Best Underdog Fantasy Picks Today

We combine a picks model, simulations, and current market research to help assess expected value for Underdog picks for tonight. The underlying model varies between sports, but the goal is the same: determine the most likely outcome (HIGHER or LOWER) to win and the expected win percentage.

On a deeper level, we have a full team designated to determine our model inputs and monitor our best Underdog picks today, including relevant news such as weather and injuries. Unlike other products, our Underdog pick’em predictions aren’t simply the results of an unmonitored, automated system. We consider the full context of a player’s matchup — their opponents, weather, conditions, injuries, and other relevant news that may impact their usage and success in their upcoming game or event.

You should take our recommended Underdog picks for today as the starting point of your own research. We can’t promise they will get you to hit every pick in your Underdog Streak—playing on sites like Underdog Fantasy should always, and only, be viewed as a form of entertainment. But you can make informed decisions by referencing our projections, knowing that they are the product of years of experience and a finely-tuned model combined with analysis from our team of experts.

This page is updated at least once every 10 minutes with the best Underdog picks for today, as soon as the picks model is activated for the day by our projections team. This typically occurs no later than 10:00 AM ET, and updates continue until 11:00 PM ET so that you’re always ready to enter Underdog pick’em contests or Underdog Champions tournaments. If stats aren’t updated accordingly, check back shortly—chances are they’ll be ready when you return.

Our team has Underdog picks for NFL, MLB, NHL, NBA, WNBA, PGA, CFB, CBB, UFL, Cricket, and LIV—really, whatever’s in season. If Underdog adds more sports, we’ll likely provide picks for those, too. Some our most popular projections include NBA Underdog picks, NFL Underdog picks, and MLB Underdog picks.

You can access all of our Underdog picks, plus more, by signing up for our Props & Pick’em package. This package will cover all the best sports picks on Underdog and gives you the confidence you need to make smart lineups. Sign up and create an account via our website or app today to learn more.

Bettors know that while DFS at Underdog may look similar to traditional sports betting, it’s a completely different game. Here are some terms to know to help you understand our projections model:

TYPE – The statistic or category being offered by Underdog Fantasy. These may be more traditional stats, like yards, touchdowns, home runs, and more. They could also be more complex categories, like “1st round leaderboard position,” “runs allowed in first 5 innings,” and many others.

PROJ – Short for projection. The projection is the number currently set on Underdog Fantasy as the line for “Less/More” (or Higher/Lower). This is the number people must cross (or fail to cross) for their pick to be graded as a win.

PICK – This is the side of the projection we think is more likely to win, based on the calculations of our Underdog Fantasy picks model.

WINPCT – This stands for win percentage. This is the expected rate that our Underdog Fantasy picks model thinks the selected side (HIGHER or LOWER) will win.

EDGE – This is the conservative percentage above the “break-even” line we expect for this pick. Every pick has an implied break-even point based on the payouts from Underdog Fantasy. These are shaded on a green-to-red scale (the greener a pick, the better). We estimate the break-even points and attempt to show you which selections are most likely to be profitable. Note: we use strict payout odds (e.g., 2-Pick). Oftentimes, the Fantasy Pick’em sites will imply a less strict break-even point when the overall win percentage of the lineup card is lower (e.g., 3-Pick, 5-Pick). Lastly, it is important to note that more picks could be profitable than the EDGE% implies based on the sites’ variable payout structures but the general ranking of which selections the tool thinks is best will typically remain the same.

GRADE – A star rating system designed to compare today’s picks to the best quality of picks that could exist on any day, with 5 stars being best. The grade comes from our experts and considers several factors, so you can have the confidence that it’s an accurate score.