Daily Pitcher Breakdown: July 8th, 2013
Welcome to the Daily Pitcher Breakdown. I will focus on the top selections of the day and give you a breakdown on why they are set up for success against their given opponent. Sometimes there will be a best of the rest section featuring guys who are likely low-dollar options with some upside for those of you who prefer to load your lineup with hitting studs.
There will also be a contingent of the starters that you can ignore each day. They offer no discernible upside so they aren’t worth your time. Because it is baseball and a 162-game season, there are going to be times when guys from the ignore group go off, but we’re dealing with probabilities in the daily game so the goal is to give yourself the best odds for success, not find needle in the proverbial haystack that finally doesn’t poke you.
LEGEND
Stats Shown in Red Are BELOW AVERAGE
Stats Shown in White are AVERAGE
Stats Shown in Green Are ABOVE AVERAGE
Stats Shown in Blue Are ELITE
View descriptions of stats below and Legend FAQ
Performance and Talent Statistics: July 8th, 2013
| PLAYER | PERFORMANCE | TALENT | |||||||||
| PITCHER | TM | IP | ERA | SIERA | WHIP | GEM% | K% | BB% | HR/9 | G/F | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie | KCR | 107.0 | 4.29 | 5.21 | 1.39 | 52.9% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 1.68 | 1.12 | |
| Hughes | NYY | 91.0 | 4.55 | 4.22 | 1.34 | 56.3% | 19.6% | 6.5% | 1.38 | 0.58 | |
| Holland | TEX | 112.0 | 3.13 | 3.47 | 1.23 | 59.0% | 23.2% | 6.3% | 0.56 | 1.14 | |
| Feldman | BAL | 97.0 | 3.43 | 3.87 | 1.13 | 56.3% | 18.3% | 6.3% | 1.02 | 1.57 | |
| Scherzer | DET | 116.2 | 3.09 | 2.61 | 0.92 | 58.8% | 31.1% | 5.8% | 0.85 | 0.92 | |
| Kazmir | CLE | 74.0 | 4.86 | 3.82 | 1.41 | 35.7% | 21.6% | 7.5% | 1.58 | 1.06 | |
| Haren | WAS | 82.0 | 6.15 | 3.92 | 1.44 | 26.7% | 18.3% | 3.6% | 2.09 | 0.78 | |
| Lannan | PHI | 36.2 | 5.15 | 4.33 | 1.53 | 28.6% | 12.9% | 6.1% | 0.49 | 1.94 | |
| Colon | OAK | 113.1 | 2.78 | 4.27 | 1.10 | 58.8% | 13.7% | 3.2% | 0.71 | 1.16 | |
| Locke | PIT | 102.0 | 2.12 | 4.52 | 1.15 | 47.1% | 16.8% | 10.7% | 0.53 | 1.88 | |
| Minor | ATL | 108.2 | 3.15 | 3.41 | 1.08 | 52.9% | 23.9% | 5.3% | 1.16 | 0.76 | |
| Slowey | MIA | 85.0 | 4.24 | 3.98 | 1.36 | 38.5% | 18.8% | 4.6% | 1.27 | 0.66 | |
| Deduno | MIN | 49.1 | 3.47 | 4.05 | 1.24 | 50.0% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 0.36 | 3.13 | |
| Hernandez | TBR | 96.1 | 4.95 | 3.59 | 1.29 | 25.0% | 18.3% | 5.1% | 1.49 | 1.99 | |
| Bailey | CIN | 111.0 | 3.57 | 3.09 | 1.06 | 58.8% | 25.0% | 5.9% | 0.57 | 1.62 | |
| Lohse | MIL | 102.1 | 3.43 | 4.18 | 1.16 | 41.2% | 15.9% | 4.1% | 1.32 | 0.95 | |
| Garza | CHC | 57.1 | 3.45 | 3.81 | 1.12 | 55.6% | 22.0% | 7.6% | 1.10 | 0.92 | |
| Santiago | CWS | 74.2 | 3.50 | 3.84 | 1.31 | 50.0% | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.96 | 0.99 | |
| Greinke | LAD | 69.0 | 4.30 | 4.36 | 1.45 | 33.3% | 17.3% | 8.0% | 0.91 | 1.19 | |
| Delgado | ARI | 27.0 | 3.67 | 3.12 | 1.37 | 75.0% | 22.3% | 3.6% | 2.00 | 1.54 | |
| Chatwood | COL | 55.2 | 2.75 | 3.98 | 1.38 | 50.0% | 16.4% | 7.8% | 0.32 | 2.32 | |
| Volquez | SDP | 99.1 | 5.26 | 4.31 | 1.57 | 44.4% | 18.9% | 10.2% | 0.72 | 1.62 | |
| Lester | BOS | 114.1 | 4.41 | 4.00 | 1.33 | 33.3% | 19.2% | 8.3% | 1.02 | 1.59 | |
| Hernandez | SEA | 123.2 | 2.69 | 2.75 | 1.11 | 66.7% | 26.6% | 4.9% | 0.80 | 1.83 | |
| Harvey | NYM | 123.0 | 2.27 | 2.67 | 0.91 | 66.7% | 29.8% | 5.7% | 0.44 | 1.29 | |
| Lincecum | SFG | 100.1 | 4.66 | 3.78 | 1.44 | 29.4% | 23.1% | 9.8% | 0.90 | 1.71 | |
STARTING PITCHER BREAKDOWN
Here is a look at the day’s slate of arms and how they might stack in their given matchups.
