Primetime Parlay: Eagles vs. Buccaneers Same Game Parlay Picks
Last year, ScoresAndOdds’ ParlayIQ tool helped us create a variety of fun same-game parlay tickets throughout the NFL season. Through simulations, the tool examines the potential value various betting lines offer on sports betting sites. Along with the simulations, we will examine stats, roster news, trends, player props, and betting odds across sports betting sites to find the best price for our same game parlay ticket. For this article, we build a Monday Night Football same-game parlay for the Philadelphia Eagles versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
On Monday night, one of the two primetime games features a battle between two 2-0 teams. The Philadelphia Eagles, unsurprisingly, look to start their campaign with three consecutive wins. Meanwhile, relatively shockingly, the Baker Mayfield-led Tampa Bay Buccaneers look for an upset win to stay undefeated to start the season. A tall task awaits the Buccaneers in Tampa Bay as the Bucs look to keep up the positive momentum. Let’s go over all of the game’s sports betting details before building a ticket to accompany our Monday Night Football viewing.
Eagles vs. Buccaneers Same Game Parlay
FanDuel Sportsbook posts the Eagles as 4.5-point road favorites at the time of this writing. The 4.5-point spread has dipped from opening at 6.5 — likely due to 65% of the betting handle landing with the Buccaneers throughout the week. The implied game total rests at 45 points.
SAO reports that most of the betting tickets and money have been bet on the under for this game. The number crept up a bit to start but then fell back to 45 points — a half-point below the opening number.
The Buccaneers find themselves at 2-0 behind a strong defensive effort and solid play from new starter, Baker Mayfield. Mayfield compiled 490 yards and 3 passing touchdowns in the first two games — exceeding 300 yards in Week 2 versus a struggling Bears’ defense. Mayfield has yet to throw an interception and will need to manage a great game to keep pace with a high-flying Eagles offense.
High-flying? So far in 2023, the Eagles have not flown very high offensively. Jalen Hurts has had a slow start through the air — average 6.5 yards per pass attempt. On the ground, the Eagles continue to perform well — running the ball effectively with Kenneth Gainwell, D’Andre Swift, and of course, Jalen Hurts. Swift put together the best performance of his career against the Vikings — rushing for 175 yards on 28 carries in Gainwell’s absence.
Kenneth Gainwell will be back this week while both Boston Scott and Quez Watkins are ruled out. On the defensive side, Avonte Maddox is out indefinitely with a torn pectoral and will be lucky to make it back for a deep playoff run. For Tampa Bay, Chase Edmonds was placed on IR with a sprained MCL. An effective pass catcher and blocker, Rachaad White will likely assume Edmonds’ third-down duties on top of his early-down role. Sean Tucker might see a few extra snaps in the backfield for Tampa Bay.
The Buccaneers and Eagles — to nobody’s surprise — find themselves in the top ten of the league with respect to opposing rushing yards per attempt. The defenses are pass funnels, allowing nothing to opposing backs and forcing teams to move the ball through the air. For the Buccaneers that has boded very well given early success getting to the quarterback. The Eagles led the league in sack rate last season at just above 11%. Unfortunately for the Birds, the pass rush has also started slowly as the Eagles rank in the bottom five in sack rate to start the season. While those numbers should level off as the season progresses, the lackluster pass rush was surprising given a good matchup against a weak Minnesota offensive line in Week 2.
Can Baker Mayfield continue his resurgence against the reigning NFC Champions? Will the Eagles return to last year’s form on the road? Let’s have a look at all of the simulations ParlayIQ offers for this game and make a fun same-game parlay ticket for the game.
Same Game Parlay Picks for MNF
Mike Evans Over 56.5 Receiving Yards
Mike Evans has seen 8 and 10 targets from an accurate Baker Mayfield thus far in 2023. Evans exploded for like 1,000 yards on like 4 catches last week. Jokes aside, Evans should be poised to have a nice night against a defense that forces opposing offensives to throw the football.
The Buccaneers are going to make running the football nearly impossible between the tackles. Rachaad White will put in a shift tonight to likely no avail. While we will get back to White soon, the most probable winning strategy is to throw the football against a strong Eagles’ front. Evans is a big play waiting to happen. We will open with his over to start our ticket.
Jalen Hurts Over 44.5 Rushing Yards
The Buccaneers present a similar challenge to the Eagles. D’Andre Swift and Kenneth Gainwell are going to find no space up the middle against a strong Bucs’ front. The Buccaneers also put plenty of pressure on quarterbacks thus far. With all of that said, I am still a believer in Jalen Hurts.
This won’t be the first Monday Night Football contest where I bet Hurts’ rushing over and it likely won’t be the last. The Buccaneers kept Justin Fields in check all game last weekend but the Bears didn’t script enough designed runs for Fields. Justin Fields is not Jalen Hurts. The Eagles’ passing offense was phenomenal last season and is bound to course-correct soon. The threat of Hurts and his weapons will put a strong front on skates and I presume we will see Hurts get loose a few times tonight.
Rachaad White Over 16.5 Receiving Yards
So, back to the Buccaneers. With very little success likely to come on the ground for White, the supplement to his workload should help him exceed this receiving prop. White is a very capable pass blocker as well as a receiver out of the backfield. Chase Edmonds being sidelined should move some of that opportunity over to the second-year back.
We know Baker Mayfield has no problem checking down and with the Philadelphia pass rush in his face, the quarterback will look the way of his safety valve often. While I think White will struggle running the football, I think there is plenty of opportunity for him to exceed this receiving total.
Baker Mayfield Over 226.5 Passing Yards
Well, ParlayIQ identified the two overs and set off alarms. If you are going to take the over on Evans and White, you might as well take the over on Baker’s passing number.
Given the discrepancy between the percentage found in our simulations and the breakeven percentage on this betting line, I can’t resist. We see why for years sportsbooks didn’t allow parlaying outcomes within the same game. This correlates all too well and we will likely see a bit of a bump down from FanDuel. That said, relative to the ticket we built on ParlayIQ, I am going to assume we will see a very favorable price for our ticket.
Eagles vs. Buccaneers Parlay Odds
- Mike Evans Over 56.5 Receiving Yards
- Jalen Hurts Over 44.5 Rushing Yards
- Rachaad White Over 16.5 Receiving Yards
- Baker Mayfield Over 226.5 Passing Yards
ParlayIQ suggests the following price for tonight’s SGP:
Here is a look at FanDuels’ offering:
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Parlay Odds: +766
Risk: 1/2 unit to win 3.88 units
Good luck with all of your bets and plays this evening. Share your parlays with me on Twitter. First touchdown scorers? Touchdowns? DFS lineups? Player props? Thanks for reading.