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THE BLITZ Standard Projections

by Derek Carty (DerekCarty) Data Updated: 2026-11-15 13:44:58 Part of the product THE BLITZ Projection System by Derek Carty

Note: Projections update multiple times throughout the week (with the first update coming late Tuesday night or Wednesday afternoon — full schedule is available on the FAQ page) based on weather, inactives, Vegas totals, projected usage, and other factors. As such, early-week projections are preliminary. For the most accurate projections, check back leading up to lock on Sundays. You can use these in our NFL DFS lineup optimizer.

Offense Defense Kickers Import into LineupHQ
PLAYER SALARY POS TEAM OPP BLITZ_NAME BLITZ_TEAM BLITZ_OPP INJ FPTS FPTS/$ FLOOR CEIL SLATE POWN
Jahmyr Gibbs 10300 RB DET NEP Jahmyr Gibbs DET NE 24.50 2.38 11.6 36.4 Thu-Mon 21.16
Ja'Marr Chase 8900 WR CIN PIT Ja'Marr Chase CIN PIT 20.91 2.35 12.0 29.7 Thu-Mon 9.93
Brock Purdy 8700 QB SFO DAL Brock Purdy SF DAL 25.09 2.88 15.0 36.1 Main 6.48
Joe Burrow 8400 QB CIN PIT Joe Burrow CIN PIT 25.01 2.98 14.8 34.4 Thu-Mon 4.86
Josh Allen 9500 QB BUF NYJ Josh Allen BUF NYJ 24.93 2.62 12.2 39.2 Main 6.29
CeeDee Lamb 9000 WR DAL SFO CeeDee Lamb DAL SF 20.39 2.27 11.3 29.3 Main 15.77

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About the Author

DerekCarty
Derek Carty (DerekCarty)

Derek Carty is the creator of THE BAT X (for MLB) and THE BLITZ (for NFL) projection systems, widely considered the gold standard for projections and the driving force behind multiple Milly Maker winners. You may also know him from ESPN.com, from his time on Baseball Tonight and SportsCenter, or from his early career managing the fantasy sections for Baseball Prospectus and The Hardball Times. While perhaps best known for DFS, he also has an elite track record in both sports betting (career ~13% ROI on thousands of publicly-tracked bets as of the end of the 2023-24 NFL season) and season-long fantasy expert leagues (11 titles while placing in the top 3 in roughly half of all leagues). On the sports betting side, you may recognize his work from EV Analytics, ScoresAndOdds, Covers, and Unabated. For season-long fantasy, THE BAT X is prominently featured at FanGraphs. While known mostly for his analytical skills, he’s also proud to be the only active fantasy or betting analyst to have graduated from MLB’s exclusive Scout School. Follow Carty on Twitter – @DerekCarty