THE CREAM OF THE CROP:
Matt Harvey, NYM (at SF) – Raise your hand if you’re worried about his 5 ER outing against Arizona his last time out. I should see no hands. This guy has thrown a gem in two-thirds of his outings this year!! Everyone has a bad outing here and there, even in excellent seasons. And of course he still struck out nine Diamondbacks. The Giants have now plummeted to 24th in OPS against righties on the season with a 699 mark, but it’s even worse lately as they are dead last since June 1st (603) and in the short July-only sample (442). Harvey will cost you an arm & a leg today, but it’s with good reason.
Max Scherzer, DET (at CLE) – Scherzer is having a brilliant season with career-bests across the board including a filthy 31% strikeout rate and 0.92 WHIP in 116.7 IP. He’s logged at least six strikeouts in every single start this year which mitigates the damage from even his worst starts and of course strongly enhances his best ones. In fact, he’s fanned 7+ in 13 of his 17 outings and at least eight in nine of them. He has gone eight in both of his starts against Cleveland striking out seven each time and winning both allowing four earned in the first and just one earned in the second (both were in May).
Felix Hernandez, SEA (v. BOS) – You have one of the absolute best pitchers in the game facing the toughest offense against righties – both home and away – making it hard to back him given the sky-high price, but at the same time you know what he’s capable of regardless of opponent. Although with costs likely to be similar, I’d prefer to take someone like Harvey facing an easier opponent. Hernandez’s only real blips on the season have been against quality opponents: Indians, Rangers, and Angels. No one would be surprised if he threw a complete game two-hitter, but there are almost certainly better investments for the money tonight.
Mike Minor, ATL (at MIA) – Minor has gone six or more innings in all but one of his starts, the off one was actually against the Marlins in Miami back on April 10th. They’d worked his pitch count up to 101 in 5.7 IP despite just five hits, four strikeouts, and a walk. The Braves had a huge 7-0 lead so there was no reason to overextend him so early in the season. Minor’s gone exactly six in each of his last five and some hiccups have left him with a 4.50 ERA in that span, but the 38 Ks and 4.2 K/BB in those 36 IP suggest there isn’t anything to really worry about with him. The Marlins aren’t exactly a punishing offense by any stretch, but as they continue to get healthy, they’ve gotten more formidable. In fact, Minor learned as much in his last outing when he gave up four earned on six hits and three walks while taking the loss. His nine strikeouts saved the outing from being a total dud. Despite the improvements, I’d still trust Minor against them, especially in that ballpark.
Bartolo Colon, OAK (at PIT) – For some reason I group Colon and his counterpart, Jeff Locke, together this season. They look nothing alike, one is a righty, they’re super far apart in age, and yet I still see parallels for some reason. Maybe it’s because they are both in the midst of completely out-of-nowhere seasons that we discounted initially only to see that they are more than legitimate despite not carrying the usual skills associated with such gaudy numbers (i.e. huge strikeout totals). We could see something special in PNC Park tonight with the two squaring off despite each team putting out solid lineups. The Pirates are just 19th in OPS against righties on the season at 707, but they’re working at a 727 clip since June 1st which is good for 13th. Colon hasn’t allowed more than 3 ER in any of his last 10 outings yielding a 1.75 ERA in 72 IP.
