MLB Daily Grind Down: Monday, July 22nd Part Three

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-07-22 18:58:29

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Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona

9:40 PM	Chicago Cubs – ROAD					Arizona – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.243	0.710	19.20%	0.56		0.256	0.708	18.50%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.234	0.704	22.10%	0.44		0.256	0.715	19.30%	0.45
SP STATS	Garza – RHP					Skaggs – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.14	3.17	7.86	12.00		1.31	4.03	7.76	9.80
LAST 14 DAYS	1.13	1.66	6.37	14.73		1.24	2.19	5.95	10.55
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	CHC vs L		CHC BvP			ARI vs R		ARI BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – ARI -135

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Tyler Skaggs has been good in his first 5 starts and the Cubs look like an easy draw on paper but they have been much better as of late and from what I have seen from Skaggs, he seems to be a very up and down player. CHC is batting .233 on the road, .233 versus left-handers, and .272 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5

• Away Do not play Matt Garza until after the trade deadline. He could get dealt at any moment and the last thing you want is to throw up a 0 at the most important spot in your LU. It is not a good matchup anyway. ARI is batting .250 at home, .256 versus right-handers, and .229 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 1

Batter Grind Down

• Home If Garza gets dealt then an ARI stack could payoff big because CHC bullpen is the 4th worst in the Majors. Parr, Montero, and Hill has positive BvPs versus Garza. RG Stack Rating 6

• Away Alfonso Soriano went into the break hot. Historically, he hits left-handers very well. Starlin Castro hit left-handers at a high clip last year. He had a horrible fist half of the season but I think he gets back on track today. RG Stack Rating 4

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Minnesota vs. LA Angels

10:05 PM	Minnesota – ROAD					LA Angels – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.245	0.703	21.00%	0.55		0.267	0.755	18.20%	0.62
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.241	0.701	20.80%	0.44		0.277	0.778	17.90%	0.51
SP STATS	Gibson – RHP					Blanton – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.67	6.45	4.48	6.28		1.55	5.53	7.47	7.58
LAST 14 DAYS	1.80	7.71	3.35	4.03		2.11	8.59	7.61	4.07
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	MIN vs R		MIN BvP			LAA vs R		LAA BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – LAA -165

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home I do not know why the Angel keep rolling Joe Blanton out every 5th start. He has been really bad and even though this MIN team has struggled, I cannot see things changing for him today. He is allowing opponents to bat .312 versus him and he has given up 23 HRs in 19 starts. MIN might be worse than he is. MIN is batting .222 on the road, .239 versus right-handers, and .217 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

• Away Samuel Deduno is having a nice little year so far. He is not a very good pitcher on the road with 4.43 road ERA and the Angels are a great home hitting team. LAA is batting .277 at home, .275 versus right-handers and .220 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

Batter Grind Down

• Home Mike Trout and Albert Pujols have been the only productive Angels. Josh Hamilton is 2-6 with 1 HR versus Deduno.RG Stack Rating 3

• Away Blanton numbers are awful but so is MIN. One or the other side has to win out and I trust MIN bats to get it done today over Blanton. Joe Muaer and Justin Morneau have been producing since the break. Both have positive BvPs versus Blanton. Trevor Plouffe has 2 HRs versus Blanton in 7 AB. RG Stack Rating 5

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Cleveland vs. Seattle

10:10 PM	Cleveland – ROAD					Seattle – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.258	0.749	21.60%	0.66		0.244	0.710	21.80%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.256	0.746	22.10%	0.51		0.247	0.721	21.60%	0.46
SP STATS	Jimenez – RHP					Harang – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.50	4.56	8.62	8.96		1.30	5.38	6.92	7.55
LAST 14 DAYS	1.67	4.20	5.40	7.00		1.64	7.36	3.27	5.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	CLE vs R		CLE BvP			SEA vs R		SEA BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8

• Favored Team – Pick’em

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home When you cannot put up a respectabvle ERA in SEA then your career is pretty much over. That is where Aaron Harang is at. His home ERA of 4.99 is leaps and bounds better than his road ERA but a 4.99 ERA in SEA is awful. CLE is batting .253 on the road, .254 versus right-handers, and .243 over the last 7 days RG Start-Ability 2

• Away Ubaldo Jimenez problems on the year have all come at home. He is very respectable pitcher on the road with an ERA in the mid 3s. He is a very good play tonight because SEA is a team that Ks at a high rate and Safeco is a very forgiving Park. SEA offense is better as of late. They are batting .255 at home, .245 versus right-handers, and .239 over the last 7 days RG Start-Ability 7

Batter Grind Down

• Home Michael Suanders and Dustin Ackley have positive BvPs versus Jimenez. Both those two players and Brad Miller came out of the break hot. RG Stack Rating 3

• Away The Low OU tempers my expectations for the Indians but I like there bats today. Michael Bourne is 10-29 with 1 HR versus Harang. Jason Kipnis came out of the break hot going 4-11 with 2 HR. Both those guys hit right-handers very well. RG Stack Rating 7

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Cincinnati vs. San Francisco

10:15 PM	Cincinnati – ROAD					San Francisco – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.250	0.722	19.90%	0.58		0.264	0.707	17.40%	0.53
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.251	0.723	20.00%	0.47		0.263	0.709	17.40%	0.42
SP STATS	Arroyo – RHP					Lincecum – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.14	3.42	5.04	9.33		1.34	4.26	9.69	10.85
LAST 14 DAYS	0.68	2.37	5.68	11.33		0.90	2.53	13.65	17.03
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	CIN vs R		CIN BvP			SFG vs R		SFG BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5

• Favored Team – SFO -120

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Tim Lincecum finally produced the start that I said he was capable of with his upside. He remains a “spin the wheel player”, though, and I think too many people well be betting his number today so I do not think he is worth the gamble. Vegas put a ton of faith in him today. CIN is batting .244 on the road, .252 versus right-handers, and .254 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6

• Away Bronson Arroyo is having a great year but he has not been good on the road an SFO is pretty good home team. SFO can disappear at times at the plate, though but they do not K that much and Arroyo does not get that many Ks so I do not think the upside is there today. SFO is batting .268 at home, .262 versus right-handers, and .224 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5

Batter Grind Down

• Home Hunter Pence is 12-37 with 2 HRs versus Arroyo. Buster Posey has been hot coming out of the break. RG Stack Rating 4

• Away Almost all of the CIN starters have positive BvPs versus Lincecum. Tim could easily give up 6 ER in this game so consider everyone worth a look. RG Stack Rating 6

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