The Breakfast Spread: Nuggets Host Trail Blazers As 4.5-Point Home Favorites

(USA TODAY Sports)`

Nikola Jokic record his second consecutive triple-double to help the Denver Nuggets hold off the Portland Trail Blazers 116-112. The Trail Blazers now travel to Denver as underdogs to win the series. Here’s a sports betting recap of Game 4 and a lookahead to Game 5.

Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets made sure not to let the Portland Trail Blazers take a 3-1 series lead, beating Portland 116-112 Sunday.

The biggest difference came in the third quarter. Denver held Portland to just 14 points after trailing 57-63 at halftime. The Nuggets scored 27 third quarter points of their own to enter the fourth quarter with a seven point cushion.

Jokic recorded his second consecutive triple-double in Game 4 and his fourth triple-double this postseason, making him Denver’s all-time postseason triple-double leader.

CJ McCollum and Damian Lillard combined for 58 points, but Jamal Murray led all scorers with 34. Murray matched his points scored in the historical quadruple-overtime loss from the game before.

The series now heads back to Denver, where the two teams split Game 1 and Game 2. The Nuggets are 4.5-point favorites (Over/Under 213.5) and -150 favorites to win the series at BetStars.

Monkey Knife Fight Prop Bet

In keeping with the Jokic theme, the guy is pretty much a lock here for 50 fantasy points and has some real upside for 80 points. We’ve seen what he can do in this series, and while he probably won’t end with a 4OT game again, he will dominate this Portland team at home. Next, we have Dame who should end up with 30 real life points and likely end with 50 fantasy points. He’s been on a tear all playoffs and with the series tied at 2-2, we know he’s going to do everything he can in this game. Lastly, we have Murray who has 50 point upside with a locked 40. This means that these three guys floor should be around 140 and they will likely combine for 150+. I’m rolling with the 3x prop, but if you want to go with the 1.5x or 2x I don’t mind those either.

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Stat of the Day: Jokic Averaging 128.8 Touches in the Playoffs

Jokic is averaging a 128.8 touches per game in the playoffs, 19 more than any else over the last six posteasons. In fact, Jokic currently leads all players in rebounds and assists. The only other players to do that in a single postseason are Bill Walton, Wilt Chamberlain, and Bill Russell. Jokic is just +222 to record a fifth triple-double tonight at PointsBet.

Prop Shop: CJ McCollum Over/Under 22.5 Points(FanDuel Sportsbook)

CJ McCollum has stepped up to help out Lillard in back-to-back games. McCollum shot 50 percent from the field to score 29 points one game after scoring 40 points last Friday. For the season, McCollum averaged just 21 points. His points prop is now up to 22.5 as the Trail Blazers are forced to play in front of a hostile Denver crowd. McCollum only scored 16 and 20 points on the road in the first two games of the series. Expect the guard’s shooting to fall back down to earth tonight. Breakfast Lean: McCollum Under 22.5

Temperature Meter

Surprisingly, both teams overcame fatigue and combined for 228 points to go 17 points Over the 211 point total despite only a short rest after playing four overtimes in Game 3. The Over is now 4-1 in Portland’s last five games.

The Breakfast Pick

Both teams have been extremely efficient offensively this postseason, but after only two days rest for 3 games, I expect the travel and fatigue to finally play a factor this series. The Nuggets have the slowest pace of any playoff teams left in the playoffs and will need continue that trend in Game 5. So long as they don’t take it to multiple overtimes again, I like this one to go Under the 213.5 point total. Breakfast Pick: Under 213.5 Points.

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About the Author

  • Matt Schmitto (schmitto)

  • Matt Schmitto is a staff writer for RotoGrinders Sports Betting. He grew up in Texas, graduating from Texas Tech University. He has played high stakes DFS since 2013, and enjoys betting on golf, basketball and football – and whatever else is put in front of him. Schmitto is an advocate of The Bettor’s Oath.