MLB Daily Grind Down: Thursday, June 13th Part Two

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-06-13 16:05:13

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San Francisco vs. Pittsburgh

7:05 PM	San Francisco – ROAD					Pittsburgh – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.267	0.720	16.20%	0.57		0.235	0.677	22.50%	0.52
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.266	0.731	16.10%	0.46		0.238	0.681	22.70%	0.40
SP STATS	Cain – RHP					Morton – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.20	5.09	8.32	9.70
LAST 14 DAYS	1.28	5.00	9.50	10.33
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	SFG vs R		SFG BvP			PIT vs R		PIT BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5

• Favored Team – Pick’em

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home I know this game is listed as a pick em and the OU is low but do not look for Charlie Morton today. I know we have been spoiled this year with a ton of low salary guys performing in GPPs but I assure you this is not the norm for daily fantasy. Morton has had a poor career in the MLB and sports a very hefty career 5.06 ERA and he is not a high K/9 player either. SFO is batting .263 on the road, .265 versus right-handers, and .283 over the last 7 days. Avoid

• Road How far has Matt Cain fallen this year when he is listed as a pick’em against a player who could only manage a 3.75 ERA in AAA this year? Matt Cain had a solid outing in ARI last time out going 7 IP with 1 ER and 4 Ks. Those HR problems that he had earlier in the year have vanished and he has not surrender a HR in his last 4 starts. He is back to getting a nice percentage of ground ball outs. Call me optimistic but it looks like he has turned a corner. I like him today because his salary has dropped. PIT is batting .248 at home, .241 versus right-handers, and .266 over the last 7 days. Target

Batter Grind Down

• *Russell Martin is a very nice 10-34 versus Cain. Russell Martin, Andrew McCutchen, Pedro Alvarez, and Starlin Marte have all been hot producing over 20 fp each. McCutchen is batting .349 at home.

• Road Las Vegas be Damned! Fire up your SFO stacks. A hot Hunter Pence with 24.5 fp over the last week and positive BvPs is playable either way.
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Kansas City vs. Tampa Bay

7:10 PM	Kansas City – ROAD					Tampa Bay – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.258	0.682	17.40%	0.53		0.259	0.745	18.20%	0.64
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.249	0.663	17.70%	0.36		0.246	0.727	18.30%	0.50
SP STATS	Santana – RHP					Hellickson – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.03	2.99	7.28	11.68		1.23	5.18	6.98	8.62
LAST 14 DAYS	0.90	2.53	6.82	11.70		1.30	4.41	6.71	9.37
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	KCR vs R		KCR BvP			TBR vs R		TBR BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8

• Favored Team – TAM -145

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Out of no where, Jeremy Hellickson shut down BAL in his last outing going 6 IP with 0 ER and 5 Ks. That’s baseball for you. He draws a much weaker offensive team this time out in KAN and is the favorite but I still do not trust a guy who gave up 5 ER to the Marlins just 3 starts ago. KAN is batting .261 on the road, .246 versus right-handers, and .260 over the last 7 days. Avoid

• Road Ervin Santana 4-5 W-L over shadows how great he has been on the year. He is pitching fantastic and has been almost as good on the road as he has been at home. It is tough to trust him today versus this very good home team but I would chose him over Hellickson if I had to pick a pitcher from this matchup. TAM is batting .275 at home, .246 versus right-handers, and .270 over the last 7 days. Avoid

Batter Grind Down

• Home TAM has a .286 BAA versus Santana as a team so just about everyone has good numbers. Evan Longoria ‘s 5-12 with 2 HRs, Matt Joyce ‘s 4-14 with 2 HRs, and Luke Scott ‘s 8-21 with 2 HRs standout the most. Ben Zobrist has been hot producing 34.5 fp over the last week. Lonogoria, Desmond Jennings, and Joyce have been hot as well. James Loney is batting .308 versus right-handed pitching and is 5-12 versus Santana.

• Road Eric Hosmer, Lorenzo Cain, and Salvador Perez have all been hot over the last week. Perez and Cain are both batting over .300 versus right-handers. Alex Gordon is 4-9 versus Hellickson. Billy Butler is 5-9. I think all of KAN is playable, though.

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Toronto vs. Texas

8:05 PM	Toronto – ROAD					Texas – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.251	0.727	19.20%	0.60		0.265	0.759	17.80%	0.62
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.250	0.747	20.00%	0.50		0.270	0.774	17.70%	0.52
SP STATS	Rogers – RHP					Darvish – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.37	3.60	6.17	1.96		0.95	2.75	12.05	15.93
LAST 14 DAYS	1.10	0.96	9.89	6.03		0.94	2.49	11.46	14.07
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	TOR vs R		TOR BvP			TEX vs R		TEX BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – TEX -210

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Yu Darvish just gave up 3 ER in 6 IP to this same TOR in his last start. That start was in TOR, however, where they are a much harder team to face. Darvish is the MLB leader in K/9 amongst starters. Since he is one of only two aces pitching tonight, overlay will be a concern but his salary should help trim some of that down. TOR is batting .243 on the road, .254 versus right-handers, and .253 over the last 7 days. Target

• Road Esmil Rodgers looked good in his spot start versus TEX the last time he pitched but he only threw 73 pitches and lasted only 4 IP. There is a chance that the open him up a little more this time out but do you really want to risk it against this TEX team that is very tough at home? TEX is batting .280 at home, .268 versus right-handers, and .224 over the last 7 days. Avoid

Batter Grind Down

• Home Rodgers handled TEX the last time they played but I do not expect him to pitch half the game even if he has the same results. Who will pitch after him? I do not know that so consider everyone playable since TOR bullpen is not impressive.

• Road If you are playing the fade then Jose Bautista, Adam Lind and Edwin Encarnacion have all been producing over the last week. Edwin Encarnacion is 5-10 with 2 HRs versus Darvish. Colby Rasmus is 5-9 versus him as well
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Philadelphia vs. Minnesota

8:10 PM	Philadelphia – ROAD					Minnesota – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.248	0.709	19.90%	0.55		0.245	0.701	20.80%	0.56
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.250	0.701	19.50%	0.42		0.246	0.677	20.80%	0.40
SP STATS	Lee – LHP					Correia – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.01	2.55	7.85	13.78		1.33	4.11	4.25	8.10
LAST 14 DAYS	0.99	2.78	11.35	17.07		1.37	4.74	6.63	9.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	PHI vs R		PHI BvP			MIN vs L		MIN BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7.5

• Favored Team – PHI -145

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Even on a short day, Kevin Correia horrible K/9 give him too little upside. He might pitch well against this poor PHI offense but his fp will still be on the low side. PHI is batting .243 on the road, .248 versus right-handers, and .239 over the last 7 days. Avoid

• Road Cliff Lee is that other ace. He has been lights out on the road this year with a 1.80 ERA and faces a MIN team whose two best hitters are lefties. MIN is batting .266 at home, .255 versus left-handers, and .233 over the last 7 days. Target

Batter Grind Down

• Home Joe Mauer has managed to go 9-30 versus Lee and Jamey Carroll is 5-8 versus him as well. Mauer is bating .345 versus left-handed pitching.

• Road Correia has been tough at home but I would roll with some of the PHI left-handed bats today. Jimmy Rollins has encouraging BvPs also.
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