MLB Daily Grind Down May 19th Part 3
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time. (any fp listed uses Fanduel’s scoring system)
Chicago White Sox at LA Angels
| Chicago White Sox | LA Angels | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel Stadium | 3:35 PM | ||||||
| Jake Peavy – (5-1), 2.96 ERA, 10.15 K/9, 1.01 WHIP | Jason Vargas – (2-3), 4.03 ERA, 5.99 K/9, 1.46 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (30-96 H/AB) 0.313 BA-A, 20.83 K%, 0.875 OPS-A | PvB | (34-85 H/AB) 0.4 BA-A, 10.59 K%, 1.2 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (5-0), 4.64 ERA, 5 HRA, 6.5 K/9, 1.515 WHIP | HOME | (1-2), 5.79 ERA, 1 HRA, 9.6 K/9, 1.821 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
CHW BvP  | CHW vs L | LAA BvP | LAA vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored Pick’em
Pitchers
- Home you might think that Jason Vargas is not good but he has been serviceable at home with a 3.12 ERA on the year. However, CHW have hit him really hard in the past with a .400 BAA. When Adam Dunn can be 3-5 with 2 HRs versus another lefty than you know this is not a matchup you want to exploit. CHW have been hitting better lately. CHW is batting .256 on the road, .250 versus left-handers, and .301 over the last 7 days.
- Away I was at an Astros game in which Jake Peavy pitch a complete game, 1 hit, shutout. It was just a week apart from me watching Ben Sheets do the same thing. He is not that same pitcher but his 2.95 ERA and 1.01 WHIP are among the best in the Big Leagues. He is a 1.35 pitcher in day games this year and I am not sure why Vegas does not have listed as the favorite because he is pitching incredibly well this year and I trust him in this park. LAA is batting .278 at home, .262 versus right-handers, and .248 over the last 7 days. I cannot in good faith tell you to target a player who is not a favored on the road but I really like him today. In Play
Batters
- Home Josh Hamilton is 7-15 with 2 HR versus Peavy. Albert Pujols is 8-23 with 2 HRs. Mike Trout is looking like an MVP again producing 33.5 fp over the last 7 days.
- Away This is a bold Prediction but CHW have been hot, they are undervalued because of their early slump, and the BvPs are overwhelming so Gentlemen start your CHW stacks. Alex Rios is super hot producing 36 fp and is a play either way.
Kansas City at Oakland
| Kansas City | Oakland | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.co Coliseum | 4:07 PM | ||||||
| Luis Mendoza – (1-2), 6 ERA, 6.6 K/9, 1.37 WHIP | A.J. Griffin – (4-3), 3.48 ERA, 6.86 K/9, 1.16 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (7-30 H/AB) 0.233 BA-A, 16.67 K%, 0.733 OPS-A | PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-2), 8.44 ERA, 3 HRA, 9.3 K/9, 1.406 WHIP | HOME | (2-1), 1.77 ERA, 2 HRA, 8 K/9, 0.836 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| KCR BvP | KCR vs R | OAK BvP | OAK vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8
- Favored OAK -150
Pitchers
- Home A.J. Griffin numbers look exactly like they did a year ago. He is a low ERA pitcher who does not get a great deal of Ks. He takes the mound as the heavy favorite at home where he is a 3.12 pitcher on the year. KAN has yet to see him so there is no BvP data. KAN is batting .264 on the road, .254 versus right-handers, and .251 over the last 7 days. In Play
- Away If you want a player that is going to give up 3 or more ER in 80% of their starts while striking out next to no one then Luis Mendoza is your guy. He is a huge underdog and has no upside. He has not pitched well. OAK is batting .230 at home, .228 versus right-handers, and .220 over the last 7 days. Avoid
Batters
- Home There is not much BvP data but the team is 7-27 versus Mendoza. Anytime you see a starter with a 6.00 ERA consider everyone in play.
- Away Billy Butler is on a nice little run producing 27.25 fp over the last week. I might take a flyer on the lefties in this one since the OU is 8 but I would not dig to deep into this game for offense.
