Best Lions vs. Packers Player Prop Bets for Sunday Night Football
What kind of performances can we expect on Sunday Night Football from Aaron Rodgers, Jared Goff, and Aaron Jones? Follow along as our NFL betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down his three favorite NFL prop bets for the Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens
The Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers will conclude the NFL regular season this evening on Sunday Night Football at Lambeau Field. However, as kickoff draws closer, the value on the side and total for this battle has been stripped compared to the market when it first opened. Instead of forcing action on the major markets for this NFC North affair, bettors may find more expected value on player props – take a look at three of our favorite options below!
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Lions vs. Packers Player Props
- Aaron Rodgers o1.5 passing touchdowns
- Jared Goff u252.5 passing yards
- Aaron Jones o2.5 receptions
Aaron Rodgers o1.5 passing touchdowns (-136)
Through the first 17 weeks of the season, the Detroit Lions’ defense ranks 31st in EPA overall, 29th in dropback EPA, and 32nd in opponent yards-per-attempt through the air. On Sunday, the Packers are playing for a trip to the postseason, hosting a home game against a division rival. Aaron Rodgers, chided early in the season for a lack of leadership, has an opportunity to make a loud statement with a strong performance in this spot. Though Rodgers has not thrown for multiple touchdowns in any of his last four games, he has his team nearing full health on both sides of the ball and one of the most favorable matchups in the league – take the over here.
Jared Goff u252.5 passing yards (-120)
Jared Goff enters play ranked sixth in passing yards, fourth in passing touchdowns, and seventh in both interceptions and QBR among qualified signal callers. Yet, the vast majority of his positive statistics have been accrued in the comforts of the Motor City. At home this year, Goff owns a 23-to-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio and a 109.3 quarterback rating, compared to a 6-to-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio and an 87.6 quarterback rating on the road. Playing in a hostile environment against a Green Bay secondary unit that ranks fourth-best in defensive dropback EPA since Week 13, this is a great spot to target an under.
Aaron Jones o2.5 receptions (-148)
Aaron Jones has received three targets or more in five of his last six games, and has a near 100.0% catch-rate during that span. On the season, Jones has caught 82.3% of his targets, making this a playable line, even at the heavy juice. The Lions have been one of the worst defensive units in football all season, and that is unlikely to change tonight against a Green Bay offense that has begun to figure things out after a slow first half of the campaign. Expect Jones to be heavily involved this evening in an intra-division affair – take the over.
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