Daily Batter Breakdown: Saturday, July 4th
Welcome to the Daily Batter Breakdown. Whenever there are at least eight games on the night slate, I’ll break down some of the best top tier hitters to target based on matchup.
The biggest split taken into account will be left/right, but each player card will also show park factors, player salaries on FanDuel and DraftKings among other sites, and then a description of why I’ll be targeting him.
 | Robinson Chirinos | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.228 | 0.758 | 6.04% | 0.332 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.150 | 0.677 | 10.00% | 0.293 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Santiago – LEFT | 0.243 | 0.738 | 4.27% | 0.325 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.162 | 0.000 | $2,500 | $6,650 | $3,600 | $50,500 | ||
Robinson Chirinos
I will continue using Chirinos against left-handed pitchers until he stops producing. Granted, I would not use him if his price increased but he is still a viable power option at catcher against a lefty. The catcher position is lacking in solid options and the DFS world still has not caught onto the fact that Chirinos, while not being a good all-around hitter, is a solid power bat.
 | Adam Lind | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.333 | 0.928 | 3.79% | 0.401 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.385 | 1.068 | 7.69% | 0.449 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Smith – RIGHT | 0.231 | 0.829 | 0.00% | 0.362 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.176 | 0.000 | $4,000 | $9,450 | $4,600 | $85,500 | ||
Adam Lind
Josh Smith’s major league career has not gone that well with a .380 wOBA allowed an a 7.04 xFIP allowed to lefties. As we know, Lind has obliterated righties in the course of his career with a .390 wOBA and a 147 wRC+. He makes a fantastic option today in a Brewers lineup which is hitting its stride in a hitter’s park.
 | Scooter Gennett | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.295 | 0.784 | 2.54% | 0.337 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.391 | 1.112 | 4.35% | 0.472 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Smith – RIGHT | 0.231 | 0.829 | 0.00% | 0.362 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.176 | 0.000 | $3,200 | $6,600 | $3,700 | $53,600 | ||
Scooter Gennett
Scooter remains cheap and he is hot right now. Not only that, but like I noted above he is facing a guy in Josh Smith who has not had the best start to his major league career. Smith’s stats are saying that he should really regress and have a poor start and if the Brewers are serious, they could really do some damage tonight, especially if Gennett is hitting at the top of the lineup.
 | Jake Lamb | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.266 | 0.724 | 2.60% | 0.317 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.273 | 0.713 | 4.55% | 0.313 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Hale – RIGHT | |||||||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.127 | 0.000 | $7,050 | $3,800 | ||||
Jake Lamb
I will talk a little more about David Hale below, but I think the fact that he allowed three homers in his last start and 5 ER in each of his last three starts tells a big part of the story. Lamb has really had an issue getting back into the swing of things since coming off the DL. He still has a .332 and a 106 wRC+ however, and looks like one of the better prospects on the Diamondbacks. The D’Backs have one of the top over/unders on the night and with Lamb in the middle of the order, he should be a solid play.
 | Cesar Hernandez | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.352 | 0.821 | 0.00% | 0.365 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.467 | 1.067 | 0.00% | 0.464 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Wood – LEFT | 0.250 | 0.681 | 2.36% | 0.303 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.010 | 0.000 | $3,000 | $6,750 | $2,900 | $60,800 | ||
Cesar Hernandez
All he does is continue producing and DraftKings refuses to raise his price. Hernandez has been one of the most reliable 2B/SS guys on the market for the last week and should continue it here against Alex Wood. While the ability to steal bases against righties is better, his .428 wOBA against lefties and his ridiculous ability to put the ball in play this year makes him a great play at his price. He will regress at some point, but while he is hot with no price increase, keep him in your lineups.
 | Eddie Rosario | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.275 | 0.732 | 2.50% | 0.317 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.222 | 0.535 | 0.00% | 0.243 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Blanton – RIGHT | |||||||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 0.927 | 0.000 | $2,600 | $5,050 | $3,200 | $51,300 | ||
Eddie Rosario
At some point, the hot start for Joe Blanton had to end, right? With five earned runs in the last game, Blanton got back to his old ways of giving up lots of base hits and being generally ineffective. Minnesota has also been ineffective at hitting right-handed pitchers, but Rosario should continue to provide solid numbers against righties. With an above average wRC+ and a low price along with a middle of the lineup position for the Twins, he definitely makes for a viable option.
 | Mike Trout | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.291 | 0.948 | 6.57% | 0.408 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.400 | 1.42 | 15.00% | 0.571 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Rodriguez – LEFT | 0.274 | 0.837 | 4.41% | 0.361 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.162 | 0.000 | $5,100 | $11,700 | $5,700 | $99,100 | ||
Mike Trout
I am not in the business of always targeting Wandy Rodriguez now after his solid start to the year, but I also know the power of Trout who is having his best season ever against LHP. Trout’s .432 wOBA with a 188 wRC+ are elite numbers and with a hitter’s park in the background, he’s in a good spot tonight. Wandy had a horrible year against RHP last year, so I would feel very comfortable paying up for Trout tonight.
 | David Peralta | ||||||
| Daily Breakdown | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Left/Right Splits | 0.298 | 0.840 | 3.52% | 0.363 | |||
| Last 7 Days Splits | 0.333 | 1.258 | 8.33% | 0.516 | |||
| Opp SP vs. LR | Avg | OPS | HR% | wOBA | |||
| Hale – RIGHT | 0.295 | 0.833 | 3.32% | 0.360 | |||
| PARK-1 | PARK-LR | FD | DD | DK | FF | SS | FTD |
| 1.127 | 0.000 | $4,000 | $8,400 | $4,300 | $69,000 | ||
David Peralta
I was on the David Hale bandwagon after maybe his first or second start, but even outside of Coors it appears he is just a below average pitcher. His xFIP is OK but his FIP is at 6.47 against lefties and his wOBA allowed is .399. Peralta hits in the middle of the lineup against righties and has a .363 career wOBA against them with a 128 career wRC+. Peralta is a solid choice for a decent price, and he will be hitting at the top of the D’Backs lineup.