Super Bowl 60 Novelty Props
After months of digging into Baseball Savant, Next Gen, Synergy, and every other major statistical platform, I finally get to focus on what matters: what color Gatorade will be dumped on the winning coach of the Super Bowl. This is our … Super Bowl.
Here’s your guide to Super Bowl LX novelty props.
Super Bowl LX Novelty Props
The Coin Toss
Say the line, Bart. As always, line shop this one to get as close to even money as you can. It’s a literal coin flip. BetMGM has both sides at -102. I haven’t found a better line yet.
Quick stats
- Tails leads 31-28 all time.
- Tails hit last year and has hit 6 of the last 10 games.
- Tails has hit in 3 of New England’s last 4 Super Bowl appearances (SB 49, 51, 52, 53).
- Tails is 3-for-3 in Seattle’s Super Bowl appearances (SB 40, 48, 49).
This is a rematch of the 2015 Super Bowl. Tails hit that year, part of a 4-year win streak for that side.
THE PICK: Tails. There’s too much history to ignore here. The Patriots and Seahawks have racked up Tails results recently.
Gatorade Color
We were on the right track last year but got the winner wrong. I mentioned Yellow/Green being the likely choice if Philadelphia emerged victorious. Unfortunately, we backed the Chiefs and Purple. BetMGM has Orange as the current favorite (+225). Yellow/Green and Blue are close behind (+260). The rest of the options are clear longshots. Purple is +750, while Red and Clear/Water are +1100.
Quick stats
- Seattle went with Orange when they won in 2014.
- New England used Blue in 2015 and 2019. They did not do a Gatorade shower in 2017 (lame).
- Blue has appeared in 3 of the last 7 years, all by different teams. In addition to the Patriots in 2019, the Buccaneers (2021) and Rams (2022) also used it.
- None was +2500 on BetMGM last year, but it doesn’t appear to be an option this year.
Neither team did a Gatorade shower for their Conference Championship wins, so there’s nothing to learn there. Mike Vrabel is in his first season with New England, and Mike Macdonald is in his second season with Seattle, so again, not a ton to go off of in terms of history.
THE PICK: Blue. The Patriots’ data is solid here. It also fits the color scheme of both teams.
Jersey of 1st TD Scorer
Caesars has Over 11.5 (-105) / Under 11.5 (-125).
Quick stats
- New England scored the 1st TD in 7 regular season games. They’re 2-for-3 in the playoffs.
- Seattle scored the 1st TD in 12 regular season games. They’re 2-for-2 in the playoffs.
- Kenneth Walker III is far and away the favorite for anytime TD odds. He’s up at -195 in some spots.
- The best option on the New England side is Rhamondre Stevenson at +130 to +140. Every other Patriot has longer than +200 odds.
Here are the top candidates on each side (with Caesars 1st TD odds):
- Jersey number over 11.5 (odds to be 1st TD scorer) – Rhamondre Stevenson (+800), AJ Barner (+1200), Hunter Henry (+1500), Rashid Shaheed (+1800), Mack Hollins (+2200), TreVeyon Henderson (+2400)
- Jersey number under 11.5 (odds to be 1st TD scorer) – Kenneth Walker III (+375), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+550), Cooper Kupp (+1400), Drake Maye (+1500), Stefon Diggs (+1600), Kayshon Boutte (+1800)
DraftKings took an interesting stance here, setting the line at Over 10.5 (-160) / Under 10.5 (+120). That approach bumps JSN to the Over bucket. Caesars placed the two favorites, Walker and JSN, in the Under camp.
THE PICK: Under 11.5. Prioritizing Walker and JSN seems like the best route. There’s a bit more juice but not to the point where it’s a tough click. Seattle has scored the 1st touchdown at a much better rate, so securing their top options is nice. I’m fully prepared to get buried by a Barner Tush Push.
Position of MVP
This tends to be a quarterback award, and this year is no different. Sam Darnold and Drake Maye are the clear favorites. Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Kenneth Walker III are in the ballpark, but they’re mostly +500 or longer. Every other player is a massive longshot.
Quick stats
- A quarterback has won 34 times.
- The last two non-QBs to win were both wide receivers (Cooper Kupp in 2022, Julian Edelman in 2019)
- Dallas linebacker Chuck Howley is the only player to win MVP on the losing team. He had 2 interceptions and recovered a fumble.
It’s important to note that defensive players are separated by position. It makes a longshot even longer when you have to choose between lineman, linebacker, cornerback, and safety. DraftKings actually has cornerback with the 4th-lowest odds (+3000). That seems like a Marcus Jones pick-6 / kick-return angle.
THE PICK: Wide Receiver (+370). I’m not going to eat the -215 on Quarterback. It’s hard to see anyone but Maye winning if New England is victorious, but there’s a JSN path on the other side. He commands such a massive target share that he could post a big game without Darnold going crazy. Kupp put up 8/92/2 when he won it. Matthew Stafford had a fine game, going 26-for-40 with 283 yards and 3 TDs, but he also had 2 INTs. Darnold led the league in interceptions.
Will there be an Octopus?
The prop that started it all. We hit this back in 2023, with Jalen Hurts recording the first octopus in Super Bowl history. He scored a short rushing TD and then ran it in again for the 2-point conversion. An octopus refers to scoring a touchdown and 2-point conversion consecutively. Just like with touchdown scorer props, it has to be the player who crosses the goal line with the ball (the quarterback throwing for both doesn’t count).
Quick stats
- There have been 200 octopuses since the institution of the 2-point conversion (1994).
- There were only 3 octopuses this season (Chris Godwin, Emeka Egbuka, Jonathan Taylor).
- Rhamondre Stevenson recorded an octopus in Week 8 of the 2024-25 season.
- Seattle’s most recent octopus was by Tyler Lockett in Week 18 of the 2023-24 season.
The Seahawks were on the receiving end of an octopus in Week 5, with Egbuka catching a 20-yard score and then snagging the 2-point try. Seattle and New England were both in the bottom 10 in 2-point conversion attempts during the regular season.
THE PICK: Yes (+1500 on DraftKings). This piggybacks well with the JSN MVP angle. He soaks up so much of the offensive usage that there’s a decent chance he’s involved on both plays. Walker also provides some solid equity, given his anytime TD odds and increased involvement without Zach Charbonnet.
Image Credit: Imagn