RG Newsletter #9: DFS/Betting Community News, Stats, Trends, And More!

Hey Grinders!

Wednesday Afternoon Football doesn’t really roll off the tongue. And that game didn’t do it any favors.

As always, hit us up on Twitter, Instagram or Facebook if you have something you want to see in this space!

In this week’s edition:

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OUR FAVORITE HOUSTON PASS CATCHER

Will Fuller was suspended for PEDs. Randall Cobb is on IR. Kenny Stills was cut. There’s plenty of opportunity available in the Houston passing game, but who should we target?!

Here’s our projected ownership as of Friday morning:

Here’s Alex Sonty’s analysis in the Grind Down (FREE):

“In the cases we play Coutee and Coulter (maybe even Duke), we’re most likely gonna find ourselves at 2:00 p.m. on Sunday asking, ‘Selves, why in the hell didn’t we just play Brandin Cooks

It’s chalk AF, but eating good, cheap chalk is totally fine and just calls on us to differentiate elsewhere or stack better. Like, Watson-Cooks-Coulter, eliminating the chalky Jordan Akins from our stack already makes us different. Bringing it back with Trey Burton, instead of a Colts RB or WR puts us in position to move needles.” READ MORE

Here’s what Krayton said in the Expert Survey ($) for her favorite player correlation:

Deshaun Watson + Brandin Cooks + Keke Coutee – “Even though Cooks will be popular, I am still unsure how popular Watson will be this week given the fact QB ownership typically is spread out. I actually like using Coutee and Cooks together as Coutee offers a great value play. I also like the rushing upside that Watson offers as he is averaging 26.6 rushing yards/game which rates 5th overall. We all know that the Houston defense is terrible against the run so bringing it back with Nyheim Hines or Jonathan Taylor makes sense or even T.Y. Hilton or Trey Burton are options as well.” READ MORE

Conclusion: Cooks is the best play, but he’s going to be popular, especially on FanDuel. Playing Cooks and/or Akins will require pivots elsewhere, but a Houston stack is firmly in play.

FUNNIEST REACTIONS TO SEAHAWKSBAD BEAT

Seattle closed at -6.5 on Monday. Down 14, Philadelphia completed a Hail Mary with just 12 seconds left. The Eagles then went for 2 … and got it. Seattle won 23-17 and failed to cover.

Seahawks’ bettors weren’t happy, and the ensuing reactions on Twitter were pretty hilarious. (see below)

And there’s plenty more where these came from in Brett Smiley’s article for Penn Bets. READ HERE

BEST BETS FOR NBA MVP

Andy Means analyzed NBA MVP award odds and put together some strong arguments for players to fade and bets to target.

“Can you imagine the glowing media coverage that KD and the Nets would get if he returns with MVP-like dominance while the Nets win a bunch of games? We all love a good comeback story, even if that player was already one of the best in the world before an injury knocked him out. If things fall right, I absolutely see KD making another run at the throne this season.”

1. Kevin Durant, Brooklyn Nets – +1800 at BetMGM
2. Luka Doncic, Dallas Mavericks – +450 at PointsBet

The article is a must-read if you’re making NBA MVP bets. READ HERE

TOP WR MATCHUP OF THE WEEK

Davante Adams, GB ($9.0K DK | $9.5K FD) vs. Darius Slay, PHI

“The Metcalf coverage really made a dent in Slay’s numbers. He’s now ranked 96th with 1.43 yards/cover snap (YPCS, CB average is 1.47), 76th with 0.28 FPs/coverage snap (FPCS, CB average is 0.31), and 34th with 0.217 air yards/coverage snap (AYCS, CB average is 0.687). I am targeting Adams for a big game in excess of the 27.0/28.5 FPs we’ll need for ROI on his $9K/9.5K salaries.”

Check out Wes Huber’s Advanced Matchups article ($) for Week 13 HERE

SWOLECAST LISTENER LEAGUE

Still have some spots left in the Swolecast Listener League! 3-max entry, 600-person contest with $3,000 in prizes. Just $5 to enter and $600 up top to first place. Get in there now!

ENTER THE SWOLECAST LISTENER LEAGUE

QUICK HITTERS

Stat of the Week: The NFL is on track to play a game on every day of the week in 2020, believed to be the first time ever.
Top Game Total (Main slate): 53.5 – Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans
Top Team Total (Main slate): 30.5 – Minnesota Vikings
Top Ownership: As of Friday morning, our top owned player is Brandin Cooks on FanDuel (34.05%) and James Robinson on DraftKings (34.4%).
Weather Watch (via Kevin Roth): Nothing to see here, move along.
Free Stuff Friday: We’re giving away a 5-day Core4 pass! Just head over to Instagram, give us a follow, and check out our story. ENTER HERE

THE MORE YOU KNOW

Schmitto’s Sharp Money: Philadelphia Eagles @ Green Bay Packers -8.5
Opening -9 to begin the week, the line has moved closer to the lookahead line (-7.5) over the last few days. On Thursday, you can find the Eagles +8 or +8.5 across the sports betting industry. That’s still enough points for me to back the Eagles, who should be able put some pressure on Rodgers and dependably lean on the run while handing the ball off to Miles Sanders and Boston Scott. … READ MORE

Nicole’s Knowledge Nugget: LineupHQ attempts to match the slate data provided by the sites. When there are schedule changes or players added to a slate, you can be assured that projections will be quickly updated to reflect when a game doesn’t count so those players won’t appear in lineups. Make sure to check the dropdown menu if you can’t find a certain game, as rescheduled games may require their own item (ex. Ravens-Steelers on Wednesday).

TWITTER POLL RESULTS

The tongue-in-cheek answer always wins, right? Jokes aside, it’s tough to know what to make of this. It’s one of those trades that is exciting to see pop up on the Twitter feed, but in reality might not change much for the teams involved.

CONTENT CENTER

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RotoGrinders
RotoGrinders

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