76ers vs. Lakers: NBA odds, Picks and Predictions

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76ers vs. Lakers Odds

76ers Odds -3
Lakers Odds +3
Over/Under 233
Date Sun, Jan. 15
Time 9:30 p.m.
TV NBA TV

This week’s NBA action will conclude on Sunday evening with a matchup between the Philadelphia 76ers and Los Angeles Lakers. Entering play, Philadelphia has the fourth-best record in the Eastern Conference at 26-16. Los Angeles has the third-worst record in the Western Conference at 19-23, one game behind the Utah Jazz and Phoenix Suns for the final play-in position. Tonight, oddsmakers expect a tightly-contested affair between these two teams, pricing the 76ers as 3-point road favorites on the spread.

Philadelphia 76ers

Harden, Harris listed as questionable
Per Cleaning the Glass, when both James Harden and Tobias Harris are off of the floor at the same time this year, the 76ers rank in the 18th percentile in offensive efficiency and the 84th percentile in defensive efficiency. If both Harden and Harris are on the sidelines this evening, Philadelphia will be without two of their top-four scoring threats, in addition to their leading facilitator.

Who will step up for Philadelphia?
Per CourtIQ, Tyrese Maxey receives the largest increase in usage (+7.1%) when both Harden and Harris are off of the floor. In such situations this year, Maxey is averaging 31.4 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 7.1 assists per 36 minutes. In his last three games played with Harden in street clothes, Maxey has scored 24 points, 18 points, and 26 points. Expect him to be heavily involved in the offense this evening if the 76ers are missing key pieces.

Los Angeles Lakers

Anthony Davis OUT
Anthony Davis will remain on the sidelines this evening when Los Angeles hosts Philadelphia. Since Davis last played on December 16, the Lakers are 7-7, ranking 19th in the NBA in Net Rating during that stretch.

Per Cleaning the Glass, the Lakers’ biggest deficiency without Davis in the lineup continues to be on the defensive end of the floor. When Davis is on the court, Los Angeles ranks in the 74th percentile in defensive efficiency, compared to the 21st percentile when he is on the sidelines.

Tired legs
Though the Lakers have had multiple days of rest between their most recent contest and tonight’s action, there is still a concern regarding fatigue heading into Sunday’s affair. On Thursday against the Dallas Mavericks, LeBron James played 47 minutes, Russell Westbrook played 40 minutes, and Dennis Schroeder played 38 minutes in a double-overtime loss.

Yesterday, Luka Doncic, who played 53 minutes in that game, scored a season-low 15 points on 7-for-19 shooting from the floor in a game that Dallas lost by double-digits. Expect Los Angeles to lean more on role players in this contest, with Kendrick Nunn, Thomas Bryant, and Juan Toscano-Anderson each being candidates for expanded roles.

76ers vs. Lakers – Picks & Predictions

Bettors would be smart to wait for a confirmed status on James Harden and Tobias Harris before locking in wagers on this contest. Yet if looking to beat the market movement, the under is a strong look in this contest.

Per Cleaning the Glass, the 76ers’ offensive efficiency plummets when Harden and Harris are off of the floor at the same time. Combine that information with potentially tired legs on a Los Angeles offense that struggles to shoot from the perimeter – this game is likely to be low-scoring on Sunday.

PICK: Under 233 (-110, DraftKings)

About the Author

nickgalaida
Nick Galaida (nickgalaida)

A failed high school pitcher, Nick Galaida discovered that he has a higher aptitude for analyzing and writing about sports than he does playing them. To his friends, he is better known as “The Commish.” When he’s not organizing a fantasy league, placing a bet, or writing an article, he’s probably nose-deep in a book—further illustrating the point that his niche in this world is as a nerd rather than an athlete. Follow Nick on Twitter – @CommishFilmRoom