MLB Daily Grind Down June 8th Day Games
The RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down article will give you an in-depth analysis into the MLB schedule. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on which trends you can exploit.
While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, and salaries. The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time. (any fp listed uses Fanduel’s scoring system)
When I looked at the way Friday was shaping up, I knew that a big name was going to take down the Q on Fanduel. With 3 rainouts and myriad of aces going, It was a tricky day. The advantage was given to the more skilled players. There are few more skilled than headchopper. I think he might be the first person to have qualified for all 3 championships on Fanduel and he is a fellow Houston boy so I have to love that. He lives in San Antonio now but we will not hold that against him. Never fear. There are plenty of Qs left for us to win because he cannot win them all. Though, he is coming close. Here is today’s Daily Grind Down to get your research started.
LA Angels at Boston
| LA Angels | Boston | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenway Park | 1:05 PM | ||||||
| Tommy Hanson – (2-2), 4.19 ERA, 5.01 K/9, 1.437 WHIP | Felix Doubront – (4-2), 4.88 ERA, 9.64 K/9, 1.652 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (34-149 H/AB) 0.228 BA-A, 24.16 K%, 0.671 OPS-A | PvB | (28-113 H/AB) 0.248 BA-A, 15.04 K%, 0.673 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-0), 3 ERA, 3 HRA, 7.5 K/9, 0.917 WHIP | HOME | (2-0), 5.11 ERA, 2 HRA, 10.2 K/9, 1.459 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
LAA BvP  | LAA vs L | BOS BvP | BOS vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU ?
- Favored ?
You never know who is going to play in these scenarios. I looked around and I did not find a single site that had this game included in their GPPs for the morning so I am going to ignore it. Heck, Vegas wont even give me a line so I do not have much to work with. I do like Felix Doubront as a GPP play if you can find him. He has K/9 upside. He has not made it more than 6 IP in any start this year because his 1.64 WHIP is so bad. He seems to be in a jam every other inning. He is going to have a start this year in which he puts in a monster game but most of the time he is going to cap your upside at SP and may even kill your roster. LAA is batting .240 on the road, .220 versus left-handers, and .239 over the last 7 days. They rank 13th in runs scored and have recorded the 8th fewest Ks. The splits favor Doubront a little today so I might be willing to gamble on him in a GPP. In Play
Texas at Toronto
| Texas | Toronto | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rogers Centre | 1:07 PM | ||||||
| Yu Darvish – (7-2), 2.77 ERA, 12.32 K/9, 0.937 WHIP | Mark Buehrle – (2-4), 5.42 ERA, 5.92 K/9, 1.425 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (15-47 H/AB) 0.319 BA-A, 21.28 K%, 1.021 OPS-A | PvB | (35-124 H/AB) 0.282 BA-A, 18.55 K%, 0.702 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (3-1), 2.55 ERA, 3 HRA, 14 K/9, 0.651 WHIP | HOME | (2-1), 4.23 ERA, 6 HRA, 6.3 K/9, 1.304 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| TEX BvP | TEX vs L | TOR BvP | TOR vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 8.5
- Favored TEX -155
Pitchers
- Home I know Mark Buehrle has a 4.23 home ERA and a 3.55 day game ERA. I know that he has pitched well recently but you would have to be crazy to take a player with that little upside today versus one of the very best pitchers in baseball. TEX is batting .257 at home, .258 versus left-handers, and .239 over the last 7 days. They rank 10th in runs scored and have recorded the 6th fewest Ks.
- Away Yu Darvish has the most upside out of any player in the major leagues. It only adds fuel to the fire that he is a better pitcher on the road and has a 1.93 ERA in day games this year. TOR is batting .266 at home, .251 versus right-handers, and .246 over the last 7 days. They rank 13th in runs scored, and have recorded the 12th fewest Ks. Target
Batters
- Home Edwin Encarnacion is 5-8 with 2 HRs versus Darvish. Playing the fade or not, that is a sick BvP line.
- Away Jeff Baker, Nelson Cruz, and Adrian Beltre are the 3 names that should pop into your head anytime you see a lefty on the mound. Baker has a sick 1.412 OPS versus southpaws. Adrian Beltre is 9-27 with 1 HR versus Buehrle.
Miami at NY Mets
| Miami | NY Mets | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citi Field | 1:10 PM | ||||||
| Jose Fernandez – (3-3), 3.34 ERA, 9.14 K/9, 1.168 WHIP | Matt Harvey – (5-0), 2.17 ERA, 9.65 K/9, 0.916 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (9-51 H/AB) 0.176 BA-A, 37.25 K%, 0.529 OPS-A | PvB | (18-48 H/AB) 0.375 BA-A, 20.83 K%, 0.896 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-3), 5.04 ERA, 3 HRA, 10.7 K/9, 1.352 WHIP | HOME | (2-0), 1.97 ERA, 3 HRA, 10 K/9, 0.815 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| MIA BvP | MIA vs R | NYM BvP | NYM vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 6.5
- Favored NYM -215
Pitchers
- Home Matt Harvey just got hung for 4 ER versus this same MIA team in his last start. That is great for us because that will scare a few players away from playing him. Overlay will be a big concern here tonight but if your goal is to not lose at the SP position then Harvey is your guy. MIA is batting .229 on the road, .234 versus right-handers, and .269 over the last 7 days. The rank 30th in runs scored and have recorded the 6th fewest Ks. Target
- Away Jose Fernandez takes the hill as the huge underdog in this one but I think he is playable. It is not like NYM is an offensive powerhouse either and he had his way with them just a few days ago. He is a much worse pitcher on the road with an ERA of 5.04 but he has been able to put together a few solid road performances including a 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H gem in PHI. He is a high risk/reward play in a GPP. NYM is batting .215 at home, .232 versus right-handers, and .219 over the last 7 days. They rank 23rd in runs scored and have recorded the 7th most Ks. In Play
Batters
- Home Justin Turner and Daniel Murphy are both batting over .300 versus right-handers. Marlon Byrd has been hot over the last 7 days 20.5 fp. John Buck has 1 HR versus Fernandez in 5 AB.
