Patriots vs. Falcons Same Game Parlay Picks and Props
We’re in for an exciting one tonight on Thursday Night Football, with a rematch of Super Bowl LI between the New England Patriots and the Atlanta Falcons. Much has changed since the Pats hoisted the Vince Lombardi trophy after a historic comeback from a 28-3 deficit nearly five years ago. Tom Brady is now a reigning-champion Buccaneer. Julio Jones is IR’ed in Tennessee. Falcons QB Matt Ryan and Pats RB James White comprise the last remaining offensive players from that fateful Super Bowl. Now, we will tune in to see if New England rookie QB Mac Jones can further the Patriots’ quest to a seventh title. We’ll be paying full attention, on a quest of our own: a six-leg Same Game Parlay on PointsBet.
Read more: Patriots vs Falcons Preview
A Same Game Parlay basically just means a parlay consisting of multiple correlated wagers from one specific game. It provides bettors with good options to bet a game—and piece together props into a parlay within that game—beyond just the standard spread, moneyline, and over/under totals.
Patriots vs. Falcons Same Game Parlay Picks
- Pick Your Own Spread: Patriots +3.5 (-530)
- Alternate Totals: OVER 41.5 Points (-240)
- New England Patriots Total 1st Half: OVER 13.5 (-125)
- Quarterback Props: Mac Jones OVER 255.5 Passing Yards (-115)
- Receiving Props: Nelson Agholor To Get 25+ Receiving Yards (-220)
- Receiving Props: Hunter Henry To Get 25+ Receiving Yards (-180)
Total Odds: +550
Pick Your Own Spread: Patriots +3.5 (-530)
We’re not looking to get rich on this parlay—we’re looking for a friggin’ win. So, we aren’t messing around with the favorites’ -6.5 spread. Play it safe, and select your own spread with the favorites getting points instead of giving them. This way, even if Atlanta pulls off a miraculous game-winning field goal as time expires, you’ve got a green checkmark next to your first leg. Call it cowardice if you want—it’s smart cowardice. We’ve seen so many upsets in primetime games this season, it will make your head spin to go back and review them all. Thus, we’re going with New England to either win or lose by less than four points. We like our chances, considering the Pats have won four consecutive games while outscoring opponents 150-50. But Atlanta is a borderline playoff team with plenty of weapons and a savvy quarterback familiar with Bill Belichick’s defensive schemes. The Dirty Birds might keep it close, or even pull off yet another primetime stunner—but they won’t go HAM on this Pats D, nor will Matty Ice run away from Mac Daddy.
Alternate Totals: OVER 41.5 Points (-240)
Who doesn’t love Same Game Parlays? We just picked our own uber-conservative spread and an extremely safe points total. Granted, the combined odds of these two props is just -137, but that’s not terrible considering the high probability they both hit. Five of the Patriots’ last six games have easily gone OVER 42 points, with an average of 56.2 total points in those five contests. Similarly, five of Atlanta’s last six games have also cleared 42 points, with an average of 53.4 total points in those five contests. The Falcons have the second-worst scoring defense in the NFL, so even if the Pats D stifles Atlanta, Jones should be able to feast on the other side of the field once again. The No. 15 overall pick of the 2021 draft class, Jones has completed 69 percent of his passes for 2,333 yards, 13 touchdowns and seven interceptions on the season.
‘New England Patriots OVER 13.5 First Half Points (-125)
Like I said, only one NFL team has surrendered more points than Atlanta. Nine games in, the Falcons have allowed opponents to average 29.2 points per game (31st) and toss 19 total touchdowns (30th). They are only slightly better at home, where they surrender 28.3 points on average. Last week in Dallas, Atlanta allowed Dallas to accumulate 431 total yards on the way to a 43-3 drubbing (side note: that Cowboys team narrowly beat New England in OT 35-29 back in Week 6). New England should be tough for this Falcons defense to contain from the opening kick. Jones has thrived with his smart, efficient quarterbacking, and the Pats have brought back the ground-and-pound game with Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson. Even with Harris declared out with a concussion last week, Stevenson stepped up and helped New England torch the Browns 45-7. The Pats have scored at least 13 points in each of their past five first halves, averaging 19.2 per first half during that span. This is the easiest leg of the parlay, in my opinion.
Jones OVER 255.5 Passing Yards (-115)
We’re going back to Mac, because we respect his attack. Jones would be the clear frontrunner for Offensive Rookie of the Year were it not for a certain Browns receiver named Ja’Marr Chase. The 23-year-old Alabama product has been absolutely stellar in Josh McDaniels and Bill Belichick’s system, and he seems to mature and progress more each week. Now he gets to feast on fried Falcons this weekend, after Atlanta surrendered 584 passing yards over its past two games. Jones has exceeded 255 yards four times this season, including New England’s tilts with the Saints and the Bucs. The Falcons defense cannot hold a candle to the defense of its division rivals, so expect closer to 300 passing yards from the Mac Attack.
Agholor (-220) & Henry (-180) OVER 24.5 Yards
Receiving props have been a basket of bollocks for us this year, but I’m keeping my head up and picking two easy ones to finish off our parlay. Agholor has averaged 35.6 receiving yards per game this season—and has exceeded 25 yards six different times—while Henry has averaged 35.3 air yards per game and exceeded 25 yards eight total times. This is a layup—Jones spreads the ball around like vintage Tom Brady, and no clear-cut target-horse has emerged through 10 games. Henry and Agholor are the best bets at the greatest values of all the 25-yarder props.
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