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Percentile Projections (THE BAT X - Hitters - DraftKings)

by Derek Carty (DerekCarty) Data Updated: 2026-04-04 13:18:37 Part of the product THE BAT X Projection System by Derek Carty
Pitcher Percentiles Pitchers Ceiling Detailed Pitchers Floor Detailed
Hitter Percentiles Hitters Ceiling Detailed Hitters Floor Detailed
PLAYER SALARY POS TEAM OPP LP OL IPL 2H PITCHER PH% COLD 1ST 10TH 20TH 25TH 30TH 40TH 50TH 60TH 70TH 75TH 80TH 90TH 99TH HR_DEPENDENCE
Shohei Ohtani 6500 1B/OF LAD WAS 1 false true - Jake Irvin 0% false 0.00 0.05 0.88 1.97 3.99 8.46 13.34 18.19 23.47 26.40 29.66 38.24 58.61 44%
Kyle Schwarber 6500 OF PHI COL 2 false true - Valente Bellozo 0% false 0.00 0.00 0.93 1.95 3.50 7.45 11.78 16.24 21.05 23.71 26.68 34.49 53.03 39%
Bryce Harper 5300 1B PHI COL 3 false true - Valente Bellozo 0% false 0.00 0.00 0.64 1.80 3.01 6.82 11.28 15.95 20.88 23.61 26.65 34.65 53.65 27%
Trea Turner 5500 SS PHI COL 1 false true - Valente Bellozo 0% false 0.00 0.00 0.95 1.69 2.75 6.31 11.00 15.71 20.76 23.55 26.66 34.85 54.29 19%
Kyle Tucker 5500 OF LAD WAS 2 false true - Jake Irvin 0% false 0.00 0.00 0.37 1.30 2.43 6.46 10.75 15.38 20.23 22.96 25.96 33.84 52.57 34%
Yordan Alvarez 5900 OF HOU ATH 2 false true - Luis Morales 0% false 0.00 0.00 0.57 1.36 2.74 6.62 10.75 15.15 19.83 22.42 25.30 32.89 50.92 40%
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About the Author

DerekCarty
Derek Carty (DerekCarty)

Derek Carty is the creator of THE BAT X (for MLB) and THE BLITZ (for NFL) projection systems, widely considered the gold standard for projections and the driving force behind multiple Milly Maker winners. You may also know him from ESPN.com, from his time on Baseball Tonight and SportsCenter, or from his early career managing the fantasy sections for Baseball Prospectus and The Hardball Times. While perhaps best known for DFS, he also has an elite track record in both sports betting (career ~13% ROI on thousands of publicly-tracked bets as of the end of the 2023-24 NFL season) and season-long fantasy expert leagues (11 titles while placing in the top 3 in roughly half of all leagues). On the sports betting side, you may recognize his work from EV Analytics, ScoresAndOdds, Covers, and Unabated. For season-long fantasy, THE BAT X is prominently featured at FanGraphs. While known mostly for his analytical skills, he’s also proud to be the only active fantasy or betting analyst to have graduated from MLB’s exclusive Scout School. Follow Carty on Twitter – @DerekCarty