MLB Daily Grind Down: Friday, July 26th Part 3

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-07-28 20:11:33

________________________________________________________________________________________

San Diego vs. Arizona

9:40 PM	San Diego – ROAD					Arizona – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.245	0.691	20.60%	0.55		0.255	0.704	18.50%	0.54
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.242	0.677	20.80%	0.39		0.252	0.686	16.80%	0.38
SP STATS	Stults – LHP					Delgado – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.16	3.45	5.48	9.29		1.45	3.43	7.13	8.78
LAST 14 DAYS	1.10	2.14	5.14	12.00		1.57	3.06	5.23	8.40
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	SDP vs R		SDP BvP			ARI vs L		ARI BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8.5

• Favored Team – ARI -135

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Randall Delgado is the slight favorite so maybe on a multiple pitcher site you can consider if he is really cheap. He rarely pitches deep into games and his K totals are very low so there is very little upside in the play and SDG has been a better offense team since Yonder Alonso return. SDG is batting .258 on the road, .245 versus right-handers, and .300 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

• Away Eric Stults has a 4.33 ERA and .294 BAA on the road. Plus, he is allowing right-handers to bat .271 versus him on the year. ARI is not the place you want to bring those unfavorable splits into for a start. ARI is batting .251 at home, .252 versus right-handers, and .250 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 3

Batter Grind Down

• Home Paul Goldschmidt versus a left-hander at home is always a great play. He is a super great play today because of Stult’s afore mentioned splits. Martin Prado, A.J. Pollock, Cody Ross, Aaron Hill and Wil Nieves all hit left-handers at a high clip as well. All of them, happen to be right-handed. Martin Prado is 6-17 versus Stults. RG Stack Rating 8

• Away Carlos Quentin and Yonder Alonso have been hot for SDG. The rest of the team has been producing.. Yonder Alonso is batting .292 versus right-handed pitching. This is a good time to use SDG bats for a discounted price. RG Stack Rating 5

________________________________________________________________________________________

LA Angels vs. Oakland

10:07 PM	LA Angels – ROAD					Oakland – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.266	0.752	18.20%	0.61		0.243	0.712	19.80%	0.59
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.275	0.773	17.90%	0.50		0.245	0.711	19.60%	0.46
SP STATS	Williams – RHP					Colon – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.39	4.73	5.66	5.29		1.08	2.52	4.99	11.21
LAST 14 DAYS	2.35	10.80	5.56	1.55		0.95	1.21	5.70	13.70
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	LAA vs R		LAA BvP			OAK vs R		OAK BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8

• Favored Team – OAK -170

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Bartolo Colon has been ridiculously good at home with a .250 ERA. He has been ridiculously good on the road with 2.52 ERA also. He just been ridiculously good. There is something ridiculous going on. For the purpose of daily fantasy, he is what fp he is producing and he is producing some sick numbers right now. LAA .255 on the road, .272 versus right-handers, and .252 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 7

• Away Jerome Williams has only pitch more than 5 IP in 2 of the 13 games that he started. That plus his 5.92 K/9 on the year are the definition of little to no upside for a starting pitcher. OAK is batting .237 at home, .244 versus right-handers, and .208 over the last 7 days RG Start-Ability 1

Batter Grind Down

• Home Brandon Moss, Chris Young, Josh Donaldson, and Yoenis Cespedes have positive BvPs versus Williams. Chris Young has been hot for OAK. John Jaso, Coco Crisp, Jed Lowrie and Josh Donaldson are all batting over .280 versus right-handers. RG Stack Rating 5

• Away LAA has some pretty nice BvPs versus Colon but I think you can throw those out the window now that he has come to age at 41. I might be tempted to take the hot players of Pujols, Mike Trout and Trumbo but I would be tempted to take those guys against anyone. Outside of them I am not digging to deep into this LU at this park. RG Stack Rating 3

________________________________________________________________________________________

Minnesota vs. Seattle

10:10 PM	Minnesota – ROAD					Seattle – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.243	0.696	21.10%	0.54		0.244	0.713	21.70%	0.56
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.239	0.695	21.00%	0.43		0.232	0.675	22.90%	0.40
SP STATS	Diamond – LHP					Hernandez – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.55	5.53	4.03	5.56		1.09	2.43	9.17	14.10
LAST 14 DAYS	1.75	5.63	1.13	2.00		0.95	0.86	7.29	16.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	MIN vs R		MIN BvP			SEA vs L		SEA BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7

• Favored Team – SEA -220

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Felix Hernandez at home is about as good as gets in the fantasy world. Today he gets MIN team that ranks near the bottom in most offensive categories and gets to face Scott Diamond. Need I say more. MIN is batting .230 on the road, .240 versus right-handers, and .214 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 10

