MLB Daily Grind Down: Friday, June 28th

by Kyle Koch (Jackandsoda) Last Updated 2013-06-28 21:16:41

The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

Baseball Season might only be half over but the big events for daily fantasy are quickly coming to an end. There is limited time left to win a big qualifier. That makes these events more important than ever. Tonight we have another great wave of GPPs so enjoy things while they last. Here is today’s Daily Grind Down to help you get ready to start of another big weekend.

Note: Any Fantasy Point Average Listed Uses FanDuel Scoring. For more info on FanDuel’s MLB Scoring System, check out the scoring systems section of our FanDuel Review

• FPAB – Fantasy Points Per At Bat
• K% – Strikeout Percentage
• K/9 – Strikeouts Per 9 IP

________________________________________________________________________________________

Milwaukee vs. Pittsburgh

7:05 PM	Milwaukee – ROAD					Pittsburgh – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.260	0.726	19.20%	0.57		0.242	0.700	22.50%	0.55
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.256	0.719	18.30%	0.43		0.245	0.705	22.50%	0.42
SP STATS	Hellweg – RHP					Cole – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON						1.05	3.44	3.98	10.37
LAST 14 DAYS						1.00	3.75	4.50	10.50
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	MIL vs R		MIL BvP			PIT vs R		PIT BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8

• Favored Team – PIT -180

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Gerrit Cole is the heavy favorite in this game so he is worth a look in a multiple pitcher format if he is cheap. He has been limited to around 80 pitches in his first 3 starts and now he is dealing with a thigh problem. He is inducing Ground Balls and last time out he recorded 5 Ks so the potential for a quality outing is there, just not a GPP winning one. MIL is batting .252 on the road, .256 versus right-handers, and .272 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 5

• Away Johnny Hellweg has gone 7-4 with a 2.82 ERA in AAA this year. He has a K/9 of 5.9 and has only pitched 76.2 IP in 14 games or around 5.1 IP a game. There is almost not upside in playing him no matter how cheap he is priced and the potential for disaster is high. PIT is batting .246 at home, .245 versu right-handers, and .275 over the past 7 days. They rank 20th in runs scored and have recorded the 4th most Ks. RG Start-Abilty 1

Batter Grind Down

• Home Hellweg walks a lot of batters so there will be plenty of chances for RBIs. Consider everyone playable. Pedro Alvarez has been very hot with 28.75 fp over the past week. Starlin Marte and Neil Walker have been hot as well. Andrew McCuthchen is batting .338 at home. RG Stack-Ability 7

• Away Rickie Weeks, Juan Francisco, and Jean Segura have been hot for the Brewers. Segura, Aramis Ramirez and Carlos Gomez he plays) are batting over .300 versus right-handers. RG Stack Rating 4

________________________________________________________________________________________

NY Yankees vs. Baltimore

7:05 PM	NY Yankees – ROAD					Baltimore – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.240	0.686	20.10%	0.54		0.270	0.773	17.90%	0.65
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.240	0.700	19.90%	0.43		0.276	0.788	17.70%	0.53
SP STATS	Phelps – RHP					Gausman – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.34	4.01	8.39	8.13		1.65	7.66	7.44	4.64
LAST 14 DAYS	1.79	4.63	4.82	7.60		1.18	3.38	8.82	8.10
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	NYY vs R		NYY BvP			BAL vs R		BAL BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 9.5

• Favored Team – BAL -110

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home T.J. McFarland is a long reliever getting a spot start so that means he will probably only throw around 70 pitches. When given the opportunity to pitch, he can be a decent K/9 player but there is very little upside in using a player in which 5 IP is his ceiling. even against a team that has scored the fewest runs in June. NYY is batting .233 on the road, .233 versus left-handers, and .230 over the last 7 days. They rank 22nd in runs scored and have recorded the 15th most Ks. RG Start-Ability 3

• Away CC Sabathia is not the same pitcher on the road as he is at home but he still has huge K/9 upside. The OU is high but he should squeak out a win today versus the long reliever if he can limit the damage from this high-powered BAL offense. BAL is batting .264 at home, .278 versus right-handers, and .242 over the last 7 days. They rank 2nd in runs scored and have recorded the 9th fewest Ks. RG Start-Ability 5

Batter Grind Down

• Home Matt Wieters is 3-7 with 2 HRs versus Phelps. Ryan Flaherty and Chris Davis have both been hot over the last 7 days. Davis, Machado, Jones, Markakis and Mclouth are all batting over .290 versus right-handers.

• Away Zoilo Almonte is cheap and has been producing. McFarland got hit hard his last time out so if you think that can happen again then consider everyone playable. NYY has been slumping outside of Cano and Suzuki so I think I’ll take a pass on their left-hand heavy, overpriced bats. RG Stack-Ability 4

________________________________________________________________________________________

Toronto vs. Boston

7:10 PM	Toronto – ROAD					Boston – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.250	0.733	19.00%	0.62		0.274	0.793	20.90%	0.71
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.251	0.753	19.60%	0.52		0.286	0.829	19.90%	0.60
SP STATS	Johnson – RHP					Webster – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.49	4.60	8.80	8.75		2.08	11.25	9.00	3.00
LAST 14 DAYS	1.15	2.70	10.31	14.05		2.44	10.38	10.98	4.10
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	TOR vs R		TOR BvP			BOS vs R		BOS BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 9.5

