MLB Daily Grind Down April 26th Part 2

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-04-26 18:59:57

Chicago Cubs at Miami

BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN
CHC BvP		CHC vs L		MIA BvP		MIA vs R
Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window

Las Vegas

• OU 8

• Favored CHC -120

Pitchers

• Home Wade LeBlanc might be a decent match-up play today on a site that uses multiple pitchers. He has only given up more than 2 ER in 1 of his 4 starts. He is amassing far too many hits and walks though so his luck is bound to change at some time. He runs into a CHC batting .196 on the road, .210 versus left-handed hitting and .235 over the last 7 days. If he is cheap enough, you can consider him.

• Away Scott Feldman has been only charged with 7 ER in his first 3 starts but the opposing teams have score 14 runs while he has been on the hill. Errors may not matter towards your batters in daily fantasy but they are something to consider when taking a pitcher. At best, he is a matchup play so he needs to walk away with a W. He catches a MIA team batting .180 at home, .214 vs. right-handers, and .242 over the last 7 days. I am siding against Vegas on this one because of his low K totals. Avoid

Batters

• Home See Below and replace Cubs with Marlins and LeBlanc with Feldman.

• Away It is hard to recommend anyone from the Cubs even against Wade Leblanc. Only four of their players have produced more than 10 fp over the last week and none have produced more than 20. There is not much BvP data but it favors Leblanc.

Texas at Minnesota

BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN
TEX BvP		TEX vs L		MIN BvP		MIN vs R
Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window

Las Vegas

• OU 8.5

• Favored TEX -116

Pitchers

• Home Scott Diamond is serviceable as a fifth starter but he is not useful for daily fantasy he has only 6 Ks in his first two starts and the BvPs favor TEX in this one. Avoid

• Away Do not fall into the Justin Grimm trap. Yes, he looked real good in his last start but he was pitching against SEA. In fact, both of his two starts came against them. In two starts, he has 1.50 WHIP so the odds are the wheels will come off of his 2.70 ERA sooner rather than later. Avoid

Batters

• Home MIN has gone ice cold but I think a rookie pitcher at home might be just what the doctor order for them. The splits are in favor of Mauer and Morneau and hits/walk should be at an abundance considering this kids WHIP.

• Away Nelson Cruz has produced more than any other OF in the last 7 days with 35.75 fp. He gets a lefty today a big plus for him. Ian Kinsler and Adrian Beltre also draw that same nice split and are producing well also.

Cleveland at Kansas City

BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN
CLE BvP		CLE vs R		KCR BvP		KCR vs L
Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window

Las Vegas

• OU 8.5

• Favored KAN -165

Pitchers

• Home Ervina Santana as been lights out recently and he faces a CLE team that cannot hit him with a .201 BAA vs. him. CLE is batting .270 ON the road, .233 vs right-handers and .274 over the last 7 days. It is hard to ignore those BvPs, though. Target

• Away Scott Kazmir has looked awful. He has a 16.20 ERA. You cannot consider him until he has at least one good outing. Avoid

Batters

• Home Lorenzo Cain and Alex Gordon remain hot producing combined 52.5 fp. Billy Butler and Jeff Francoeur draw the lefty today. The way Kazmir has been pitching I think everyone is in play today.

• Away Mark Reynolds remains hot with 23.5 fp over the last 7. Drew Stubbs is producing well also and Jason Giambi draws the righty today and has produced 15.75 fp in limited appearances

Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox

BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN
TBR BvP		TBR vs R		CHW BvP		CHW vs R
Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window

Las Vegas

• OU 7.5

• Favored CHW -145

Pitchers

• Home Jake Peavy has a 1.38 ERA at home so far this year. He was a 3.10 pitcher there a year ago. He catches a TAM team batting only .227 on the year and even worse on the road who he has held to a .220 BAA. Target

• Away Roberto Hernandez is actually pitching well. He has recorded 7 Ks in 3 of his 4 starts and has only given up 4 ER in his past 2. He catches a CHW team really struggling at the plate batting .178 over the last 7 days but that has had great success versus him in the past. He is too risky for me given his opponent but could be a nice against the grain GPP play if you fade Peavy and think CHW will continue to slump.

Batters

• Home Adam Dunn, Paul Konerko, Alexi Ramirez an Alejandro De Aza all have nice BvPs today. Dunn and De Aza are producing well over the last 7 if you can believe it.

• Away Ryan Roberts has been hot producing 22.5 fp. James Loney is still batting over .300 on the season and his numbers versus Peavy are solid. 7-25 with 2 HRs. Ben Zobrist is 4-7 with 1 HR vs. him.

Pittsburgh at St. Louis

BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN
PIT BvP		PIT vs R		STL BvP		STL vs L
Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window

Las Vegas

• OU 8.5

• Favored STL -220

Pitchers

• Home Lance Lynn is the huge favorite in this one. That plus his K/9 make him a target. Lance Lynn posted a 3.28 ERA at home a year ago and his one start there went well this season. He faces a PIT team batting .199 on the road, .250 vs. right-handers, and .260 over the last 7 days. The BvP data favors them but Lynn seems to be a lock to get the win. Target

• Away Jonathan Sanchez ‘s whip is 2.29 on the year. There is no way I can recommend a player with that high of a WHIP. Gentleman, fire up your STL stacks. Avoid

Batters

• Home Throw out the numbers on this one. If they are starting then they are in play just be weary of overlay.

• Away Gaby Sanchez, Starling Marte and Pedro Alvarez have all been on fire this past week. Russell Martin has a solid week as well. I would avoid both Jones and McCuthcen because the BvPs are not there and both have produce less than 10 fp this week and are poor road hitters.

Continue Reading Part Two of Today’s Day Games MLB Grind Down Article Here