MLB Daily Grind Down May 4th Night Games NGP2
Chicago White Sox at Kansas City
| Chicago White Sox | Kansas City | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauffman Stadium | 7:10 PM | ||||||
| Dylan Axelrod – (0-1), 3.95 ERA, 5.31 K/9, 1.24 WHIP | Jeremy Guthrie – (3-0), 3.06 ERA, 6.73 K/9, 1.27 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (1-6 H/AB) 0.167 BA-A, 0.33 K%, 0.667 OPS-A | PvB | (43-215 H/AB) 0.2 BA-A, 0.19 K%, 0.605 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-1), 7.45 ERA, 2 HRA, 5.6 K/9, 1.966 WHIP | HOME | (1-0), 5.4 ERA, 3 HRA, 2.7 K/9, 1.05 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
CHW BvP  | CHW vs R | KCR BvP | KCR vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored KAN -142
Pitchers
- Home Jeremy Guthrie is pitching well again. He has a Decent K/9 ratio, WHIP and ERA. He has owned the CWS holding thm to a .200 BAA CHW is batting .245 on the road, .230 vs. right-handers, and .241 over the last 7 days. His K totals low for me but the line is hard to ignore. In Play
- Away Dylan Axelrod has been sharp over his last 3 outings. The low OU means he could pitch well enough to get the win but I would be hard press to gamble on guy with a low K/9 who is the dog on the road. KAN is batting .278 at home, .303 vs. left-handers, .294 over the last 7 days. Avoid
Batters
- Home Mike Moustakas has been hot. Jeff Francoeur has 18.5 fp over the last week. The splits favor Billy Butler today and he appears to be coming around.
- Away Paul Konerko , Alex Rios and Alejandro De Aza have good numbers versus Guthrie. The low OU and the fact that CWS is not scoring many runs will probably keep me away from most of them today.
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored DET -185
Tampa Bay at Colorado
| Tampa Bay | Colorado | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coors Field | 8:10 PM | ||||||
| David Price – (1-2), 5.21 ERA, 8.29 K/9, 1.37 WHIP | Jon Garland – (2-2), 4.65 ERA, 4.35 K/9, 1.39 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (6-35 H/AB) 0.171 BA-A, 0.26 K%, 0.514 OPS-A | PvB | (19-72 H/AB) 0.264 BA-A, 0.13 K%, 0.819 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (0-0), 4.5 ERA, 2 HRA, 10.5 K/9, 1.167 WHIP | HOME | (2-1), 4.74 ERA, 3 HRA, 3.3 K/9, 1.421 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| TBR BvP | TBR vs R | COL BvP | COL vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored TAM -125
Pitchers
- Home Jon Garland been the same pitcher on the road as he has been at home. The reason is that he has been inducing mainly ground ball outs. He may one pitcher who can survive COL but he will have to prove that to me first. TAM is batting .237 on the road, .231 vs right-handers, and .300 over the last 7 days with 12 HRs. Avoid
- Away David Price takes the mound in COL. He is a great pitcher but you cannot consider taking him at his price in that stadium when you consider how he has struggled so far this season with leaving pitches up in the zone. COL is a great home team. They are batting .293 at home, .278 vs. left-handers, and .296 over the last 7 days. Avoid
Batters
- Home COL is a bit injured as of late but should scores some runs today Wilin Rosario looks to be in a good spot to produce but it is tough to say with Price. Carlos Gonzalez is the Rockie with the highest batting average versus left-handed pitching and he has been producing over the past week with 20.5 fp.
- Away Ben Zobrist, Matt Joyce and Evan Longoria remain the 3 Rays carrying the team. Kelly Johnson has picked it up lately also.
Arizona at San Diego
| Arizona | San Diego | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petco Park | 8:40 PM | ||||||
| Patrick Corbin – (3-0), 1.91 ERA, 6.82 K/9, 1.06 WHIP | Clayton Richard – (0-3), 7.94 ERA, 4.05 K/9, 1.9 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (16-47 H/AB) 0.34 BA-A, 0.21 K%, 1.043 OPS-A | PvB | (27-100 H/AB) 0.27 BA-A, 0.18 K%, 0.8 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-0), 2.21 ERA, 1 HRA, 7.1 K/9, 0.984 WHIP | HOME | (0-1), 5.68 ERA, 1 HRA, 5.7 K/9, 1.974 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| ARI BvP | ARI vs L | SDP BvP | SDP vs L | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored ARI -130
Pitchers
- Home Clayton Richard has recorded only 1 K in 3 of his 5 starts. He has 10 on the season. He was a better pitcher at home a year ago but there is no upside in playing a guy with a 7.94 ERA who only get 2 Ks a game. Avoid
- Away Patrick Corbin has been dominANT. Not enough Ks but a solid 1.06 WHIP. His K/9 totals are up from last year, also. He takes the hill in a pitcher’s park against a SDP is not known for their offensive. SDP is batting .265 at home, .244 vs. left-handers, and .272 over the last 7 days.
