The Breakfast Spread: Raptors Gain Confidence, Warriors 2-Point Underdogs In NBA Finals

(USA TODAY Sports)

Pascal Siakam carried the Toronto Raptors to victory in their first NBA Finals appearance in franchise history. The Golden State Warriors hope to bounce back Sunday night. Here’s a review of Game 1 and a  sports betting preview of Game 2 of the NBA Finals.

For the first time in a long time it feels like someone can beat the Golden State Warriors in the NBA Finals.

In their first NBA Finals game in franchise history, the Toronto Raptors gave the Warriors all they could handle. Led by 25-year-old Pascal Siakam, Toronto beat the two defending champion 118-109.

Siakam had the best game of his career on the biggest stage of his career. Scoring 32 points, the young Cameroonian who played college basketball for the New Mexico State Aggies took full advantage of the Warriors game plan to trap Kawhi Leonard. The playoff career-high was nearly 14 points over his points prop.

Marc Gasol also provided valuable minutes, scoring 20 points and making two 3-pointers.

The Raptors combined for 13-of-33 from the arc and added 25 points from the bench.

Toronto covered as 2-points favorites in Game 1, and the spread is the same for Game 2 with an Over/Under of 214 at BetStars

The Warriors are still favorites to win the NBA Finals, but only slightly. Golden State is -136 and the Raptors are +116 for the series at FanDuel Sportsbook, a steep fall from being around -300 favorites before the series started.

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Stat of the Day

Pascal Siakam scored his 32 points on a remarkable 14-of-17 shooting. Only two players in NBA history have taken as many shots as Siakam and made a higher percentage in an NBA Finals. The Game 1 performance tied James Worthy for the third highest shooting percentage among players that have taken at least 15 shots in an NBA Finals game.

Prop Shop (FanDuel Sportsbook)

It was Golden State’s game plan to smother Kawhi Leonard in Game 1. Their effort held Leonard to just 23 points on 5-of-14 shooting, well below his playoff average of 30.7 ppg. The Warriors will play closer attention to Siakam and Gasol in Game 2, which could open up more looks for Leonard, but Leonard is still clearly hobbled by a leg injury. Overall, under Leonard’s 30.5 point prop for that reason. Breakfast lean: Kawhi Leonard Under 30.5 (FanDuel Sportsbook)

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The Breakfast Pick

One of the main difference in Game 1 was the amount of help stars Steph Curry and Kawhi Leonard got from teammates. When Leonard was double-teamed, Toronto role players stepped up in big ways. The same cannot be said for the Warriors when Curry was forced to get rid of the ball.

The Golden State Warriors have more problems than just Kevin Durant sitting out with a calf injury.

Though Demarcus Cousins was active for Game 1, he was only able to contribute eight minutes off the bench.

Andre Iguodala, the 2015 NBA Finals MVP, provided little help offensively as he missed all four three-point attempts. It looks like age has caught up to the 35-year-old veteran. Iguodala has been fighting injuries throughout the postseason, and he appeared to have tweaked his leg towards the end of the game.

Curry still managed to score 34 points (points prop was 31.5), while going 14-of-14 from the stripe. If the Warriors want to tie up the series, they’ll need more players stepping up offensively than just Curry. I’m not sure they’re going to get it, though.


The Raptors have a formidable defense and are playing in front of a home crowd that is hosting only their second NBA Finals game in franchise history. I think Toronto shows up much like they did in Game 1, and the Warriors will be traveling back to Oakland down 0-2  for the first time in the five years they’ve made it to the NBA Finals. Don’t forget to take advantage of the reduced juice at PointsBet. Breakfast Pick: Toronto Raptors -2 (-105) at PointsBet

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About the Author

  • Matt Schmitto (schmitto)

  • Matt Schmitto is a staff writer for RotoGrinders Sports Betting. He grew up in Texas, graduating from Texas Tech University. He has played high stakes DFS since 2013, and enjoys betting on golf, basketball and football – and whatever else is put in front of him. Schmitto is an advocate of The Bettor’s Oath.