San Francisco at Colorado
| San Francisco | Colorado | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coors Field | 4:10 PM | ||||||
| Barry Zito – (3-2), 3.4 ERA, 5.4 K/9, 1.44 WHIP | Juan Nicasio – (3-1), 5.13 ERA, 6.06 K/9, 1.41 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (52-226 H/AB) 0.23 BA-A, 19.03 K%, 0.655 OPS-A | PvB | (5-23 H/AB) 0.217 BA-A, 13.04 K%, 0.739 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-0), 2.13 ERA, 0 HRA, 6.4 K/9, 1.105 WHIP | HOME | (2-2), 6.49 ERA, 4 HRA, 4.4 K/9, 1.709 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| SFG BvP | SFG vs R | COL BvP | COL vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 11
- Favored COL -110
Pitchers
If I cannot recommend Matt Cain when he pitches in Col then how am I supposed to recommend either of these two pitchers? The OU is a high 11 and I bet Vegas has more bets are the over side as opposed to the under. Avoid
Batters
- Home Gentlemen start your COL stacks. Carlos Gonzalez is hot producing 40.25 fp over the last week. Wilin Rosario has the best numbers versus Zito but this one could get ugly so play everyone.
- Away Brandon Belt has been hot producing 25.5 fp over the last week but a SFO stack looks playable here also.
Washington at San Diego
| Washington | San Diego | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petco Park | 4:10 PM | ||||||
| Dan Haren – (4-4), 4.76 ERA, 6.19 K/9, 1.35 WHIP | Andrew Cashner – (2-2), 2.84 ERA, 6.39 K/9, 1.18 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (31-106 H/AB) 0.292 BA-A, 26.42 K%, 0.708 OPS-A | PvB | (1-11 H/AB) 0.091 BA-A, 27.27 K%, 0.364 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-1), 3.65 ERA, 0 HRA, 8.8 K/9, 1.297 WHIP | HOME | (0-0), 1.04 ERA, 1 HRA, 11.4 K/9, 1.038 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| WSN BvP | WSN vs R | SDP BvP | SDP vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored SDG -125
Pitchers
- Home The knock on Andrew Cashner ‘s game is the same as every decent pitcher going today. His K/9 is low but he has been very solid on the year particularly at home where his ERA is 1.08. WAS is slumping batting .221 on the road, .240 versus right-handers, and .202 over the last 7 days. In Play
- Away Dan Haren has a ton of GPP upside even though he has not produced all that much on the year. I like him today in this pitcher’s park against a very weak hitting team. Call it a hunch but I think we see old Dan Haren today. In Play
Batters
- Home Outside of Will Venable, no player is worth mentioning in SDG.
- Away Cashner has held WAS to 1 hit in 11 AB vs. him. Bryce Harper is batting .351 versus right-handers and is always a solid play. Adam LaRoche and Ryan Zimmerman have been hot producing a combined 59.5 fp between them over the last 7 days.
Detroit at Texas
| Detroit | Texas | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers Ballpark | 8:05 PM | ||||||
| Doug Fister – (5-1), 3.06 ERA, 7.2 K/9, 1.18 WHIP | Derek Holland – (3-2), 2.93 ERA, 7.84 K/9, 1.07 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (34-122 H/AB) 0.279 BA-A, 5.74 K%, 0.795 OPS-A | PvB | (17-68 H/AB) 0.25 BA-A, 23.53 K%, 0.882 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-2), 5.16 ERA, 2 HRA, 7.1 K/9, 1.809 WHIP | HOME | (1-1), 1.57 ERA, 1 HRA, 7 K/9, 0.957 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| DET BvP | DET vs L | TEX BvP | TEX vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored TEX -117
Pitchers
- Home Derek Holland is a good young pitcher but DET is a great offense. You will save more money avoiding pitchers facing them than you will win by gambling on this scenario. Avoid
- Away TEX has really gotten to Doug Fister in the past and I am not crazy about the high OU. I know he has pitched well but Vegas does not like him to get the win and I am not crazy about him in a park in which Yu Darvish and Justin Verlander both got hammered a couple of nights ago. Avoid
Batters
- Home David Murphy, Nelson Cruz, Adrian Beltre and Ian Kinsler all have positive BvPs versus Fister. Moreland Beltre and Andrus have all produced over 30 fp in the last 7 days.
- Away Tori Hunter is 10-34 versus Holland with 2 HRs. The way DET hits everyone is in play every day but I do not think a load is a good option today.