• Away Scott Diamond has put together some decent starts. He should get aided by this big park today. I do not like the fact that he only throws around 90 pitches a game and his K totals are too low to play even facing a SEA team that is has recorded the 3rd most Ks on the year. SEA .251 at home, .233 versus left-handers and .230 over the last 7 days. *RG Start-Ability 2 *

Batter Grind Down

• Home SEA owns a .322 BAA as a team so pick whoever you like. Brad Miller has been doing a great job at the top of the order and I like Kendrys Morales upside RG Stack Rating 6

• Away If you are playing the fade then Joe Mauer is 14-33 with 2 HR versus Hernandez RG Stack Rating 1

________________________________________________________________________________________

Cincinnati vs. LA Dodgers

10:10 PM	Cincinnati – ROAD					LA Dodgers – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.250	0.721	20.10%	0.58		0.262	0.715	18.30%	0.55
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.246	0.716	19.70%	0.45		0.263	0.715	18.10%	0.42
SP STATS	Bailey – RHP					Kershaw – LHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.16	3.84	9.28	11.35		0.88	2.01	8.76	14.39
LAST 14 DAYS	1.78	5.50	11.00	9.67		0.64	3.21	12.21	16.00
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	CIN vs L		CIN BvP			LAD vs R		LAD BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 6.5

• Favored Team – LAD -170

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Clayton Kershaw home ERA is 1.80. His home BAA is .199. He is holding left-handed hitters to a .130 BAA. Is all of this adding up for you. CIN is batting .254 on the road, .255 versus left-handers, and .306 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 9

• Away Homer Bailey is simply not a good on the road as he is at home. In fact, he is bad with a 4.74 ERA and .286 BAA. He has been very good at home this year which means his price is too high today versus this super hot LAD team. LAD is batting .256 at home, .266 versus right-handers, and .319 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 6

Batter Grind Down

• Home Adrian Gonzalez is 8-15 with 5 HRs versus Bailey. He is also very hot with 28.25 fp. Andre Either and Hanley Ramirez have both produced over 30 fp in the last 7 days. Hanley Ramirez is batting .402 versus right-handed pitching. Puig and Gonzalez are both batting over .300 versus right-handers. RG Stack Rating 5

• Away If you are playing the fade then Brandon Phillips is 7-16 versus Kershaw. Joey Votto actually hits left-handers at a high clip, also, and has been super hot with 28.5 fp. Devin Mesoraco has been super hot as well with 30 fp over the last 7 and has a .358 batting average versus left-handers. RG Stack Rating 1

________________________________________________________________________________________

Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco

10:15 PM	Chicago Cubs – ROAD					San Francisco – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.243	0.712	19.10%	0.56		0.263	0.705	17.30%	0.53
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.248	0.715	17.90%	0.45		0.262	0.706	17.20%	0.41
SP STATS	Jackson – RHP					Cain – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.41	5.03	7.73	8.58		1.20	5.00	8.23	9.15
LAST 14 DAYS	0.71	1.93	6.43	12.50		2.50	7.94	8.65	4.60
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	CHC vs R		CHC BvP			SFG vs R		SFG BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 7

• Favored Team – SFO -165

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home After getting hammered in 2 starts in a row, Matt Cain ‘s last start versus ARI was not that bad. I know it is hard to have faith in a pitcher whose ERA is now at 5.00 on the year but his WHIP is still a low 1.20 which is around his career average. Plus, he is holding opponents to a .226 BAA on the year. Today he gets a CHC team that has not been great on the road and I think he is in a good spot to produce. Vegas is on my side. CHC is batting .233 on the road, .248 versus right-handers, and .232 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 8

• Away Edwin Jackson also has an ERA of 5 on the year but his WHIP is a much higher 1.41 and he is allowing opponents to bat .267 against him. He has had a gret July in which he has gone 2-1 with a 1.83 ERA but I am not sold on him yet. SFO is batting .269 at home, .263 versus right-handers, and .258 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5

Batter Grind Down

• Home Marco Scutaro is 8-26 with 2 HRs versus Jackson. Pablo Sandoval is 6-11 with 1 HR. Gregor Blanco is 3-8 with 1 HR. Crawford, Posey, and Blanco are batting at a high clip versus right-handers. RG Stack Rating 5

• Away Junior Lake, Nate Schierholtz and Anthony Rizzo are all hot for CHC. David Dejesus is 6-15 with 2 HRs versus Cain. RG Stack Rating 4

________________________________________________________________________________________