• Favored Team – TOR -115

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home I can forgive Allen Webster for the 5 ER in 4.1 IP that he surrender in DET. I cannot forgive him for the 8 ER he gave up to MIN at home. This kid is a great prospect with huge K/9 potential but it is probably too soon for him to be in the majors. If he is really cheap then he has GPP value simply based off of upside. TOR is batting .238 on the road, .250 versus right-handers, and .219 over the last 7 days. They rank 10th in runs scored and have recorded the 14th fewest Ks on the year. RG Start-ability 3

• Away Josh Johnson is way too inconsistent to consider today versus the leagues number 1 offense. He has been horrible on the road this year with a 7.56 ERA. He is riding a strong June with a 2.84 ERA and 8.92 K/9 but I only like spending money on pitchers when they are a near lock to perform well. There is a ton of upside in playing him against a BOS team that Ks at a high rate but I think the risk is too great. BOS is batting .286 at home, .288 versus right-handers, and .337 over the last 7 days. They rank 1st in the league in runs scored and have recorded the 3rd most Ks. RG Start-Ability 4

Batter Grind Down

• Home Shane Victorino is 14-41 versus Johnson. Dustin Pedroia, Shane Victorino, and Jacoby Ellsbury have been hot for BOS. Those 3 plus David Ortiz and Mike Carp are batting over .300 versus right-handers. RG Stack Rating 7

• Away The kid has been pummeled in his first few starts so consider everyone playable. I especially like Adam Lind who has been steadily producing and gets the lefty/righty splits in his favor. RG Stack Rating 8

________________________________________________________________________________________

Detroit vs. Tampa Bay

7:10 PM	Detroit – ROAD					Tampa Bay – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.283	0.783	16.50%	0.65		0.258	0.747	18.00%	0.63
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.283	0.777	16.10%	0.51		0.243	0.722	18.10%	0.48
SP STATS	Scherzer – RHP					Colome – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	0.91	3.05	10.65	15.61		1.70	0.00	9.00	12.00
LAST 14 DAYS	1.15	2.08	11.08	17.00		2.44	0.00	6.59	7.10
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	DET vs R		DET BvP			TBR vs R		TBR BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 8

• Favored Team – DET -133

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home Alex Colome is unplayable because of his low pitch count of around 80. If that weren’t enough reason, he is absolutely avoidable because he is playing DET. Even though DET is not as good on the road, they are still to deadly to get cute with a play a guy like Colome with little upside. DET is batting .260 on the road, .281 versus right-handers and .295 over the last 7 days. They rank 4th in runs scored and have recorded the 3rd fewest Ks. RG Start-Ability 2

• Away Max Scherzer has been better this year on the road then at home. His 10.63 K/9 make him playable every start and he has been consistent producing 7 straight quality starts. TAM is batting .267 at home, .243 versus right-handers, and .260 over the last 7 days. They rank 7th in runs scored and have recorded the 8th fewest Ks. RG Start-Ability 9

Batter Grind Down

• Home James Loney is 5-17 with 1 HR versus Max. Yunel Escobar is 11-28 with 1 HR. Wil Myers has been hot and is still cheap.

• Away Miguel Cabrera is super hot again with 34 fp. Austin Jackson, Tori Hunter and Victor Martinez have been hot as well. Everyone from DET is playable almost everyday. Stack-Ability 6

________________________________________________________________________________________

Washington vs. NY Mets

7:10 PM	Washington – ROAD					NY Mets – HOME
TEAM BATTING	AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB		AVG	OPS	K%	FPAB
SEASON	0.235	0.670	21.50%	0.50		0.228	0.667	23.00%	0.52
VS. LEFT/RIGHT	0.242	0.690	21.50%	0.42		0.233	0.674	22.60%	0.41
SP STATS	Detwiler – LHP					Harvey – RHP
	WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG		WHIP	ERA	K/9	FPPG
SEASON	1.48	4.18	4.79	6.55		0.88	2.05	9.90	14.63
LAST 14 DAYS	1.62	8.59	5.70	3.07		0.75	1.80	11.70	16.67
BATTER SPLITS	Note: Batter Splits Below Open in Pop Up Window
	WSN vs R		WSN BvP			NYM vs L		NYM BvP

What Vegas Says

• Over/Under Total Runs – 6.5

• Favored Team – NYM -148

Pitcher Grind Down

• Home There is not a reason in the world I can give you as to why not to take Matt Harvey today so here is another reason why you should take him: In his one start versus WAS this year he gave up 4 Hs in 7 IP with 7 Ks. WAS is batting .212 on the road, .242 versus right-handers, and .265 over the last 7 days. They rank 28th in runs scored and have recorded the 11th most Ks. RG Start-Ability 10

• Away Ross Detwiler has historically not been known to rack up Ks. He has been hammered since returning from the DL in his last 3 starts and seems too risky to take today as such a huge underdog even against the Mets. Vegas likes this to be a low scoring game so he should pitch well and may be worth a look if he is cheap. NYM is batting .211 at home, .233 versus left-handers, and .255 over the last 7 days. RG Start-Ability 4

Batter Grind Down

• Home David Wright is 6-15 with 4 XBHs versus Detwiler. He is also has the traditional splits in his favor. Ruben Tejada hits left-handers well and should get the start today. John Buck has positive BvPs versus Detwiler. Eric Young Jr. has been hot producing 26.5 fp over the past 7 days. RG Stack Rating 5

• Away If you are playing the fade then Ryan Zimmerman has taken Harvey deep before and has been hot over the last 7 days. RG Stack Rating 1

________________________________________________________________________________________

Grind Down: Page 1 – Page 2