Sunday Night Football Betting Picks: Bills at Steelers
Week 15 features a Sunday Night Football matchup with serious playoff implications. The Bills and Steelers currently reside in the Wild Card spots in the AFC but the loser may be in jeopardy of being left out. Online sports betting don’t expect many points in the cold Pittsburgh weather.
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Sunday Night Football Betting Picks — Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers
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Spread: Pittsburgh Steelers -1
74% of bets backing Buffalo, per VegasInsider.com.
Over/Under: 36.5
63% of bets on the over.
Injury Report and Analysis
The Steelers welcome back a key cog when James Conner starts in tonight’s matchup. Conner will start but split carries with Benny Snell and Jaylen Samuels per Mike Tomlin. JuJu Smith-Schuster and Vance McDonald are both out which means that the run game will be established. The Bills do not bring any major injuries to the table.
Devlin “Duck” Hodges carries a three-game winning streak into the matchup with the Bills. The previous matchups were much friendlier for the young quarterback but the Bills are far stingier on signal-callers. The Bills are allowing an average of 191.5 passing yards per game, 5.6 yards per passing attempt, and a paltry 61.88% completion percentage. The Buffalo defense can be had on the ground — allowing 4.4 yards per rushing attempt. While Hodges has been hot, the Steelers should rely on the run.
Everything mentioned about the Buffalo defense can be copied and pasted for Pittsburgh except the rushing defense part. While being equally stingy to passers, the Steelers stifle opposing running games as well, allowing a measly 3.8 yards per rushing attempt. No surprise then that the Steelers’ defense is carrying them on this potential playoff run under the watch of “Coach of the Year” candidate Mike Tomlin — a man under fire for much of last season for perceived underachievement. The Steelers are allowing only 18.6 points per game.
The Bills? 16.3 points per game. The under is 5-1 in the Bills’ last six games. The under is 5-0 in the Steelers’ last six games. These games did not all feature two stalwart defenses. The proverbial immovable object is meeting another immovable object tonight.
The Sunday Night Football Pick
The number is really low on this implied total. That said, both defenses suffocate opposing offenses. The weather is cold. Both coaches want to run the ball. This game might be a repeat of the celebrated Army-Navy game on Saturday afternoon. Despite the number being so low, NBC flexed themselves into a smashmouth affair. I don’t expect many points — instead, plenty of tackles. Give me the under.
The Pick: Under 36.5
Sunday Night Football Betting Picks — First Touchdown
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James Conner +650
Josh Allen +1050
John Brown +1200
Sunday Night Football Player Props at Monkey Night Fight
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Here are my favorite picks from Monkey Knife Fight for Sunday Night Football:
Josh Allen Under 205.5 Passing Yards
Diontae Johnson Over 3.5 Receptions
Devin Singletary Under 62.5 Rushing Yards
John Brown Over 56.5 Receiving Yards
Image Credit: USA Today Sports Images