Jeff Locke, PIT (v. OAK) – Locke allowed four earned in two of his first three starts leaving him with a 5.17 ERA, but he’s since gone on a 14-start run allowing no more than 3 ER in any start and posting a 1.56 ERA over 86.3 IP. If there is one flaw in his game it’s that he tends to run up his pitch count at times with walks thus he’s gone fewer than six innings in five of the 14 starts and he’s yet to go more than seven innings in any one start. Despite the friendliness of PNC Park, Locke’s actually better on the road (1.76 ERA), though let’s not pretend that his 2.56 ERA at home is some sort of mark against him. The A’s are fourth on the season against southpaws with a 750 OPS, but they’re heading the wrong way with a 696 since June 1st.
BEST THE REST:
Derek Holland, TEX (at BAL) – Holland is in the midst of his best season yet after showing glimpses of greatness throughout his career – including four shutouts in a strong 2011 season. Holland is toting career-bests in: strikeout rate, walk rate, home run rate, and ERA. The sharp drop in home run rate has been especially instrumental in his great first half. Homers have always been an issue and not just because of his home ballpark, either. He allowed 1.55 HR/9 on the road last year which contributed plenty to his horrid 1.64 total. This year he’s down to 0.56. As scary as Baltimore is, they do their best worst against righties and they are actually league average against lefties with a 708 OPS. Over the last month they are just 22nd in the league with a 672 OPS.
Homer Bailey, CIN (at MIL) – This is the follow-up to his no-hitter and I’ll be interested to see if that draws more interest toward him or if folks are inclined to shy away thinking “well, I already missed his best start of the season”. Bailey looks to match fellow Red Johnny Vander Meer who has arguably the most unbreakable record in the game with back-to-back no-hitters. Bailey has logged 7+ strikeouts in five of his last six including nine in the no-no, but more importantly he has just seven walks in that span. I think there are probably better options just because it’s a thick slate of good arms and the Brewers aren’t too bad, but I wouldn’t inherently avoid Bailey just because of the no-hitter.
Kyle Lohse, MIL (v. CIN) – Lohse is on fire of late with a 2.11 ERA in his last seven that includes six quality starts, four gems, and one rain delay-shortened game. He has a 29/6 K/BB ratio in his 42.7 IP during the run. With star power and 50 wins thus far, I think the Reds are perceived to have a much better offense than they do. They have been one of Lohse’s opponents during the run and he threw six strong allowing just one earned (three total) on six base runners with three strikeouts. They have a 718 OPS on the season against righties – a tick below league average – but it’s down to 687 since June 1st which ranks 24th.
Jon Lester, BOS (at SEA) – Five of Lester’s six gems were done by mid-May. His sixth was in his most recent outing against the Padres which is hardly a confidence booster with regards to his long-term outlook. Of course, he is facing the Mariners is a pitcher-friendly ballpark so the opportunity to pair good starts together is imminent. The M’s have a 686 OPS on the season against lefties and it’s down to just 645 since June 1st so we really should get some more Good Lester tonight, although the White Sox are terrible against lefties and they punished him for five earned in six innings a while back so there are no guarantees. I just don’t understand what happened with Lester. Maybe the All-Star break will help him get right.
Tyler Chatwood, COL (at SD) – Chatwood had been rolling of late before running into the Dodgers buzz saw and getting smacked for five earned (six total) over five innings thanks to 11 hits – two of which left the yard. That said, I love him for a rebound in Petco Park. The Padres are weak offensively both on the season (683 OPS, 28th ranked) and recently (660, 26 since June 1st) plus Chatwood has been brilliant on the road with an 0.82 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, and 4.3 K/BB in 22 IP.
Matt Garza, CHC (at CWS) – Garza is elevating his trade stock exponentially with each passing outing as he’s now run off a string of four straight going 7+ IP and allowing no more than a run. He has a 0.90 ERA and WHIP during the run with a 3.5 K/BB in 30 IP. The schedule has been favorable during the run with only the A’s sitting among the better teams offensively (the Brewers are good, too, but they were without Ryan Braun and Carlos Gomez) and now he gets the White Sox who sit 25th on the season with a 686 OPS.
