE/LESS 69.5 Rush Yards (DEMON)
We can’t feel confident about the role of Tony Pollard over the course of the season, but he’s the top back for now. In Weeks 1 and 2, Pollard got 17 and 16 carries. Only 2.5-point ‘dogs in Miami, the ball shouldn’t get taken out of Pollard’s hands early. Pollard hasn’t been very good, but the Dolphins are giving up 4.5 yards per carry to start the season, so if we’re looking at 15-18 carries for Pollard, we’re looking at a good shot toward 70+ rushing yards. RotoGrinders has Pollard projected for 64.6 rushing yards. Not great, but — again — close enough to attack the DEMON juice.
- PLAY: Pollard MORE Than 69.5 Rush Yards (DEMON)
Kenneth Walker MORE/LESS 69.5 Rush Yards (DEMON)
Kenneth Walker is actually pretty good and is in an offense that is projected to feed him often. The only downside, which probably contributes to the low PrizePicks projection, is that the Seahawks are 4.0-point dogs on the road. It stinks to go after a RB road underdog, but 69.5 is too low for a guy in a game plan who wants to give him 18-20 carries. RotoGrinders has Walker projected for 64.5 rush yards, despite him carrying a 90+ yard ceiling just about any time he’s healthy.
- PLAY: Walker MORE Than 69.5 Rush Yards (DEMON)
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