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THE BLITZ Standard Projections

Note: Projections update multiple times throughout the week (with the first update coming late Tuesday night or Wednesday afternoon — full schedule is available on the FAQ page) based on weather, inactives, Vegas totals, projected usage, and other factors. As such, early-week projections are preliminary. For the most accurate projections, check back leading up to lock on Sundays. You can use these in our NFL DFS lineup optimizer.

Offense Defense Kickers Import into LineupHQ
PLAYER SALARY POS TEAM OPP BLITZ_NAME BLITZ_TEAM BLITZ_OPP INJ PAATT PACOMP PAINTS PAYDS PATD 300PA RUATT RUYDS RUTD 100RU RECTRG RECCOMP RECYDS RECTD 100REC SHORTTRG DEEPTRG DEEPCOMP DEEPTD TOTYDS FUMLOST FPTS
Alvin Kamara NOS LAR Alvin Kamara NO LA 0.0 0.0 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 15.8 67 0.48 0.19 8.3 6.6 50 0.25 0.05 8.2 0.1 0.0 0.01 117 0.08 22.65
Lamar Jackson BAL PHI Lamar Jackson BLT PHI 29.7 18.8 0.60 211 1.72 0.11 9.5 54 0.43 0.09 0.0 0.0 0 0.00 0.00 23.3 5.2 2.1 0.50 54 0.23 22.52
Sam Darnold MIN ARI Sam Darnold MIN ARZ 35.2 24.7 0.56 309 1.82 0.55 3.7 15 0.16 0.00 0.0 0.0 0 0.00 0.00 26.5 7.3 2.9 0.67 15 0.19 21.37
Justin Jefferson MIN ARI Justin Jefferson MIN ARZ 0.0 0.0 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0.0 0 0.00 0.00 9.7 6.8 106 0.59 0.54 6.7 3.1 1.2 0.28 106 0.03 20.93
Jayden Daniels WAS TEN Jayden Daniels WAS TEN 30.4 19.3 0.64 214 1.51 0.12 9.1 50 0.44 0.06 0.0 0.0 0 0.00 0.00 24.6 4.4 1.7 0.40 50 0.24 21.33
Puka Nacua LAR NOS Puka Nacua LA NO 0.0 0.0 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0.4 2 0.02 0.00 10.4 6.6 98 0.56 0.49 7.5 2.8 1.2 0.28 100 0.03 20.00

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About the Author

DerekCarty
Derek Carty (DerekCarty)

Derek Carty is the creator of THE BAT X (for MLB) and THE BLITZ (for NFL) projection systems, widely considered the gold standard for projections and the driving force behind multiple Milly Maker winners. You may also know him from ESPN.com, from his time on Baseball Tonight and SportsCenter, or from his early career managing the fantasy sections for Baseball Prospectus and The Hardball Times. While perhaps best known for DFS, he also has an elite track record in both sports betting (career ~13% ROI on thousands of publicly-tracked bets as of the end of the 2023-24 NFL season) and season-long fantasy expert leagues (11 titles while placing in the top 3 in roughly half of all leagues). On the sports betting side, you may recognize his work from EV Analytics, ScoresAndOdds, Covers, and Unabated. For season-long fantasy, THE BAT X is prominently featured at FanGraphs. While known mostly for his analytical skills, he’s also proud to be the only active fantasy or betting analyst to have graduated from MLB’s exclusive Scout School. Follow Carty on Twitter – @DerekCarty