Hector Santiago, CWS (v. CHC) – Santiago has been solid as a starter posting a 3.36 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in 10 starts plus an impressive 10.2 K/9 rate. The Cubs aren’t terrible offensively sitting 19th in OPS against lefties with a 705 mark, but they’re freezing cold of late with a 573 OPS in the small July sample.
USE CAUTION:
Zack Greinke, LAD (at ARI) – I’m just not interested in Greinke right now. He costs way too much for what he’s doing. He has gone 5.3 IP or fewer in 7-of-12 starts. And despite a favorable schedule of late that includes the Pirates, Padres, Phillies, and Rockies he has a 5.40 ERA in 25 IP. The Rockies outing was in Colorado so he gets a pass there (I guess, but he’s supposed to be the kind of talent who transcends opponent and venue), but he’s still at a 4.50 ERA in the other three outings. He’s just not special. At least not right now.
Scott Feldman, BAL (v. TEX) – I really like this move for the Orioles as they shored up their rotation with the acquisition of Feldman. He returns to the AL and some are worried based on his 5.09 ERA last year, but I’m not sure it’s so doom-and-gloom. His skills are virtually equal over the last two years (except an impressive jump in groundball rates from 42% to 51%) and while he has gone from 5.09 ERA to 3.43 ERA, we see that his FIP last year was actually 3.81 compared to 3.90 this year. He deserved a better fate last year and though he might be working a little on the favorable side this year, these skills aren’t ripe for a collapse. Even if he’s a 4.00 ERA guy the rest of the way, the O’s would be fine with that stabilizing their rotation. Meanwhile he faces his former teammates who have the seventh-best OPS against righties at 758, but that team hasn’t shown up much of late as they 23rd with a 693 OPS against righties since June 1st.
Randall Delgado, ARI (v. LAD) – I’m a big fan of Delgado in general, but the Dodgers are just crazy hot right now so I’m not sure this is a great spot for him. The Dodgers are 16th on the season with a 715 OPS, but with Hanley Ramirez and Yasiel Puig strengthening the lineup they have a 780 OPS since June 1st that lands them sixth. Keep an eye on Delgado especially since his price is usually tracking lower than it should and be ready to pounce, but this isn’t a great matchup.
Tim Lincecum, SF (v. NYM) – I think season-long fantasy players have to use Lincecum this week or else just cut him from their roster as his matchups don’t get much better, but us daily folks are still cautiously optimistic here if for no other reason than the fact that his teammates have to try and figure out Matt Harvey. That puts the likelihood of a win – something he hasn’t had in over a month (June 4th) – in serious peril. I could see a strong no-decision given the Mets’ ineptitude at the dish, but I’d still avoid Lincecum at those sites that dole out negative points for losses because he could easily throw seven strong allowing two or three runs and get the L.
Samuel Deduno, MIN (at TB) – Deduno has been pretty solid this year thanks in large part to sharp cut in walks, but I’d like to see more strikeouts with his electric stuff and yet they have dropped significantly along with the walk rate. I’m keeping an eye on him and maybe even considering him as a secondary SP at sites using more than one, but he’s not quite at the level where you should trust him as your only pitcher.
John Lannan, PHI (v. WAS) – Lannan gets his former foes for a second time this year. He was OK last time going five, allowing two, and fanning four in a no-decision. The Nats have horrid season-long numbers against lefties checking in with a 626 OPS that ranks 30th in baseball, but using past stats with the Nats is tough now as their lineup is now whole with the returns of Bryce Harper and Wilson Ramos and the call-up of Anthony Rendon. Since June 1st they are 15th with a 699 OPS and in July alone they’ve jumped to ninth with a 786. Tread carefully if you saw Lannan as a sneaky spot start based on season-long numbers.
Jeremy Guthrie, KC (at NYY) – This could be trouble. Guthrie takes his 1.7 HR/9 rate into one of the most HR-friendly ballparks in the league. He’s allowed 20 homers this year including 12 to lefties and Yankee Stadium is especially friendly to lefty hitters. Guthrie had a 2.28 ERA through his first seven starts, but he’s posted a 5.88 ERA in the 10 since despite mixing in four gems. He’s essentially either great or night-ruining. Pass.