Batters
- Home Yonder Alonso has been hot over the last 7 days producing 34.75 fp. He is batting .313 vs. left-handers. Chase Headley did his normal superman act on the road but he turns into Clark Kent at home. Chris Denorfia is 3-6 vs. Corbin with 2 HR and is batting .297 vs. left-handers.
- Away Paul Goldschmidt kills left-handed pitching. Richard is no exception. Goldschmidt is 5-10 vs. him. Eric Chavez is on a nice little streak 6-13 with an HR. Richard is pitching poorly and could get hammered so that makes everyone playable.
Boston at Texas
| Boston | Texas | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers Ballpark | 4:05 PM | ||||||
| Jon Lackey – | Alexi Ogando – (2-2), 3.38 ERA, 7.59 K/9, 1.25 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | PvB | (5-30 H/AB) 0.167 BA-A, 0.27 K%, 0.6 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | NO DATA | HOME | (1-0), 1.69 ERA, 0 HRA, 3.4 K/9, 1.125 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| BOS BvP | BOS vs R | TEX BvP | TEX vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 9
- Favored TEX -140
Pitchers
- Home Alexi Ogando is favored to get the win today and he is pitching fantastic this year particularly at home. His Ks are not elite and the OU in this game is high but he has held BOS to .167 BAA. BOS is batting .281 on the road, .287 vs. right-handers, and .311 over the last 7 days with 12 HRs. The splits are scary. In Play
- Away John Lackey has looked good in first two starts but he seems to be limited to a pitch count of around 80. How long that is in effect is to be seen but until he starts throwing around 100 pitches his upside will be limited. He might not even make it 5 IP in this start and he faces a tough TEX team. TEX is batting .278 at home, .258 vs. right-handers, and .290 over the last 7 days. Avoid
Batters
- Home This might shock you but the Ranger with the highest batting average versus right-handed pitching is Ian Kinsler. He is 14-32 vs. Lackey with 3 HRs. Lackey has pitched well but the OU is high so looked to few of TEX LU today.
- Away Stephen Drew has been BOS hottest player and he is 2-3 versus Ogando. David Ortiz has been on fire is batting .577 versus right-handers. The OU is high so many Red Soxs could be a viable play if you want to gamble on a few.
LA Dodgers at San Francisco
| LA Dodgers | San Francisco | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AT&T Park | 9:05 PM | ||||||
| Matt Magill – (0-0), 2.7 ERA, 10.16 K/9, 0.9 WHIP | Ryan Vogelsong – (1-2), 6.23 ERA, 7.77 K/9, 1.55 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (42-237 H/AB) 0.177 BA-A, 0.28 K%, 0.443 OPS-A | PvB | (0-0 H/AB) 0 BA-A, 0 K%, 0 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | NO DATA | HOME | (0-1), 6.57 ERA, 2 HRA, 7.3 K/9, 1.622 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| LAD BvP | LAD vs R | SFG BvP | SFG vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored SFO -140
Pitchers
- Home Ryan Vogelsong has lost me when he gave up 3 HRs in his last start to a SDP team that had only 15 on the year at that point. He had a great home ERA a year ago but he has failed to escape a start with less than 3 ERs so far this year. LAD is batting .264 on the road, .225 vs right-handers, and .258 over the last 7 days. Ryan Vogelsong has held the team to only 1 HR in 118 AB versus him but I do not trust the way he is pitching right now. Still, the dodgers are pretty injured which could help. In Play
- Away Matt Magill is your high risk/reward player of today. 7 Ks in his first start show huge upside but jumping on an unproven rookie is always a gamble. I am not sure I pull the trigger on him today because there are not enough big name hitters I feel worthy of reaching for today. SFO is batting .271 at home, .266 vs right-handers, .240 over the last 7 days. In Play
Batters
- Home Buster Posey, Pablo Sandoval, Hunter Pence, and Brandon Crawford or the players to look at on SFO. I also like the upside of Brandon Belt versus the young pitcher,.
- Away Matt Kemp has that 1 HR vs. Vogelsong and a nice BvP line with it. I would feel safe playing a run if guys around him considering Vogelsong ‘s troubles.