Yards Per Gretch: Week 6

Ben Gretch, Editor in Chief of Fantasy Insiders, takes an ultra-high resolution look at the upcoming NFL week. If you haven’t yet been introduced to Ben’s level of thinking, get ready for great takes loaded with analytical insight.

Week 6

On a week where FF Twitter has been mired in a debate about the impact of defenses on player performance, we continue to see, on DraftKings particularly, how pricing is challenging us to consider top options in what look like subpar spots. Ezekiel Elliott is $7000 against Jacksonville while David Johnson is down to $5900 as Arizona heads to Minnesota. Add in injury replacements like Tevin Coleman and T.J. Yeldon and the biggest takeaway for me is there’s almost no reason to be overexposed to committee backs when you can lock in guaranteed touches at significant discounts.

I’m targeting a number of guys this week who are due for some regression. That’s an overused term, but these are cases where the early-season trends have either been far too extreme, or the player has a long track record of something we haven’t seen yet this season. Let’s get to the picks.

Exploitable Situations

T.J. Yeldon @DAL

Blake Bortles threw 61 times last week, for a 2018 NFL single-game high of 601 air yards, which boosted target numbers across the board for Jacksonville. There’s reason to be somewhat skeptical of “(player-popup #t-j-yeldon)T.J. Yeldon”:/players/t-j-yeldon-21675’s 10 targets.

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About the Author

  • Ben Gretch (gretch)

  • Ben Gretch (on Twitter @YardsPerGretch) specializes in blending the numbers that matter with actionable insights about the game. His previous work has been published at Rotoworld, RotoViz, FantasyLabs, and RotoUnderworld. He is the Editor in Chief at Fantasy Insiders.

Comments

  • killab2482

    • 107

      RG Overall Ranking

    • Ranked #83

      RG Tiered Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    • x2

      2013 FanDuel WFFC Finalist

    Great stuff here Ben

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