Phil Hughes, NYY (v. KC) – Hughes finally faces someone who gives up more homers than he does, but he’s not far behind with his 1.4 HR/9 and he, too, allows lefties to get the better of him with 10 of his 14 homers allowed. Hughes is very Guthriean in that he’s usually either great or completely worthless. If you happen to get the former then you’re setup for a nice night, but the risk is high as the Royals are hitting much better of late. I wouldn’t use either starter, but the lefty batters of each team are looking more and more appealing by the second.
Dan Haren, WAS (at PHI) – We have to be careful not to overrate any one start, but this should be a litmus test of whether or not Haren’s struggles were injury-related or just lost talent-related. Hopefully it’s the former since I’m a Haren fan, but his stuff just might not be strong enough to spend so much time in the zone (13 BBs, but 19 HRs!!!). The Phillies are about league average on the season, but they’ve been hot of late with a 788 OPS since June 1st that ranks third in the league.
YOU CAN SAFELY IGNORE:
Scott Kazmir, CLE (v. DET) – I feel like every time I dismiss someone, they got out and throw a gem, but the Detroit offense has been great all year – particularly against lefties with baseball’s second-best OPS at 776 – and has been especially hot of late with seven runs per game in seven July games thus far.
Edinson Volquez, SD (v. COL) – He deserves the credit due for his 2.73 ERA over his last five that includes outings against the Red Sox, Braves, and Dodgers, but the 1.38 WHIP says it’s something of a mirage and frankly I don’t trust him. The problem with someone who walks guys like him is that you never know when they are going to just tank an outing. In fact, he can be sharp through three with zero walks and then just lose it all of a sudden, walk four or five guys, and be out of the game with 5 IP and 4 ER.
Roberto Hernandez, TB (v. MIN) – There is just nothing special about Hernandez that makes him a viable play. The Twins aren’t a walkover, either, though I think sometimes they are perceived as such.
Kevin Slowey, MIA (v. ATL) – Slowey got off to a brilliant start this year carrying a 1.81 ERA through his first seven starts, but the floor collapsed below him in short order after that and his 6.92 ERA in 40.3 IP (six starts, four relief apps) has pushed his season total to 4.24 over 85 IP. He was actually knocked around in a relief appearance by the Braves last week as they got him for four runs in two innings of work. I wouldn’t mess with him here.
ADVANCED METRICS: July 8th, 2013
| VS. L/R HANDED BATTERS | OPP vs L/R | OTHER ADVANCED STATS | |||||||||||
| PITCHER | wOBA L | ERA L | wOBA R | ERA R | AVG | OPS | BABIP | FIP | AVG-A | Pit/G | Strk% | ||
| Guthrie | 0.375 | 4.83 | 0.326 | 3.83 | 0.245 | 0.703 | 0.262 | 5.76 | 0.264 | 100.76 | 62.7% | ||
| Hughes | 0.379 | 4.99 | 0.290 | 4.07 | 0.253 | 0.685 | 0.309 | 4.32 | 0.270 | 97.06 | 66.6% | ||
| Holland | 0.321 | 4.30 | 0.301 | 2.86 | 0.248 | 0.708 | 0.322 | 2.78 | 0.253 | 102.12 | 66.3% | ||
