Daily Pitcher Hub: K-Predictor
The Daily Pitcher Hub K-Predictor takes Pitcher K-rates in a number of crucial splits and weights that against their opponent’s K% differential against the league average. This leads to a projected K/9 rate. Beyond that, we look at an actual strikeout projection by applying that to the pitcher’s innings pitched per game.
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| Daily K Predictor | Daily Probable Starters |
- K/9 Proj = (SP K/9 Avg x Opp. K% Avg) + SP K/9 Avg
- K Proj = ((K/9 Proj) / 9) x (IP/G)
| Pitcher K/9 Splits | Opp. K% Splits 1 |
1 – K% Splits based on differential against league average.
Thursday, July 24th
| Pitcher | Opp | IP/G | K/9-S | K/9-L14 | K/9-HA | Avg | K%-S | K%-7 | K%-LR | Avg | K/9-Proj | K-Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubby De La Rosa | TOR | 6.42 | 8.41 | 3.75 | 8.30 | 6.82 | -8.7% | 11.8% | -10.7% | -2.6% | 6.65 | 4.74 |
| Marcus Stroman | BOS | 4.10 | 7.87 | 7.59 | 8.00 | 7.82 | 5.1% | -36.0% | 5.6% | -8.4% | 7.16 | 3.26 |
| Colby Lewis | NYY | 5.41 | 7.98 | 7.36 | 8.30 | 7.88 | -8.7% | -18.8% | -8.8% | -12.1% | 6.93 | 4.17 |
| Brandon McCarthy | TEX | 6.07 | 7.66 | 8.53 | 5.90 | 7.36 | -4.8% | 10.9% | -4.8% | 0.4% | 7.40 | 4.99 |
| Tim Hudson | PHI | 6.66 | 5.88 | 4.97 | 5.70 | 5.52 | 3.6% | -3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 5.58 | 4.13 |
| Cole Hamels | SFG | 6.67 | 9.08 | 9.00 | 8.20 | 8.76 | 4.6% | -20.2% | 0.4% | -5.1% | 8.32 | 6.17 |
| Scott Feldman | OAK | 5.60 | 5.57 | 3.65 | 6.50 | 5.24 | -12.7% | -8.3% | -14.7% | -11.9% | 4.62 | 2.87 |
| Jeff Samardzija | HOU | 6.39 | 8.45 | 5.40 | 8.80 | 7.55 | 15.9% | 19.5% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 8.91 | 6.32 |
| Henderson Alvarez | ATL | 6.39 | 5.48 | 5.87 | 5.30 | 5.55 | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 6.16 | 4.37 |
| Aaron Harang | MIA | 6.12 | 7.60 | 4.15 | 8.10 | 6.62 | 13.9% | 1.8% | 18.5% | 11.4% | 7.37 | 5.01 |
| Tyson Ross | CHC | 6.43 | 8.62 | 9.64 | 8.50 | 8.92 | 12.0% | -0.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 9.53 | 6.81 |
| Edwin Jackson | SDP | 5.62 | 8.36 | 6.00 | 8.20 | 7.52 | 9.5% | 17.1% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 8.45 | 5.28 |
| Dillon Gee | MIL | 6.53 | 5.69 | 9.00 | 6.50 | 7.06 | -1.8% | 3.2% | -5.8% | -1.5% | 6.96 | 5.05 |
| Matt Garza | NYM | 6.46 | 6.97 | 4.50 | 7.80 | 6.42 | 6.1% | 20.9% | 2.1% | 9.7% | 7.05 | 5.05 |
| Corey Kluber | KCR | 6.59 | 9.85 | 9.20 | 8.50 | 9.18 | -22.6% | -16.4% | -23.6% | -20.9% | 7.27 | 5.32 |
| Danny Duffy | CLE | 4.34 | 7.02 | 5.68 | 6.70 | 6.47 | -7.3% | -4.4% | -13.2% | -8.3% | 5.93 | 2.86 |
| Hector Noesi | MIN | 4.33 | 7.23 | 5.06 | 7.10 | 6.46 | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.97 | 3.35 |
| Phil Hughes | CHW | 6.46 | 7.90 | 5.25 | 8.30 | 7.15 | 12.0% | -20.7% | 12.6% | 1.3% | 7.24 | 5.19 |
| Max Scherzer | LAA | 6.62 | 10.50 | 7.82 | 10.50 | 9.61 | -1.3% | 18.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.35 | 7.61 |
| Garrett Richards | DET | 6.45 | 9.22 | 9.00 | 7.20 | 8.47 | -11.7% | 10.9% | -13.2% | -4.7% | 8.08 | 5.79 |
| Wei-Yin Chen | SEA | 5.77 | 6.33 | 8.44 | 6.50 | 7.09 | 6.1% | 3.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.50 | 4.81 |
| Hisashi Iwakuma | BAL | 6.77 | 7.36 | 6.32 | 8.00 | 7.23 | -4.3% | 19.9% | -2.8% | 4.3% | 7.54 | 5.67 |