PrizePicks Super Bowl Props: Rams vs. Bengals Over/Under Picks
Happy Super Saturday, everyone! Just one day separates us from Super Bowl LVI, but there’s still plenty of time to place some wagers. You may have already caught my Best Bets, Same Game Parlay, and DraftKings Showdown previews this week. Well, last but not least, we have our favorite over/unders for the Big Game on PrizePicks.
For anyone unfamiliar with PrizePicks, it’s one of the most simple and convenient ways to bet on sports. For each major stat, you have to pick an over or under for a listed player or players. You can parlay up to five players’ over/unders, and get paid out as long as you hit on a certain amount of your props picks. If you pick five players, you 10 times your bet amount if all five props hit, two times your bet if four props hit, and 0.4 times your bet if three props hit.
It’s not only simple, it’s also very easy to exponentially increase your betting bankroll. So, let’s dive in, and analyze our favorite PrizePicks props in what should be an instant-classic of a Super Bowl matchup!
All props are from PrizePicks. All stats are from NFL.com and Pro Football Reference.
NFL DFS Super Bowl Prop Picks — PrizePicks
Pass Yards
Matthew Stafford — Over/Under 280.5 Pass Yards
The veteran Stafford has enjoyed a fantastic first season in LA, finishing with a 12-5 record as well as 4,886 passing yards and 41 touchdowns. His QB rating on the campaign was 102.9, and his per-game passing yard average was 287.4. So, I’m pretty confident in Stafford’s ability to surpass 280 passing yards against the Bengals, who ranked 26th in air yards allowed this season.
PICK: OVER 280.5 Pass Yards
Joe Burrow — Over/Under 275.5 Pass Yards
As for second-year stud QB Burrow, I’m less confident he’ll take home the yardage OVER. No QB has been sacked more than the 2020 No. 1 pick this season, and no team has had a more dominant defensive line than Aaron Donald, Von Miller and the LA Rams. Joey B has exceeded 275 pass yards just 10 times in 21 games since the start of the 2021 NFL season, and I don’t think he’ll make it 11 on Sunday evening.
PICK: UNDER 275.5 Pass Yards
Rush Yards
Joe Mixon — Over/Under 60.5 Rush Yards
While the Rams are surprisingly generous to opposing screen games and passes to the seam, they are quite efficient with stopping the run. LA actually ranked sixth in the NFL this season with 103.1 rushing yards allowed, and Rams opponents haven’t exceeded 73 total rushing yards in either the Divisional Round or Conference Championship games. Simply put, if the Bengals win it all, they’re going to do it through the air and with solid defense. I’d be more inclined to bet Samaje Perine OVER of 2.5 rushing yards.
PICK: UNDER 60.5 Rush Yards
Receptions
Ja’Marr Chase – Over/Under 6 Catches
Chase has a mind meld with Burrow, his reunited teammate from the LSU Championship days. The Rookie of the Year broke all kinds of records held by their other LSU teammate, Justin Jefferson, with Chase finishing the regular season with 81 catches, 1,455 receiving yards, and 13 touchdown grabs. He also has 27 total catches in the playoffs, registering no fewer than six in any of Cincy’s three games on the road to the Super Bowl. You can’t go wrong with the OVER here—there’s no way this superstar suddenly fades into obscurity in the biggest game of his young career.
PICK: Over 6 Catches
Sacks
Rams — Over 3.5 Sacks
I don’t know if the Bengals will win this game, but I do know that if they do, it won’t be thanks to their offensive line. No QB was sacked as much as Joe Burrow this season, and only six teams have registered more sacks than the Rams since Opening Day of the 2021 NFL season. Win or lose, Aaron Donald, Von Miller, and company are going to eat.
PICK: Over 3.5 Sacks
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