- Away Marcell Ozuna, Juan Pierre, and Ed Lucas have all been hot over the last 7 days. All three had great games versus Harvey the last start. Juan Pierre has solid career numbers also versus Harvey.
Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs
| Pittsburgh | Chicago Cubs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrigley Field | 4:05 PM | ||||||
| A.J. Burnett – (3-6), 3.22 ERA, 10.44 K/9, 1.16 WHIP | Jeff Samardzija – (3-6), 2.96 ERA, 10.37 K/9, 1.101 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (42-171 H/AB) 0.246 BA-A, 25.15 K%, 0.626 OPS-A | PvB | (15-115 H/AB) 0.13 BA-A, 29.57 K%, 0.4 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (1-3), 4.13 ERA, 3 HRA, 10.5 K/9, 1.412 WHIP | HOME | (1-1), 3.16 ERA, 3 HRA, 10.3 K/9, 1.309 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| PIT BvP | PIT vs R | CHC BvP | CHC vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7
- Favored CHC -117
Pitchers
- Home Jeff Samardzija is a very good pitcher by MLB standards. He is not an elite one but he is an elite option in daily fantasy because of his sick K/9 of 10.37. There are only 5 players better than him in that stat and 3 of them are Tigers. He carries risk because he plays for the Cubs and he has been known to surrender the big inning on more than a few occasions. There are only two players going with more upside this morning so Jeff should be on the top of your list versus a very poor road team. PIT is batting .231 on the road, .237 versus right-handers, and .169 over the last 7 days. They rank 26th in runs scored and have recorded the 6th most Ks. Target
- Away One of those other players going who has more upside than Samardzija this morning is A.J. Burnett. It is funny how things work out. Burnett’s K/9 is slightly better at 10.44 and he has thrown over 100 pitches in 7 of his 10 starts. He has thrown over 90 pitches in all of them. That is the definition of upside. The problem with him today is that he is only a 4.13 road pitcher so I give the advantage to CHC but he makes for a great against the grain GPP play. CHC is batting .265 at home, .251 versus right-handers, and .218 over the last 7 days. They rank 20th in runs scored and have recorded the 10th fewest Ks. In Play
Batters
- Home Starlin Castro is 8-16 versus Burnett.
- Away If you play on a site that penalizes you for Ks then avoid PIT altogether because the K versus average pitchers at a high rate. A guy like JS is going to mow them down. If you are playing the fade then Andrew McCuthchen is 6-16 with 3 2B versus Jeff. Pedro Alvarez has been a great day game hitter and he has 2 HRs over the past week.
Minnesota at Washington
| Minnesota | Washington | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals Park | 4:05 PM | ||||||
| Kevin Correia – (5-4), 4.09 ERA, 3.72 K/9, 1.327 WHIP | Gio Gonzalez – (3-3), 3.64 ERA, 8.47 K/9, 1.194 WHIP | ||||||
| PvB | (23-92 H/AB) 0.25 BA-A, 17.39 K%, 0.815 OPS-A | PvB | (8-37 H/AB) 0.216 BA-A, 24.32 K%, 0.784 OPS-A | ||||
| ROAD | (2-3), 5.86 ERA, 6 HRA, 3.3 K/9, 1.554 WHIP | HOME | (2-2), 3.19 ERA, 3 HRA, 7.6 K/9, 1.036 WHIP | ||||
| BATTER SPLITS BREAKDOWN | |||||||
| MIN BvP | MIN vs L | WSN BvP | WSN vs R | ||||
| Note: Batter Splits Above Open in Pop Up Window | |||||||
Las Vegas
- OU 7.5
- Favored WAS -180
Pitchers
- Home Gio Gonzalez at home today as a -180 favorite is enough for me to say target. After his early struggles on the year, he is steadily dwindling his ERA back to the point that we are use to. MIN is batting .228 on the road, .248 versus left-handers, and .254 over the last 7 days. Target
- Away Kevin Correia has been horrible on the road this year with a 5.86 road ERA. He has limited upside to begin with and that just seals the deal for me. WAS is batting .251 at home, .240 versus right-handers, and .197 over the last 7 days.
Batters
- Home Adam Laroche is 7-23 with 2 HRs versus Corriea. WAS is slumping. I expect them to score runs but not a lot of them.
- Away Justin Morneau is 2-5 with 2 HRs versus Gonzalez. Joe Mauer is 4-14 with 1 HR. Ryan Doumit has been hot with 30.5 fp ver the last week.
