2022 Tennessee Titans Odds, Schedule, & Fantasy Football Team Preview
Welcome back to another AFC South team preview!
The Tennessee Titans won this division in 2021, despite losing most of its key offensive skill players for extended periods of the regular season. You can bet on the Titans to win the division (last year’s No. 1 seed), at as high as +170 on DraftKings Sportsbook right now.
The public is very low on Ryan Tannehill and this Titans’ offense, since he played arguably the worst game of his career in the AFC Divisional round against the Bengals.
Be sure to check out all the great sports betting, fantasy football, and DFS content available on RotoGrinders leading up to kickoff. We’ll be covering fantasy football for BestBall with Spike Week, rankings and projections, DFS preseason with RotoGrinders Premium, and RotoGrinders Premium and Sports betting at RG and ScoresAndOdds.
- Tennessee Titans Betting Odds: Is there an overreaction to the departure of A.J. Brown?
- Team Matchup Overview: New year, same story with this offensive scheme.
- Fantasy Football Drafts: Undervalued skill players everywhere.
2022 Tennessee Titans Schedule, Lines, and Best Bets
Projected Odds, derived & modified from data originally published by Sean Koerner here.
Maybe you’ll call me a “homer,” but if you’ve listened to me on any RG production over the last two years, you know I typically shoot from the hip. That data says it all, though.
The Titans are favored to win 11 games and are considered to be “big favorites” in four of them. This team is, again, going to be better than the public thinks it is. This 8.5 line is a little crazy, considering there are four combined games against the lowly Texans and Jaguars.
Best Bet: Tennessee Titans Over 8.5 Team Total Wins – This is just bbbbaaaaaddddd. In addition to being favored in 11 games, they have at least 50% odds to win 13 of them, according to our calculations.
Best Bet 2: Tennessee Titans To Win the AFC South (+170) – This is just immense value for last year’s one seed. The Titans lost A.J. Brown and Julio Jones, who both missed a ton of time last season. Derrick Henry missed much of the second half, and the Titans continued to knock off playoff contenders. One could argue that the hypothetical availability of new skill players, alone, could put this team in a better situation to do more damage in 2022.
They key cog to this machine is the defense. This defense is significantly undervalued and has a chance to be a top-5 scoring unit. Tannehill’s poor play stole the spotlight during last year’s divisional round playoff loss, but the defense showed up with a historic 9-sack performance. We obviously can’t expect that kind of output every game, but the Titans’ front-7 and pass rush willed the team to the one-seed last season.
The defense is returning mostly everyone except Jackrabbit Jenkins, who will be replaced by Caleb Farley and rookie Roger McCreary.
The worry: the offensive line. The big boys up front struggled all season to protect Tannehill and have a few new faces to incorporate. There needs to be a lot of clean-up work to keep Tannehill upright.
Tennessee Titans Props
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Favorite Prop: Treylon Burks Over 800.5 Receiving Yards – Another rookie receiver with a huge, physical skillset getting negative press over the summer? I’m getting Ja’Marr Chase vibes. I’m not saying Burks is Chase, but I’m saying he can definitely average just south of 50 yards per game to crack this number easily.
Burks did receive a ton of A.J. Brown comps, and I can’t say they’re inaccurate. Let’s not forget how easy this scheme can be for receivers, if Derrick Henry is healthy, and these receivers are running two-route slant and post patterns over the middle. It’s pitch-and-catch for YAC monsters like Brown and Burks. Heck, this scheme even helped Corey Davis get the bag with the Jets!
Tennessee Titans Fantasy Football Projections
Team Rankings and Ratings
Offense Ranks: Rank 22/ Average Rush / Below Average Pass/ Rank 16 Points For)
Defense Ranks: Rank 23/ Strong Rush / Average pass / Rank 19 Points Allowed)
Opponent Strength – Rushing: 6 difficult vs. rush. 5 soft vs. rush.
Opponent Strength – Passing: 5 difficult vs. pass. 6 soft vs. pass.
It’s a fairly favorable schedule for Tennessee. Again, much like the Colts’ analysis, the AFC South is a very lopsided division with four games against the Jaguars and Texans. If either Indy or TEN sweep those four, and the AFC West beats up on each other, it could wind down between one of these two South squads and the Bills for the No. 1 overall seed – and the first-round bye.
Tennessee Titans Top Fantasy Football Plays & Picks
Noteworthy Depth Chart
QB: Ryan Tannehill – Underdog Rank: 168 (ADP 182 / 8.33% ADP Gap)
RB: Derrick Henry – Underdog Rank: 10 (ADP 7 / -30% ADP Gap)
RB: Hassan Haskins – Underdog Rank: 234 (ADP 216 / -7.69% ADP Gap)
WR: Robert Woods – Underdog Rank: 87 (ADP 102 / 17.24% ADP Gap)
WR: Treylon Burks – Underdog Rank: 95 (ADP 92 / -3.16% ADP Gap)
WR: Nick Westbrook-Ikhine – Underdog Rank: 220 (ADP 234 – 6.36% ADP Gap)
TE: Austin Hooper – Underdog Rank: 171 (ADP 185 / 8.19% ADP Gap)
Well, we have to start with Derrick Henry, who is coming off of a fractured foot, which caused him to miss every regular season game after Oct. 31. However, he did return for team’s playoff loss in January, but didn’t look fantastic.
However, he’s a freak and has had a full offseason under his belt – no news is good news. According to NFC ADP reports, Henry is currently getting drafted around 8.17 in most high stakes leagues. Even if Henry is 80% of who he was, he provides a serious floor and massive touchdown equity every single week. I’m willing to invest in Henry late in the first round as much as possible.
Robert Woods and Treylon Burks are both being drafted after pick 100. While this may be a Jekyll and Hyde-type situation from week-to-week, with some wrong guessing, there should be an opportunity for a condensed target tree with potential for splash plays. Despite likely knowing where the volume would go, we know the volume will likely be mediocre at best – unless Tannehill forms a Brown-like bond with Burks or Woods immediately. Then, there would be low-end WR1/high-end WR2 upside out of one of those TEN pass catchers.
Kyle Phillips is the “camp buzz” guy. He looks like a pure NFL slot receiver and perhaps Adam Humprhies 2.0. I don’t know what kind of value he will provide in 12-team season-long re-drafts, but he may be worth a dynasty stash or last-round best ball stab. He was taking first-team reps this week.
Image Credit: Imagn