| Feldman | 0.279 | 3.11 | 0.323 | 3.78 | 0.264 | 0.757 | 0.257 | 3.91 | 0.228 | 100.88 | 61.0% | ||
| Scherzer | 0.265 | 3.17 | 0.238 | 3.02 | 0.255 | 0.747 | 0.260 | 2.63 | 0.193 | 105.76 | 66.1% | ||
| Kazmir | 0.266 | 4.18 | 0.402 | 5.26 | 0.274 | 0.776 | 0.316 | 4.54 | 0.272 | 92.43 | 65.0% | ||
| Haren | 0.349 | 6.00 | 0.403 | 6.28 | 0.261 | 0.717 | 0.328 | 5.11 | 0.302 | 92.20 | 64.7% | ||
| Lannan | 0.328 | 3.52 | 0.383 | 5.79 | 0.215 | 0.612 | 0.349 | 3.78 | 0.309 | 89.14 | 62.0% | ||
| Colon | 0.313 | 2.68 | 0.246 | 2.93 | 0.245 | 0.707 | 0.283 | 3.40 | 0.258 | 91.76 | 69.6% | ||
| Locke | 0.315 | 3.04 | 0.275 | 1.89 | 0.246 | 0.740 | 0.233 | 3.87 | 0.201 | 93.65 | 58.9% | ||
| Minor | 0.240 | 2.67 | 0.318 | 3.36 | 0.223 | 0.636 | 0.273 | 3.49 | 0.229 | 99.18 | 66.6% | ||
| Slowey | 0.359 | 4.50 | 0.338 | 3.86 | 0.255 | 0.752 | 0.328 | 4.02 | 0.286 | 80.12 | 67.8% | ||
| Deduno | 2.96 | 4.09 | 0.248 | 0.730 | 0.272 | 3.74 | 0.243 | 98.25 | 62.2% | ||||
| Hernandez | 0.367 | 6.23 | 0.293 | 3.53 | 0.243 | 0.704 | 0.298 | 4.55 | 0.269 | 95.63 | 65.5% | ||
| Bailey | 0.318 | 3.97 | 0.218 | 3.21 | 0.257 | 0.718 | 0.286 | 2.67 | 0.222 | 100.18 | 67.2% | ||
| Lohse | 0.281 | 3.18 | 0.336 | 3.71 | 0.248 | 0.719 | 0.275 | 4.19 | 0.257 | 89.94 | 67.2% | ||
| Garza | 0.299 | 3.52 | 0.304 | 3.46 | 0.249 | 0.686 | 0.252 | 4.00 | 0.215 | 97.67 | 62.6% | ||
| Santiago | 0.402 | 3.50 | 0.290 | 3.56 | 0.235 | 0.705 | 0.287 | 4.08 | 0.225 | 64.33 | 61.8% | ||
| Greinke | 0.402 | 5.40 | 0.299 | 3.55 | 0.262 | 0.728 | 0.324 | 4.10 | 0.279 | 97.58 | 60.5% | ||
| Delgado | 0.428 | 4.50 | 0.354 | 3.18 | 0.262 | 0.716 | 0.351 | 4.55 | 0.306 | 85.20 | 67.8% | ||
| Chatwood | 0.309 | 2.08 | 0.327 | 3.41 | 0.241 | 0.680 | 0.329 | 3.20 | 0.277 | 89.60 | 61.0% | ||
| Volquez | 0.377 | 5.61 | 0.326 | 4.94 | 0.271 | 0.780 | 0.331 | 3.86 | 0.274 | 94.72 | 60.6% | ||
| Lester | 0.365 | 5.49 | 0.317 | 4.20 | 0.237 | 0.690 | 0.296 | 4.10 | 0.255 | 106.94 | 63.1% | ||
| Hernandez | 0.303 | 3.05 | 0.291 | 2.35 | 0.291 | 0.837 | 0.315 | 2.71 | 0.243 | 103.89 | 64.5% | ||
| Harvey | 0.229 | 1.96 | 0.248 | 2.65 | 0.258 | 0.699 | 0.265 | 2.10 | 0.191 | 103.67 | 66.1% | ||
| Lincecum | 0.321 | 4.18 | 0.338 | 5.18 | 0.235 | 0.685 | 0.323 | 3.70 | 0.257 | 99.35 | 60.9% | ||
- Opp Avg vs. L/R – Opponent Batting Average vs. Left/Right Handed Pitching
- Opp OPS vs. L/R – Opponent On Base + Slugging Percentage vs. Left/Right Handed Pitching
- wOBA-L and wOBA-R – Pitcher Weighted On Base Percentage Against vs. Left/Right Handed Batters
- ERA-L and ERA-R – Pitcher Earned Run Average against Left/Right Handed Batters
- BABIP – Pitcher Batting Average Against on Balls In Play
- FIP – Fielding Independent Pitching
- Pit/G – Average Pitches Thrown Per Game
- Strk% – Percentage of Pitches for Strikes
Starting Pitcher Salaries: July 8th, 2013
Shown below are starting pitcher salaries as well as the percent of top statistics.
- Percent of Top (Top) – Player salary divided by the most expensive pitcher each day. So if Felix Hernandez is $9,000 on FanDuel and Justin Verlander is $4,500, Verlanders Top stat would be 50.